Moats Aren’t Dead
Avi explains why better models won't kill
Avi BharadwajGuest
Matt PaigeHost
So the frontier models, like we say, keep getting better, more general purpose, more capable, and the conventional wisdom is that moats are being just demolished in real time.

But as someone who's writing checks in this space, putting money where your mouth is, where do you actually see defensibility showing up right now? And is it where you expected it two years ago when we started in this crazy gen AI wave?

In reality, I think what's happening is that they are commoditizing one layer of the puzzle.

So as I'm sure most sophisticated software has multiple layers, the model being one of those layers, but there are many other important layers that make up an entire software platform.

So what we are seeing is that defensibility or the focus on defensibility is shifting to these other layers.

Maybe I'll talk about the application layer companies first, and then I'll talk about infrastructure layer companies.

I think given when you were building your own models, you just had to get a lot of different data.

But today it has shifted that not just more data, but more unique data is important.

Frontier models, they are largely trained on publicly available data, so they have, uh, data on language and coding and reasoning and so on, but they don't have data that's proprietary to an enterprise.

So think of, let's say, triggers within your CRM system or domain specific data in areas like healthcare and legal and so on, and real world data in infrastructure deployments or industrial settings.

So startups that focus on these types of unique data sets, I think have, still have the edge to be able to beat out these frontier models.

So the frontier models, like we say, keep getting better, more general purpose, more capable, and the conventional wisdom is that moats are being just demolished in real time.

But as someone who's writing checks in this space, putting money where your mouth is, where do you actually see defensibility showing up right now? And is it where you expected it two years ago when we started in this crazy gen AI wave?

In reality, I think what's happening is that they are commoditizing one layer of the puzzle.

So as I'm sure most sophisticated software has multiple layers, the model being one of those layers, but there are many other important layers that make up an entire software platform.

So what we are seeing is that defensibility or the focus on defensibility is shifting to these other layers.

Maybe I'll talk about the application layer companies first, and then I'll talk about infrastructure layer companies.

I think given when you were building your own models, you just had to get a lot of different data.

But today it has shifted that not just more data, but more unique data is important.

Frontier models, they are largely trained on publicly available data, so they have, uh, data on language and coding and reasoning and so on, but they don't have data that's proprietary to an enterprise.

So think of, let's say, triggers within your CRM system or domain specific data in areas like healthcare and legal and so on, and real world data in infrastructure deployments or industrial settings.

So startups that focus on these types of unique data sets, I think have, still have the edge to be able to beat out these frontier models.
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