The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Oct 10, 2026 · 1 hr 2 min · 11 segments
My final thoughts on the games in Week 5 including notes and thoughts on line moves, matchups and everything you need to know before making last minute bets.
Adam ChernoffHost
First game on the board, Philadelphia on the road at the Jacksonville Jags from two and a half on the look ahead up to seven and a half.

So it goes through three, goes through seven, massive adjustment from where we were.

And this was like from watching the board, talking to other groups, hearing things, it was like buys.

When you think about the offensive line changes, the injuries at the skill positions, Jonathan Grenard still questionable, the way that the Eagles have handled this travel.

I've seen pros on the wind total under have seen pros elsewhere in the division.

I mean, it's been just all Jacksonville money because of all the issues in Philly.

And I think, too, back earlier in the season, Philly, maybe the Tennessee game went earlier, had a ridiculously successful game on third down that saved them, and then we've seen that come crashing down.

There hasn't been a lot of... intrigue excitement difference making from Sean Mannion but then also his offense has been severely limited by some of these injuries and so I just I don't think there's a lot of upside there whatsoever and I do wonder does this tick up a little bit more I got kind of feels yes looking at the board I just don't know what's going to get anybody interested in Philly with all of these injuries I do think within the market we're going to see a willingness to fade Jacksonville And I'm not saying this because I'm disgruntled from backing Cincinnati last week, but this is a team that continuously finds ways to get massive wins on the scoreboard.

But within the yards per play, within the net success rate, a lot of numbers not aligning with how big some of these wins are for Jacksonville.

They just continue to face teams with bad QB situations, below average QBs, and it's really slanting in favor of their strength of schedule.

First game on the board, Philadelphia on the road at the Jacksonville Jags from two and a half on the look ahead up to seven and a half.

So it goes through three, goes through seven, massive adjustment from where we were.

And this was like from watching the board, talking to other groups, hearing things, it was like buys.

When you think about the offensive line changes, the injuries at the skill positions, Jonathan Grenard still questionable, the way that the Eagles have handled this travel.

I've seen pros on the wind total under have seen pros elsewhere in the division.

I mean, it's been just all Jacksonville money because of all the issues in Philly.

And I think, too, back earlier in the season, Philly, maybe the Tennessee game went earlier, had a ridiculously successful game on third down that saved them, and then we've seen that come crashing down.

There hasn't been a lot of... intrigue excitement difference making from Sean Mannion but then also his offense has been severely limited by some of these injuries and so I just I don't think there's a lot of upside there whatsoever and I do wonder does this tick up a little bit more I got kind of feels yes looking at the board I just don't know what's going to get anybody interested in Philly with all of these injuries I do think within the market we're going to see a willingness to fade Jacksonville And I'm not saying this because I'm disgruntled from backing Cincinnati last week, but this is a team that continuously finds ways to get massive wins on the scoreboard.

But within the yards per play, within the net success rate, a lot of numbers not aligning with how big some of these wins are for Jacksonville.

They just continue to face teams with bad QB situations, below average QBs, and it's really slanting in favor of their strength of schedule.
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