May 18, 2026 · 1 hr 12 min · 27 segments
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Theo GremmingerHost
Josh Jacobs in 2022 when he was in Oakland had that amazing season where he fell all the way to the eighth round in FFPC, was like a fifth, sixth round pick in FFPC.

Then you go back to 2021, maybe the ultimate year for finding this sort of edge pick.

Cooper Kupp outscored every single quarterback, had one of the best wide receiver seasons of all time, and he did so as the second highest drafted wide receiver on his team behind Robert Woods.

And then at the quarterback position, Scott, Patrick Mahomes 2018, smash, MVP, year two, broke fantasy.

And of course, you're sort of synonymous with the Lamar Jackson 2019 season where you pushed the chips in and he broke fantasy.

But talk about the power law player and sort of how this is your draft philosophy in a nutshell.
The theme of today's show is, is dark horse candidates to lead their position in fantasy points.
And what I think separates me from most other fantasy analysts you listen to is, you know, my self-proclaimed magnum opus, upside wins championships.
Like, in any given season, there's really only four or five players, like, who really matter, but those players who really matter are, like, the keys to whether or not you won or lost your championship.
I don't think the optimal approach for a drafter is to be all that concerned with the median projection or at least not as much as their potential to lead the position in fantasy points or top five if their ADP is a little bit lower.
For the quarterback position, which, you know, might be my best position or at least, you know, the best track record over the years, I don't draft a quarterback if I don't think they have the potential to lead the position in fantasy points.
That's what we're trying to be chasing in our drafts, is that upside, that potential.
And so if you have a player who, you know, I'll talk about this all the time, has a 10% chance of leading their position in fantasy points, but the other 90% of the time it's a wasted pick, I would rather gravitate towards that than a player with a 90% chance of slightly beating their ADP but 0% chance of doing, uh, any better than that or, or, you know, leading the position in fantasy points.

Josh Jacobs in 2022 when he was in Oakland had that amazing season where he fell all the way to the eighth round in FFPC, was like a fifth, sixth round pick in FFPC.

Then you go back to 2021, maybe the ultimate year for finding this sort of edge pick.

Cooper Kupp outscored every single quarterback, had one of the best wide receiver seasons of all time, and he did so as the second highest drafted wide receiver on his team behind Robert Woods.

And then at the quarterback position, Scott, Patrick Mahomes 2018, smash, MVP, year two, broke fantasy.

And of course, you're sort of synonymous with the Lamar Jackson 2019 season where you pushed the chips in and he broke fantasy.

But talk about the power law player and sort of how this is your draft philosophy in a nutshell.
The theme of today's show is, is dark horse candidates to lead their position in fantasy points.
And what I think separates me from most other fantasy analysts you listen to is, you know, my self-proclaimed magnum opus, upside wins championships.
Like, in any given season, there's really only four or five players, like, who really matter, but those players who really matter are, like, the keys to whether or not you won or lost your championship.
I don't think the optimal approach for a drafter is to be all that concerned with the median projection or at least not as much as their potential to lead the position in fantasy points or top five if their ADP is a little bit lower.
For the quarterback position, which, you know, might be my best position or at least, you know, the best track record over the years, I don't draft a quarterback if I don't think they have the potential to lead the position in fantasy points.
That's what we're trying to be chasing in our drafts, is that upside, that potential.
And so if you have a player who, you know, I'll talk about this all the time, has a 10% chance of leading their position in fantasy points, but the other 90% of the time it's a wasted pick, I would rather gravitate towards that than a player with a 90% chance of slightly beating their ADP but 0% chance of doing, uh, any better than that or, or, you know, leading the position in fantasy points.
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