Sep 12, 2026 · 1 hr 36 min · 17 segments
NYT bestselling author Robert Wright and I are kicking off a new experiment, a Nonzero × Doom Debates collaboration to react to big AI news and help you make sense of it. This week we discuss the…
Robert WrightGuest
A lot of people who are finally focusing on the Dune question but are not converted are saying, look, show me a scenario.

And I still do think there is not a super straightforward accessible scenario that anyone sketched out.

I mean, he did a scenario, but I think it was almost unintelligible to a layperson.

And now I will say the open AI breakout of however long ago, I mean, we keep learning more about it.

I think that has helped people fill in some blanks who just were buying the idea that even in principle, this stuff could get out of control in any meaningful sense.
I think that's definitely contributing to the vibe shift, you know, the hacking, because when it's hacking, it's like, oh my God, it did something, right? Like it took agency.
Whereas from my perspective, back in 2023, when I saw ChatGPT, I'm like, oh, okay, it's completing the pattern of what code should look like.
And in my mind, I'm like, yeah, code is executable, right? It's like, if you know what code to write, you can run the code, okay? Like it's not, I didn't see a big distinction where it's like, oh, some, some, angel has to come and breathe the agency into it.
I think that's psychologically adding to people where it's like, oh yeah, we said that only humans could make math breakthroughs.

And this, I kind of, I got this in my book at the last minute when Claude Cowork was becoming a thing, and I was kind of thinking about, well, what really is happening here that's different from what happened before? And I realized, actually, Claude was the first one to explain this to me, that You know, it isn't just code.

A lot of people who are finally focusing on the Dune question but are not converted are saying, look, show me a scenario.

And I still do think there is not a super straightforward accessible scenario that anyone sketched out.

I mean, he did a scenario, but I think it was almost unintelligible to a layperson.

And now I will say the open AI breakout of however long ago, I mean, we keep learning more about it.

I think that has helped people fill in some blanks who just were buying the idea that even in principle, this stuff could get out of control in any meaningful sense.
I think that's definitely contributing to the vibe shift, you know, the hacking, because when it's hacking, it's like, oh my God, it did something, right? Like it took agency.
Whereas from my perspective, back in 2023, when I saw ChatGPT, I'm like, oh, okay, it's completing the pattern of what code should look like.
And in my mind, I'm like, yeah, code is executable, right? It's like, if you know what code to write, you can run the code, okay? Like it's not, I didn't see a big distinction where it's like, oh, some, some, angel has to come and breathe the agency into it.
I think that's psychologically adding to people where it's like, oh yeah, we said that only humans could make math breakthroughs.

And this, I kind of, I got this in my book at the last minute when Claude Cowork was becoming a thing, and I was kind of thinking about, well, what really is happening here that's different from what happened before? And I realized, actually, Claude was the first one to explain this to me, that You know, it isn't just code.
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