Eric Bradner
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Oct 19, 2026
The Swing Voters that Could Define the Midterms (And Beyond)
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David RindHOST
And I think the question at the time was, would that voting block stick with Republicans? Like, was this a more permanent shift? Like, do we have a sense of that answer two years on?

Eric BradnerGUEST
Yeah, at the time, Republicans obviously hoped this was a long-term realignment.

Eric BradnerGUEST
But now what polls tell us and what interviews with Latino voters across the country indicate to us and what both parties clearly believe as we look at the patterns in terms of where they're spending money, where they're focusing, everyone is expecting Latino voters to shift back in Democrats' favor in the midterms, which could have – really big consequences again across a number of those house races that are key in the battle for the majority and what this means is that for example in texas that mid-decade redistricting that was intended to solidify five seats as many as three of them could actually remain in Democratic hands.

Eric BradnerGUEST
But we see similar stories playing out across the Central Valley in California, New York, Florida.

Eric BradnerGUEST
In Florida in particular, there's a Republican congresswoman in South Florida who won by 20 points in the last election.
7 MINS LATER