The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Sep 28, 2026 · 1 hr 22 min · 17 segments
My initial reaction to all of the opening lines for NFL Week 4 along with a recap of everything I saw in NFL Week 3. This episode will get you ready to handicap the week with key numbers, notes and…
Adam ChernoffHost
So it starts off Thursday night football with the Pittsburgh Steelers going on the road to take on the Cleveland Browns.

The total was 37 and a half, reopens 38 at a couple of books, otherwise 37 and a half.

Side locked in, mainly due to the fact that both of these teams are coming off of big wins.

Cleveland is a slightly smaller underdog than Pittsburgh, both of them at home.

It was Cincinnati three and a half for the majority of the week, closed an expensive three.

There was never like a clear side that emerged or like a clear tell within the market.

And so what I read from that is Pittsburgh's a really difficult team to read at the moment.

But I at least had an expectation that without Tomlin, things would be a little more normal.

And so I'm starting to wonder as we go into week four, was week two the outlier? Last week was thinking, well, was it week one or two? But I think now we have an extra sort of sample of data.

And we start to see that maybe it was week two in that game with bad weather that that ultimately was the bit of the outlier.

So it starts off Thursday night football with the Pittsburgh Steelers going on the road to take on the Cleveland Browns.

The total was 37 and a half, reopens 38 at a couple of books, otherwise 37 and a half.

Side locked in, mainly due to the fact that both of these teams are coming off of big wins.

Cleveland is a slightly smaller underdog than Pittsburgh, both of them at home.

It was Cincinnati three and a half for the majority of the week, closed an expensive three.

There was never like a clear side that emerged or like a clear tell within the market.

And so what I read from that is Pittsburgh's a really difficult team to read at the moment.

But I at least had an expectation that without Tomlin, things would be a little more normal.

And so I'm starting to wonder as we go into week four, was week two the outlier? Last week was thinking, well, was it week one or two? But I think now we have an extra sort of sample of data.

And we start to see that maybe it was week two in that game with bad weather that that ultimately was the bit of the outlier.
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