Artificial general intelligence

I think that's what's going on largely with the data centers because whoever gets there first is going to stay there.

Whoever gets to the vertical integration of AGI, of AI, even if it's in a, by a few minutes, even if the United States gets it at 11 o'clock and the United and the Chinese get at 1105, they'll never, ever catch us in technology ever again.

Like it's that big of a deal.

And so we're in an arms race right now that it's not a court.

Um, the main reason they're creating Neuralink is not to help, you know, paraplegics walk and blind people see it's to understand how our nervous system works.

And once they have a synthetic, you know, nervous system that they can install onto these synthetic bodies and they have AI, which is at the point of AGI or ASI, um, And then they figure out that they need to have like this electromagnetic beating mechanism, like a heart that creates this, this, what do you want to call it? Like at the Monroe Institute, we call it phase locking.

So our consciousness is phase locked into our body.

That's, that's how we link up.

It's just part of that.

But I feel like this management team at the end of the day just cares about AGI.

They don't care about anything else.

Yeah.

No, I don't think you get it.

WE are going to build AGI.

And we're going to do it safely.

April 26th.

So if AI and AI agents are already here and causing this much friction, what are the next projected rungs on this ladder?

The third rung is AGI, artificial general intelligence.

Okay.

These would be systems capable of reasoning holistically about an organization's entire architecture.

An AGI wouldn't just flag a memory leak in a vacuum.

It would understand business logic.

Like it understands what the company actually does.

So it takes the human error out of the equation.

Yeah.

So it is interesting, like I went like when I got into it back in the day, you know, we had statistical pattern recognition, machine learning, deep learning, artificial intelligence, AGI and SI now.

And the field has certainly changed from being like an interesting intellectual endeavor that is extremely important and lays foundation to, you know, try to understand the very nature of intelligence, which is sort of what makes us most unique as as humans.

in biology and so on, like all of that has shifted now.

And yeah, so education will have to update a lot too, but I digress.

Yeah.

When you were working on neural networks back in the 2000s, did you think like, oh, this kind of thing, like ImageNet, the technology behind ImageNet is going to eventually become the precursor to artificial general intelligence? Or were you sort of narrowly thinking of it as like, you know, this is going to be really good for image recognition, but not necessarily for literal AGI?

Personally, I've always been very excited about trying to unify everything in one model.

Note.

Forecasting ASI seems conceptual, but for example, pre-AGI political forecasting seems like it has relatively good feedback, given that one can learn a lot from and practice on past data.

We give more examples of conceptual and non-conceptual domains in Appendix.

Examples and non-examples of conceptual domains.

But every time someone says that it's going to be zero, is when we start the bull run, right? It's quite a prophecy, right?

Yeah, I mean, all the fear around AGI, like, will we get to AGI? Probably, right? But not today, not tomorrow.

I mean, anyone who uses any of these AI interfaces and different frontier models, like, they still act a fool and they still make a lot of mistakes and they hallucinate and they make shit up, but... yeah i mean like quantum safe uh bitcoin or or a quantum safe store of value like i i don't know i i i've been looking i've been reading and listening a bit about you know the the risk that people are afraid of i think most of it right now is just clickbaity headlines um the one thing though that i do think is quite interesting is the um like are the on-chain yields and the on-chain opportunities worth the risk now

okay

Yeah, it's early.

Like if, if AGI really is becoming available, maybe then, but I still do very positively feel that we would need like human judgment at the end of the day.

Yes.

Maybe, maybe in a different format of how versus how we're doing today.