Trump’s Midterm Mess

The midterms are less than a month away, so let's get right to it.

I checked the latest RealClearPolitics polls.

Just before we went on the air and, and by the way, the midterms, as you all know, are a report card on the president's popularity.

So his real clear politics numbers will reflect how Republicans probably will do or not do in the midterms.

Roughly 38% approve of Donald Trump, 60% disapprove.

In a word, those numbers are horrible, just horrible.

They don't portend well for the GOP in the midterms.

Then there's Calchi, the online betting site, where regular people put their money where their mouth is.

They bet their own money on how they think the results will turn out.

I checked this just before we went on also.

Democrats taking control of the House, 91% chance.

I've said this before, I think that number is low.

I think it's 100%.

As far as the Senate, Republicans have only a 36% chance of holding on to the Senate.

Democrats have a 64% chance of taking control of the Senate.

That means if Calchi people are right, the Democrats will take control of both houses of Congress.

I just want to make two points very quickly.

We'll get to the implications after I throw to John.

I want to talk about the fact that Calchi, there have been online studies of this.

When there's a majority voting for this or for that, the majority is incredibly accurate.

They're incredibly accurate.

So these numbers are not simply a bunch of yahoos betting who they think is going to win.

Take it seriously.

And as I say, I'll get to the implications after John weighs in on what he thinks of these numbers.

Yeah, no, it seems like every time there's a new indicator out there of where the electorate is headed in the midterms, whether it's a new poll or the gambling odds that you're talking about, Bernie, it seems to be looking better for the Democrats and worse for the Republicans.