Oct 7, 2026 · 20 min · 9 segments
Four weeks from today, I plan on sitting in the same place (or close to it) to discuss the results of the mid-term elections. How important are they (incredibly) and what would a democratic win would…
Trent MaddoxHost
Everywhere you look, everywhere you check, every internal, every external, every national poll, every local poll.
There are a handful of outliers here and there, like one rando will pop up and say, oh, the Republican has a chance in Maine.
Currently, according to Nate Silver's polling average, the Democrats have about a 68% chance, about two-thirds chance, two out of three times.
We have a confluence of circumstances that usually lead to the out-of-power party election.
And that's because you get a referendum on the incumbents, which always happens in a midterm, especially in the second term of a president.
This is a referendum on the incumbent, and more so than normal, because economic conditions have worsened significantly due to unilateral decisions made by this man.
Donald Trump's decision to levy a bunch of tariffs, which are taxes on imported goods, which of course lead to taxes on our exported goods by the importing countries—that's how it works— Tariffs, taxes on goods imported into the United States have increased the cost of those goods to the end consumers, those of us who, you know, pay to do things, to use things.
Everywhere you look, everywhere you check, every internal, every external, every national poll, every local poll.
There are a handful of outliers here and there, like one rando will pop up and say, oh, the Republican has a chance in Maine.
Currently, according to Nate Silver's polling average, the Democrats have about a 68% chance, about two-thirds chance, two out of three times.
We have a confluence of circumstances that usually lead to the out-of-power party election.
And that's because you get a referendum on the incumbents, which always happens in a midterm, especially in the second term of a president.
This is a referendum on the incumbent, and more so than normal, because economic conditions have worsened significantly due to unilateral decisions made by this man.
Donald Trump's decision to levy a bunch of tariffs, which are taxes on imported goods, which of course lead to taxes on our exported goods by the importing countries—that's how it works— Tariffs, taxes on goods imported into the United States have increased the cost of those goods to the end consumers, those of us who, you know, pay to do things, to use things.
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