NFL Week 3 Picks - Road to 272 Bets - 2026 NFL Season

All right, let's

start with the Thursday night football game.

I'd like to apologize to all football fans for the next three weeks of primetime games because we're going to have to suffer through the Atlanta Falcons playing.

It's Packers on Thursday night this week, and then I think it's Saints and Ravens.

I forget which one's Sunday night, which one's Monday night, but it's going to be a rough three weeks for primetime games.

The good news is Pennix is back.

Oh, thank God.

And I'm glad they made the announcement before I recorded tonight.

I was actually probably going to lay the points to the Packers, but now with Pennix starting, give me the Falcons plus six and a half minus 108.

I wish I did take the plus seven on the Falcons before the announcement was made, but I'll take the plus six and a half.

we can go ahead and throw out the first two games uh in terms of trying to evaluate the falcons offense because i think listen if you've been watching even just red zone and paying attention a little bit to the nfl you know how bad the falcons offense was with those two quarterbacks cooper rush was a complete disaster i still think jack strand might have it i don't think it's fair that they put him in that late in the game with basically all their backups i don't think that was a fair move to him uh but cooper rush was a complete complete disaster um Yeah, their quarterback play was so bad that it's like they couldn't even... like try to throw the ball.

And when they did, it just ended up as a turnover or some really bad play.

So, um, what we can look at though, is the Falcons defense, which actually has gotten off to a strong start to the season.

Ninth and opponent EPA per play fourth and opponents, uh, success rate.

Now they are battling a ton of injuries.

Obviously Pierce is still low because of suspension.

Jalen Walker is going to be out all season.

AJ Terrell questionable.

I believe he went down this past week, so they are banged up, but still they've managed to look pretty good through the first two weeks, at least on that side of the football.

Meanwhile, a little bit concerned about the Packers.

They have not looked good through the first two weeks.

Their defense has kind of been average.

Their offense 28th in EPA per play, 32nd success rate.

Their offensive success rate is actually worse than the Falcons so far, if you can believe it.

Uh, so I don't, I'm not really rushing to lay this many points on the Packers.