National [In]security Crisis

Everything appears to be going wrong for Donald Trump in the midterms and we're gonna go through it all with him.

Including how he just might have hit his new rock bottom and gotten maybe a pair of polls that might hurt his feelings more than any he's previously had, which is a lot of fun.

We're gonna start though with the new evidence that we might be having not only a blue wave but Dare I say it, a blue tsunami coming in the midterms.

Don't clip this out just in case.

But yeah, so experts are saying that there's a number of things that are turning against the Republicans.

One of the big ones is the Latino vote.

So according to Nate Cohn, New York Times chief political analyst, Hispanic voters may be responsible for a possible Democratic tsunami.

Per his reporting, Democrats have led Republicans by 35 percentage points in an average of high quality national polls over the last month among Hispanic voters.

Back in 2024, the same polls had Harris leading Trump by only seven points, so a 28 point swing in the direction.

of the Democrats.

Cohen went on to identify more than a dozen distinct congressional districts that Trump won comfortably back in 2024.

But only because of the margins that he had with Latino voters, largely in Texas and Florida.

Both of those are significant, but the Texas one is the one that I love because we've been saying since the very beginning of the Texas gerrymandering thing.

Do not count your polling chickens before they hatch you jackasses, which I guess I should take that advice myself right now.

But I'm not the one that drew districts based on Latino voting swings in 2024 that have proved to be.

They're just gone.

So we're gonna have to see what effect that has on Texas Republicans.

But anyway, if those margins hold, then it could be a good midterm.

Now, the biggest obstacle to Democratic gains in the Trump era has been that he has this like fanatical core that you just can't shake no matter what he does.

And that may be going away too.

So this is the first of the two devastating polls for Donald Trump.

So according to this poll, only 34% of Republicans now consider themselves primarily a supporter of Trump versus 56% who say that they're primarily a supporter of the GOP.

And as recently as when Trump was inaugurated, that number was flipped.

And that number has been like that for a long time.

Most Republicans that were still with the party were there because they liked Donald Trump rather than Republicans.