Sep 8, 2026 · 48 min · 16 segments
In Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, Republicans have historically won the district with over 60% of the vote. The last close election was in 2018, and since then, the district has been…
Andrew CooperriderHostNow there are some slight issues with these polls, for example, leaving off, uh, third party candidates and, and some other things.
But realistically speaking here, just realistically speaking, uh, no matter which way you cut it, it does show issues for the Ralph Alvarado campaign, a race that really historically shouldn't be that close.
I mean, if we're to look, the closest anybody ever came, which was the last midterm against Andy Barr, was Amy McGrath versus Andy Barr during the last Trump midterm.
Cause you've had redistricting, uh, to make the district a safer Republican district.
Yet despite that, we're seeing polling showing them, once again, Dembo and Alvarado neck and neck.
What does that have to do? What is going on there? Why is this occurring? Because when we see the last Andy Barr election there, and we'll just look at, I don't know, we can look at 2020.
That's a little more comparable, of course, right? So Andy Barr won 63% of the vote to 36%.
2018, of course, we talked about before, Amy McGrath, Andy Barr, 51% to 47.8%.
But it became, like I said, it became even stronger of... a Republican district since then.
So why are they struggling so much? Well, there's, I think, a few different issues playing into this that people aren't talking about.
Of course, there's a major one that people are talking about, which is what's going on at the federal level, of course.
Now there are some slight issues with these polls, for example, leaving off, uh, third party candidates and, and some other things.
But realistically speaking here, just realistically speaking, uh, no matter which way you cut it, it does show issues for the Ralph Alvarado campaign, a race that really historically shouldn't be that close.
I mean, if we're to look, the closest anybody ever came, which was the last midterm against Andy Barr, was Amy McGrath versus Andy Barr during the last Trump midterm.
Cause you've had redistricting, uh, to make the district a safer Republican district.
Yet despite that, we're seeing polling showing them, once again, Dembo and Alvarado neck and neck.
What does that have to do? What is going on there? Why is this occurring? Because when we see the last Andy Barr election there, and we'll just look at, I don't know, we can look at 2020.
That's a little more comparable, of course, right? So Andy Barr won 63% of the vote to 36%.
2018, of course, we talked about before, Amy McGrath, Andy Barr, 51% to 47.8%.
But it became, like I said, it became even stronger of... a Republican district since then.
So why are they struggling so much? Well, there's, I think, a few different issues playing into this that people aren't talking about.
Of course, there's a major one that people are talking about, which is what's going on at the federal level, of course.
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