AI Is Entering Polls
Artificial intelligence is now infiltrating survey responses.
Stephen HawkinsGuest
Anthony ZurcherHost
Sumi SomaskandaHost
So Anthony, we're actually gonna have a pollster on in a moment who will kind of pull back the curtains on the mysterious world of polling.

Um, but explain why we're talking about this right now, Anthony, why we're kind of taking a closer look at the process behind polling and the numbers that we're seeing.

Well, one of the big reasons is that there have been some pretty remarkable polling misses so far this primary election season.

One in Michigan, where Abdul El-Sayed, uh, the progressive candidate for the Democratic nomination for Senate, looked like he had a big lead, and then when it came down to election day, he only won by a few percentage points over Haley Stevens, uh, the congresswoman from Michigan, and people started to wonder, "Why were the polls off on this?" And then just a week later in Wisconsin, there was, uh, an expectation that Francesca Hong, uh, would win the Democratic governor's nomination.

Uh, in fact, so much so that Mandela Barnes, one of the, uh, rivals of hers, dropped out saying that she was gonna win.

A- and then it turns out she didn't win, and, uh, and a different candidate, uh, David Crowley, ended up pulling it off.

So there's a couple of instances now where we've seen polling tell us one thing, and either the results were a lot closer than we expected or they were just flat-out wrong.

That has raised all of these concerns we discussed about whether polling is accurate or not, dating back over a decade.

Uh, and, uh, and we need to figure out what can polls tell us and what can't they tell us?

So Anthony, we're actually gonna have a pollster on in a moment who will kind of pull back the curtains on the mysterious world of polling.

Um, but explain why we're talking about this right now, Anthony, why we're kind of taking a closer look at the process behind polling and the numbers that we're seeing.

Well, one of the big reasons is that there have been some pretty remarkable polling misses so far this primary election season.

One in Michigan, where Abdul El-Sayed, uh, the progressive candidate for the Democratic nomination for Senate, looked like he had a big lead, and then when it came down to election day, he only won by a few percentage points over Haley Stevens, uh, the congresswoman from Michigan, and people started to wonder, "Why were the polls off on this?" And then just a week later in Wisconsin, there was, uh, an expectation that Francesca Hong, uh, would win the Democratic governor's nomination.

Uh, in fact, so much so that Mandela Barnes, one of the, uh, rivals of hers, dropped out saying that she was gonna win.

A- and then it turns out she didn't win, and, uh, and a different candidate, uh, David Crowley, ended up pulling it off.

So there's a couple of instances now where we've seen polling tell us one thing, and either the results were a lot closer than we expected or they were just flat-out wrong.

That has raised all of these concerns we discussed about whether polling is accurate or not, dating back over a decade.

Uh, and, uh, and we need to figure out what can polls tell us and what can't they tell us?
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3 of 11
AI Is Entering Polls
Artificial intelligence is now infiltrating survey responses.
The Mystery Fake Poll
A mysterious fake poll raised uncomfortable questions.
When Polls Serve Campaigns
Polls can influence campaigns before voters decide.
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