The Swing Voters that Could Define the Midterms (And Beyond)

Yeah, I was going to say, obviously, as with all voting blocks, like the group is not a monolith.

All kinds of people vote for all kinds of different reasons.

But is there any kind of like through line that we see for Latinos that they are going back to Democrats for X reason or Y reason?

The big reason is the same reason a lot of voters are frustrated.

Frankly, it's the economy, the cost of living.

There certainly is backlash, particularly in some communities that have been most clearly affected by his mass deportation efforts.

But it's the economy.

What's fascinating about Latino voters is that they are the Latino electorate in particular, is that it is comprised of about 36 million voters.

And it's a true swing voting bloc.

It has emerged as one in recent years.

That's the kind of thing you don't see much of in America these days.

Like they're not loyal to Republicans.

They're not loyal to Democrats either.

Exactly.

Exactly.

They are voting against what they see as failed government.

Right.

It explains why, for example, in New York City, a moderate like Eric Adams, followed by a progressive like Zoran Mondani can win.

It explains why some very progressive candidates are doing well in some heavily Latino districts and very conservative Democratic candidates appear to be doing well in other districts.

It's not so much about ideology, although that is a factor, but it is largely about the economy and a sense of power.

You haven't delivered on the promises you've made.

So let's give the other side a chance.

And that's the trap for Democrats.

Right.

By the way, if they win the majority in the House and the Senate this year and then fail to deliver, they would be walking into another presidential election with a. key vote, a key block of swing voters who are dissatisfied with the state of play.