The Leaderboard with Matt Towery and John Hall
Sep 17, 2026 · 24 min · 17 segments
Matt Towery and John Hall break down what current polling says about the 2026 midterms — including the gender gap, Georgia, Florida, Hispanic voter outreach, and the messaging challenge facing…
The gender gap is back anywhere from 10 to as much as 25 point Democrat advantage among women, among independents, anywhere from about five points to 30 points among independents.
And you're in Georgia, which is one of those litmus test states right on the edge.
The Democratic campaign is very smooth, very Hollywood, and it's coming across and impressing folks who have that view.
The president's $5,000, I call it the $5,000 pyramid offer for anyone who votes, not for anyone who votes, but if the Republicans, they may have interpreted it this way, if the Republicans retain the House and the Senate, everybody gets $5,000 a chicken in every pot.
But there are two groups that did like it or more than they like most of what Donald Trump does.
Don't you think it might be smart to not abandon this thing, but push it in terms of well-placed ads into the African-American, the Hispanic community?
Yeah, these days you can geolocate ads, and I think they really ought to keep that out of the metro area, that area of the world.
But if you put it in the rural and other areas, I think you're going to get some resonance on that.
The gender gap is back anywhere from 10 to as much as 25 point Democrat advantage among women, among independents, anywhere from about five points to 30 points among independents.
And you're in Georgia, which is one of those litmus test states right on the edge.
The Democratic campaign is very smooth, very Hollywood, and it's coming across and impressing folks who have that view.
The president's $5,000, I call it the $5,000 pyramid offer for anyone who votes, not for anyone who votes, but if the Republicans, they may have interpreted it this way, if the Republicans retain the House and the Senate, everybody gets $5,000 a chicken in every pot.
But there are two groups that did like it or more than they like most of what Donald Trump does.
Don't you think it might be smart to not abandon this thing, but push it in terms of well-placed ads into the African-American, the Hispanic community?
Yeah, these days you can geolocate ads, and I think they really ought to keep that out of the metro area, that area of the world.
But if you put it in the rural and other areas, I think you're going to get some resonance on that.
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