Jordan NelGuest
Jose MacedoHost
Um, so the, the first question I wanted to start with is why even do venture, you know? Like-

when you look at the, these, like, Cambridge Analytica, Cambridge Analytica or, like, most of the sort of research on ventures, the results have been pretty underwhelming overall.

Like, it's sort of underperformed public equities indices, uh, especially the large funds, for pretty much the last 20 years or so.

Um, and, you know, Roloff w- was famously said that it's a, a return-free risk, right, venture, and it's not an asset class.

[laughs] I, I think, um, I, I, I don't know, man, if I can answer for, like, why people should allocate to venture broadly.

Like, I, I'm not sure that, like, venture beta justifies the illiquidity premium.

Like, sure, there are, like, strategic elements being, you know, front, at the coalface of, like, the next paradigm shifts.

It's like if there are-- If for every outlier company, there are at least three outlier funds.

For every outlier company that comes, every Coinbase, there is a Ribbit, there is a USV.

There are, like, a dozen companies around Coinbase that return multiples of their fund because of this company.

And so, like, the way we think about it is just super, super why this founder in particular, why this company, why this GP, why this market? Not really, you know, how to time venture cyclically, do we think venture beta fits into a whole portfolio.

But there is some-- The, the, like, if entry prices got really crazy, or, like, there, there are some conditions under which you'd say there are no bottoms-up opportunities in venture, no? Or, or at least-

Um, so the, the first question I wanted to start with is why even do venture, you know? Like-

when you look at the, these, like, Cambridge Analytica, Cambridge Analytica or, like, most of the sort of research on ventures, the results have been pretty underwhelming overall.

Like, it's sort of underperformed public equities indices, uh, especially the large funds, for pretty much the last 20 years or so.

Um, and, you know, Roloff w- was famously said that it's a, a return-free risk, right, venture, and it's not an asset class.

[laughs] I, I think, um, I, I, I don't know, man, if I can answer for, like, why people should allocate to venture broadly.

Like, I, I'm not sure that, like, venture beta justifies the illiquidity premium.

Like, sure, there are, like, strategic elements being, you know, front, at the coalface of, like, the next paradigm shifts.

It's like if there are-- If for every outlier company, there are at least three outlier funds.

For every outlier company that comes, every Coinbase, there is a Ribbit, there is a USV.

There are, like, a dozen companies around Coinbase that return multiples of their fund because of this company.

And so, like, the way we think about it is just super, super why this founder in particular, why this company, why this GP, why this market? Not really, you know, how to time venture cyclically, do we think venture beta fits into a whole portfolio.

But there is some-- The, the, like, if entry prices got really crazy, or, like, there, there are some conditions under which you'd say there are no bottoms-up opportunities in venture, no? Or, or at least-
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