Oct 1, 2026 · 9 min · 8 segments
Mark Carney’s personal approval has reached the highest level of his time as prime minister. Abacus Data finds 56 percent of Canadians hold a positive impression of him. Overall government approval…
David ColettoGuestPodcast HostHostPersonal approval for the prime minister is at fifty-six percent positive.
Government approval is at sixty percent.
On voting intention, Abacus has the Liberals at forty-six percent and the Conservatives at thirty-four percent.
The trend is not a one-week bounce.
Liberal support has climbed from the low forties in recent weeks.
Conservative support has declined, with some polls placing the party near twenty-nine to thirty-three percent.
A lead of this size, if it held through an election, would point toward a large Liberal majority and a Conservative caucus far smaller than the one Stephen Harper led into defeat in twenty fifteen.
These figures matter because they are national, they are repeated across firms, and they are moving in the same direction.
The main driver is not a sudden love of the Liberal Party brand.
It is how Canadians rate Carney's handling of the relationship with the United States.
The trade conflict with the Trump administration is the most important issue on the public mind.
It creates anxiety and uncertainty.
That judgment is carrying the rest of his numbers.
In other words, the external pressure that is damaging exporters is also consolidating support behind the prime minister, who is seen as the person equipped to manage it.
Competence under threat is the core of this rise.
Personal approval for the prime minister is at fifty-six percent positive.
Government approval is at sixty percent.
On voting intention, Abacus has the Liberals at forty-six percent and the Conservatives at thirty-four percent.
The trend is not a one-week bounce.
Liberal support has climbed from the low forties in recent weeks.
Conservative support has declined, with some polls placing the party near twenty-nine to thirty-three percent.
A lead of this size, if it held through an election, would point toward a large Liberal majority and a Conservative caucus far smaller than the one Stephen Harper led into defeat in twenty fifteen.
These figures matter because they are national, they are repeated across firms, and they are moving in the same direction.
The main driver is not a sudden love of the Liberal Party brand.
It is how Canadians rate Carney's handling of the relationship with the United States.
The trade conflict with the Trump administration is the most important issue on the public mind.
It creates anxiety and uncertainty.
That judgment is carrying the rest of his numbers.
In other words, the external pressure that is damaging exporters is also consolidating support behind the prime minister, who is seen as the person equipped to manage it.
Competence under threat is the core of this rise.
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