Matt MontemurroGuest
Hilly CutlerHost
Zayla SaundersHost
Uh, last week, equities declined as oil surged, inflation in the US remained sticky, and bond yields rose sharply.


Small cap in particular was, was out of favor, uh, while mega caps, you know, outperformed on a relative basis.

In the US, energy, due to strong oil prices, uh, as well as the tech-heavy communication services and technology sectors kind of buoyed the markets there.

In Canada, on the other hand, every single sector, all 11 gig sectors were in the red.

But there were three things in particular that I think are important to highlight about what happened last week and as we look ahead to the future.

First, bonds repriced aggressively as yields continued to rise and yield curves flattened.

In the US, two-year Treasuries were up twenty-six basis points and ended the week at around four point six three percent.

That's a level we haven't seen in more than two years, going all the way back to July twenty twenty-four.

Ten-year Treasuries, uh, were up eighteen basis points and held, uh, just under five percent.

And the spread between US, uh, two-year and ten-year Treasuries flattened eight basis points to thirty-three.


Ten-year government of Canada bonds were up seventeen basis points to three ninety-four, and we saw eleven basis points of flattening on the twos to tens yield curve there.

We had oil making some big moves last week as, as Middle East tensions flared up.

Again, WTI was a, you know, up almost ten percent on the week, around a hundred dollars.


And, you know, the higher energy costs are, are really complicating the inflation outlook, uh, and driving these, these bond yields higher.


So at the time of this recording, it's Monday morning, September fourteenth, just under ninety percent probability of a twenty-five basis points rate hike.

What to look out for in the week ahead? In addition to the Fed meeting on Wednesday, we've got the Bank of England, uh, meeting on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday with their own, uh, central bank, uh, decisions to be made.

Uh, last week, equities declined as oil surged, inflation in the US remained sticky, and bond yields rose sharply.


Small cap in particular was, was out of favor, uh, while mega caps, you know, outperformed on a relative basis.

In the US, energy, due to strong oil prices, uh, as well as the tech-heavy communication services and technology sectors kind of buoyed the markets there.

In Canada, on the other hand, every single sector, all 11 gig sectors were in the red.

But there were three things in particular that I think are important to highlight about what happened last week and as we look ahead to the future.

First, bonds repriced aggressively as yields continued to rise and yield curves flattened.

In the US, two-year Treasuries were up twenty-six basis points and ended the week at around four point six three percent.

That's a level we haven't seen in more than two years, going all the way back to July twenty twenty-four.

Ten-year Treasuries, uh, were up eighteen basis points and held, uh, just under five percent.

And the spread between US, uh, two-year and ten-year Treasuries flattened eight basis points to thirty-three.


Ten-year government of Canada bonds were up seventeen basis points to three ninety-four, and we saw eleven basis points of flattening on the twos to tens yield curve there.

We had oil making some big moves last week as, as Middle East tensions flared up.

Again, WTI was a, you know, up almost ten percent on the week, around a hundred dollars.


And, you know, the higher energy costs are, are really complicating the inflation outlook, uh, and driving these, these bond yields higher.


So at the time of this recording, it's Monday morning, September fourteenth, just under ninety percent probability of a twenty-five basis points rate hike.

What to look out for in the week ahead? In addition to the Fed meeting on Wednesday, we've got the Bank of England, uh, meeting on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday with their own, uh, central bank, uh, decisions to be made.
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