Week 3 Matchups to Exploit & Avoid 2026 | Kincaid, Chase, Metcalf

Well, let's start with the LA Chargers at the Buffalo Bills.

And obviously, LA's in trouble.

I'm not going positive on anyone for the Chargers, although Lad McConkie did practice fully on Thursday.

It's not the greatest schematic matchup for him, but we will give love to Dalton Kincaid.

I kinda missed this one, I gotta admit, because I, I just wasn't sure if he was healthy and if the snaps would go up.

I mean, how many years in a row do you need to see something from a player, you know, before you think, "Okay, this is what he is"? I think I was kinda there.

So unfortunately, I was not pounding the table for Dalton Kincaid.

Um, you know, if I had a little bit more insight into the situation, I don't, I don't think anyone was really...

There were mixed reports, too, on Kincaid.

I guess he had a couple injury snafus.

The vibes were decent for sure, but it, it looks incredible right now, and I think he's gonna stay hot in this one.

The Chargers running two high looks at a top three rate going back to last year.

They're at 59% this year, and Kincaid sees a 20% boost to his targets per route run against the look.

He is crushed in his career, of course, when he's over a 50% route share, which he will be going forward, assuming he is healthy.

And against cover three and cover four, which they have used at a 55% clip, he's over four yards per route run.

Big time numbers.

And oh, by the way, against cover four, Josh Allen sees a 56% increase to his deep throw percentage, and I know he's completed some long balls down the field to my guy Josh Palmer, uh, who I kinda have liked, you know, the last couple years.

Not this year, 'cause I kinda gave up on him, but not a bad player.

Uh, that does bode well for Kincaid, 'cause he's probably more...

I'm not looking at the numbers right now, but he's probably got, you know, a, a lot of air yards and he's a, a very, very viable deep threat.

I mean- Probably their best deep threat in terms of a starter.

Josh Palmer's more of a rotational guy, so it's looking really good for Dalton Kincaid.

One player I kicked the tires on this summer, and, you know, I was very high on the offense, and so far it's not going well.

That's Quentin Johnston, and luckily I've, I've never been a Quentin Johnston guy, and I think he's been a fantasy albatross so far this season.

Not a good schematic matchup for him.

Well, let's start with the LA Chargers at the Buffalo Bills.

And obviously, LA's in trouble.

I'm not going positive on anyone for the Chargers, although Lad McConkie did practice fully on Thursday.

It's not the greatest schematic matchup for him, but we will give love to Dalton Kincaid.

I kinda missed this one, I gotta admit, because I, I just wasn't sure if he was healthy and if the snaps would go up.

I mean, how many years in a row do you need to see something from a player, you know, before you think, "Okay, this is what he is"? I think I was kinda there.

So unfortunately, I was not pounding the table for Dalton Kincaid.

Um, you know, if I had a little bit more insight into the situation, I don't, I don't think anyone was really...

There were mixed reports, too, on Kincaid.

I guess he had a couple injury snafus.

The vibes were decent for sure, but it, it looks incredible right now, and I think he's gonna stay hot in this one.

The Chargers running two high looks at a top three rate going back to last year.

They're at 59% this year, and Kincaid sees a 20% boost to his targets per route run against the look.

He is crushed in his career, of course, when he's over a 50% route share, which he will be going forward, assuming he is healthy.

And against cover three and cover four, which they have used at a 55% clip, he's over four yards per route run.

Big time numbers.

And oh, by the way, against cover four, Josh Allen sees a 56% increase to his deep throw percentage, and I know he's completed some long balls down the field to my guy Josh Palmer, uh, who I kinda have liked, you know, the last couple years.

Not this year, 'cause I kinda gave up on him, but not a bad player.

Uh, that does bode well for Kincaid, 'cause he's probably more...

I'm not looking at the numbers right now, but he's probably got, you know, a, a lot of air yards and he's a, a very, very viable deep threat.

I mean- Probably their best deep threat in terms of a starter.

Josh Palmer's more of a rotational guy, so it's looking really good for Dalton Kincaid.

One player I kicked the tires on this summer, and, you know, I was very high on the offense, and so far it's not going well.

That's Quentin Johnston, and luckily I've, I've never been a Quentin Johnston guy, and I think he's been a fantasy albatross so far this season.

Not a good schematic matchup for him.