Ep 254: Three Ranchers. One Question. The Worst Way to Spend $50,000.

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Find out more at longrangedewormer.com. Well, joining us now with a look at our long-range weather is meteorologist Don Day.

And Don, we had talked about it a, a week or two ago and, and even last week, the fact that we are absolutely seeing a transition in our weather.

In one of your podcasts last week was looking to see that, starting to see that southern flow of some moisture coming up.

Yeah.

No, there, there's been some very modest help in selected locations in terms of the central Rockies and the central High Plains.

In particular, parts of Colorado and parts of Wyoming have seen a significant improvement.

In fact, latest drought monitor showing some, uh, changes in drought status in some areas, going down a level or two.

But there's a huge swath of real estate, as you just mentioned, that since November has just been very, very dry, and the spring has not been productive so far in those areas.

But the patterns are changing.

We're gonna see less in the way of these cold intrusions coming out of Canada like we've seen for most of the month, and get into a pattern where the lower latitude air starts to come into the lower 48 states.

What do I mean by lower latitude air? Basically, we start to see wind patterns that we get Gulf moisture, we get moisture coming up out of Central America and Mexico, having easier access into the United States.

And that higher humidity air this time of year can really be the impetus of more active and more rain-producing showers and thunderstorms, as we are definitely seeing a transition from the cold season to the warmer season.

So in the next couple of weeks, I do foresee not only, as we just mentioned, the South, but some parts of the central High Plains and southern Rockies that are so dry and drought-ridden to at least get some help.

I, I don't think y- when you have a drought of this extent, it's gonna take a long time to get rid of it, but there should be some more, more productive patterns in terms of what we're seeing with the weather as we get into the end of May and into early June.

Okay.

Now, the other big topic, of course, when we're talking weather is the, uh, advancement of El Niño happening.

And, uh, you, we kinda got a, two sides or two sets of folks out there.

You got some that are really pushing hard in the news out there, and then there's some saying, "Well, you know, just kinda hold a bit." What are you seeing?

Yeah.

There's definitely two sides i- in the weather field lining up with this El Niño.

We're getting a little ahead of ourselves, and the reason is, is that you have to take a really strong historical perspective.

Anytime you get into a La Niña or an El Niño, especially when they're, were strong like this one's forecasted to be, is, is that it's not apples to apples.

It's not just about what's going on in the subtropical Pacific.

That's the main driver, but w- there are big differences from this developing El Niño in terms of what water temperature conditions out in the Pacific were like in, in past events.