Oct 27, 2026 · 1 hr 8 min · 18 segments
One week out from the midterms, the crew argues over Josh Turek’s new ad, which comes out against trans athletes in women’s sports and federal funding for gender surgeries. Was it smart harm reduction…
And I think that Luke and I were talking about it a little bit earlier, but I've started to play pundit on my social accounts with a camera that doesn't shake all over the place, which apparently that really matters too.
And I think one of the things that's really...
And we don't 100% know.
So this is just a...
It's a signal.
It's not a fact, but...
And with the two groups in particular, one with Hispanic voters and the second one with young Black voters.
So, you know, obviously...
You can't break it down like that, but you can tell where people voted and all that stuff.
And I believe that there are 200,000 or 300,000 voters – votes that have been cast in Texas already from people who didn't vote in 24.
Now, that's usually the reverse, right? Because presidentials have higher turnout.
Oh, yeah.
It was more popular.
Because it's more – but – you know and again we can't fully tell and we know that we lost a lot of ground in particular with the hispanic voters uh not as much with black voters but we did as well but like for them to be voting now and not in 24 is not a great sign for republicans
for yeah no i mean it's funny because we're comparing you see comparisons to 2024 and then usually they'll throw in like 20 you know 2022 and 18.
Um, typically you don't even bother comparing midterms to election year as presidential election years, because the numbers are so silly that it just looks like nobody cares about democracy in any normal cycle.
Um, the fact that some States and even, and just nationwide, like, There is even something to compare is is really like truly notable in political and in the political world.
The fact that that some demographics are outperforming and some states are outperforming 2024 is.
Is crazy.
I mean, some of these Senate candidates are going to get more votes than Kamala Harris did, I think, which is interesting, unthinkable.
I mean, we'll see how it comes in.
But the
only question I have around early vote is popularity based, because if you rewind, it was not a very popular thing to vote early.
And I think that Luke and I were talking about it a little bit earlier, but I've started to play pundit on my social accounts with a camera that doesn't shake all over the place, which apparently that really matters too.
And I think one of the things that's really...
And we don't 100% know.
So this is just a...
It's a signal.
It's not a fact, but...
And with the two groups in particular, one with Hispanic voters and the second one with young Black voters.
So, you know, obviously...
You can't break it down like that, but you can tell where people voted and all that stuff.
And I believe that there are 200,000 or 300,000 voters – votes that have been cast in Texas already from people who didn't vote in 24.
Now, that's usually the reverse, right? Because presidentials have higher turnout.
Oh, yeah.
It was more popular.
Because it's more – but – you know and again we can't fully tell and we know that we lost a lot of ground in particular with the hispanic voters uh not as much with black voters but we did as well but like for them to be voting now and not in 24 is not a great sign for republicans
for yeah no i mean it's funny because we're comparing you see comparisons to 2024 and then usually they'll throw in like 20 you know 2022 and 18.
Um, typically you don't even bother comparing midterms to election year as presidential election years, because the numbers are so silly that it just looks like nobody cares about democracy in any normal cycle.
Um, the fact that some States and even, and just nationwide, like, There is even something to compare is is really like truly notable in political and in the political world.
The fact that that some demographics are outperforming and some states are outperforming 2024 is.
Is crazy.
I mean, some of these Senate candidates are going to get more votes than Kamala Harris did, I think, which is interesting, unthinkable.
I mean, we'll see how it comes in.
But the
only question I have around early vote is popularity based, because if you rewind, it was not a very popular thing to vote early.
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