Jun 11, 2026 · 34 min · 12 segments
This week, we focus on SBM Intelligence's latest report, Nigeria 2027: How the Country May Vote – Voter Sentiment Tracker, Wave 1 Analysis. The report provides an early snapshot of voter sentiment…
Veronica Pana-IgubeHostInsecurity and economic hardship emerged as the dominant concern for voters.
Which of these issues is likely to have the greatest impact on voter behaviour?
So, you know, fully, almost half of our respondents say insecurity is their dominant concern.
When we conducted the surveys in all of the geopolitical zones, the mass school kidnapping in Oriri and Oyo state are not accord.
The one that also occurred that same week in Boronu state are not accord, right? I would imagine that this proportion will increase.
as we continue to talk to voters, and that sentiment comes through in subsequent editions of the VST.
But it does not appear from some of the proposals that have been put on the table by the current administration that the current administration thinks that voters are likely to penalize it.
Maybe if it's a situation where it is not a 40 plus percent concern and it's a 70, 75 plus percent right situation.
And if we also combine that with a scenario where more of these attacks unfortunately happen, then it may become I expect it, one, to become a much more significant concern for voters.
But secondly, and more importantly, it may be something that the politicians fighting for re-election will realize that they cannot ignore anymore, or at least treat it with kids' clothes.
Insecurity and economic hardship emerged as the dominant concern for voters.
Which of these issues is likely to have the greatest impact on voter behaviour?
So, you know, fully, almost half of our respondents say insecurity is their dominant concern.
When we conducted the surveys in all of the geopolitical zones, the mass school kidnapping in Oriri and Oyo state are not accord.
The one that also occurred that same week in Boronu state are not accord, right? I would imagine that this proportion will increase.
as we continue to talk to voters, and that sentiment comes through in subsequent editions of the VST.
But it does not appear from some of the proposals that have been put on the table by the current administration that the current administration thinks that voters are likely to penalize it.
Maybe if it's a situation where it is not a 40 plus percent concern and it's a 70, 75 plus percent right situation.
And if we also combine that with a scenario where more of these attacks unfortunately happen, then it may become I expect it, one, to become a much more significant concern for voters.
But secondly, and more importantly, it may be something that the politicians fighting for re-election will realize that they cannot ignore anymore, or at least treat it with kids' clothes.
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