Oct 12, 2026 · 42 min · 15 segments
Hour 3 of Cardle & Woolley, for October 12. In this hour: we're exposing the mainstream media's phony polling that constantly underestimates Republicans and breaking down the globalized intifada…
Jim, you've contended for a long time that the polls are not accurate, that they're not any good till the week of when the networks and the polling companies don't want to be, uh, made into fools.
Uh, so what do you make out of, out of it right now? Where do we stand on these polls? Which ones do you believe? Which ones do you not believe?
Well, I'm willing to take them at their face value right now, but the important part is what objective pollsters like Harry Enten have done is look back historically.
What I'm seeing right now is very reminiscent of what the polls showed back in 2016 when Donald Trump was given a 5% chance of winning the presidency and Hillary Clinton was a virtual lock at 95%.
Uh, Republicans have been, as they say, outperforming or over-performing the polls.
Uh, but the, the setup right now is pretty much leading toward that exact same thing.
If you look in Ohio, if you look in Iowa, if you look in, uh, New Hampshire and some of these other states where the Senate is gonna be determined, even in Texas, Republicans, Beto O'Rourke versus Ted Cruz.
Republicans always underperform in the polls, but then come election day, surprise, surprise, they pull out the wins.
That's where I see things stand right now, and we're gonna continue to see more here in the next three weeks where it's close and closing is how they generally end up.
But history also shows that the Democrat unfavorable is just as bad as Donald Trump's unfavorable.
And if you look at the previous results from the last couple election cycles, Republicans have pulled it out.
So the Republicans were, were given far too much credit in those polls, and they were over-predicted.
And then subsequently two years later, there was a, a bit of a red, uh, trickle, shall we say.
Jim, you've contended for a long time that the polls are not accurate, that they're not any good till the week of when the networks and the polling companies don't want to be, uh, made into fools.
Uh, so what do you make out of, out of it right now? Where do we stand on these polls? Which ones do you believe? Which ones do you not believe?
Well, I'm willing to take them at their face value right now, but the important part is what objective pollsters like Harry Enten have done is look back historically.
What I'm seeing right now is very reminiscent of what the polls showed back in 2016 when Donald Trump was given a 5% chance of winning the presidency and Hillary Clinton was a virtual lock at 95%.
Uh, Republicans have been, as they say, outperforming or over-performing the polls.
Uh, but the, the setup right now is pretty much leading toward that exact same thing.
If you look in Ohio, if you look in Iowa, if you look in, uh, New Hampshire and some of these other states where the Senate is gonna be determined, even in Texas, Republicans, Beto O'Rourke versus Ted Cruz.
Republicans always underperform in the polls, but then come election day, surprise, surprise, they pull out the wins.
That's where I see things stand right now, and we're gonna continue to see more here in the next three weeks where it's close and closing is how they generally end up.
But history also shows that the Democrat unfavorable is just as bad as Donald Trump's unfavorable.
And if you look at the previous results from the last couple election cycles, Republicans have pulled it out.
So the Republicans were, were given far too much credit in those polls, and they were over-predicted.
And then subsequently two years later, there was a, a bit of a red, uh, trickle, shall we say.
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