Sep 14, 2026 · 53 min · 14 segments
On this episode of Outdoor Unfiltered, host Eoin Comerford breaks down Circana's latest outdoor industry sales data, showing flat dollar sales but a 4% drop in units, and puts it side by side with…
Eoin ComerfordHost
The current incarnation of that outdoor industry data powerhouse is called Sercana, and they just presented the latest industry sales data at OR Minneapolis.

So in summary, basically outdoor dollar sales were flat over the last 12 months, ending in June of 26th.

And snow is the worst category of all sports equipment, down 10% year-to-date.

Which is really not shocking, given the epically low snowfall that we had in the Western states last year.

And if you want the full detailed breakdown of what they presented, check out CISO, which has an article with all the key stuff.

But really, you know, it's interesting to juxtapose this with the recent results from grassroots outdoor lines.

So if you check out Gabe Mayer's article on LinkedIn, his mid-year update said that member comps were up 4.9% through May with growth every month and the share of stores declining significantly.

GOA's point of sale data showed first quarter transactions were up almost 3%, okay, units up 4.5%, and average ticket up only 1%.

So in Gabe's words, people are buying more things at these stores, not just paying more for them.

The first is we've got different time horizons here, right? So CERCANA is 12-month data, while GOA is really kind of mid-year data.

Now, if GOA had looked back 12 months and included the last half of last year, maybe this data would actually be a little bit closer.

The second thing is we've got different universes, right? CERCANA measures the Broad market, everything from, yes, specialty retail, but also to online specialty, which is like the back countries of the world and the REI, to what they call sort of the ASSM, which is like Dick's, REI, the big box players.

And meanwhile, Grassroots has about 100 independent specialty retailers with about 200 doors, all told.

but really kind of, I would say, the cream of the crop in terms of independent specialty.

So if market units are down 4% and independent units are up 4.5%, that isn't a contradiction.

The current incarnation of that outdoor industry data powerhouse is called Sercana, and they just presented the latest industry sales data at OR Minneapolis.

So in summary, basically outdoor dollar sales were flat over the last 12 months, ending in June of 26th.

And snow is the worst category of all sports equipment, down 10% year-to-date.

Which is really not shocking, given the epically low snowfall that we had in the Western states last year.

And if you want the full detailed breakdown of what they presented, check out CISO, which has an article with all the key stuff.

But really, you know, it's interesting to juxtapose this with the recent results from grassroots outdoor lines.

So if you check out Gabe Mayer's article on LinkedIn, his mid-year update said that member comps were up 4.9% through May with growth every month and the share of stores declining significantly.

GOA's point of sale data showed first quarter transactions were up almost 3%, okay, units up 4.5%, and average ticket up only 1%.

So in Gabe's words, people are buying more things at these stores, not just paying more for them.

The first is we've got different time horizons here, right? So CERCANA is 12-month data, while GOA is really kind of mid-year data.

Now, if GOA had looked back 12 months and included the last half of last year, maybe this data would actually be a little bit closer.

The second thing is we've got different universes, right? CERCANA measures the Broad market, everything from, yes, specialty retail, but also to online specialty, which is like the back countries of the world and the REI, to what they call sort of the ASSM, which is like Dick's, REI, the big box players.

And meanwhile, Grassroots has about 100 independent specialty retailers with about 200 doors, all told.

but really kind of, I would say, the cream of the crop in terms of independent specialty.

So if market units are down 4% and independent units are up 4.5%, that isn't a contradiction.
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