Lights Camera What's The Action?
Oct 20, 2026 · 5 min · 4 segments
The Oscars betting market is moving, but are the sportsbooks getting it wrong? The betting experts reveal their highest-conviction Oscars bet of the season, with odds we believe are still seriously…
Well, Tony, let's just do a little bit of a history lesson here and look at the 2025 Oscars.
So this time last year, Well into December and January, we had Timothee Chalamet.
He was the frontrunner for Mardi Supreme, and it was a late change in the season, and Michael Jordan prevailed, and he won Best Actor.
This time last year, we had Stellan Skarsgård, who for a long while was the frontrunner to win Best Supporting Actor.
She was quietly there in the background, and she also prevailed as the betting winner.
This is just a little bit of a lesson about the front runner optical illusion that can sometimes take hold of us.
And this takes me into the best bet and single bet that I have.
High likability factor.
He's got the career narrative, quietly sitting there.
And he has, he's starring in the front runner.
and the boat that will be lifted in a rising tide, which is the strongest film for Best Picture at the moment, which is The Odyssey.
We've seen it happen many times over in recent years, where the strongest film just carries many of the other performers and actors to an acting win.
And then for Best Actress, you know, how would you like to get a 50% return on your money for something that's like an 80% probability? This is just blow it up, put your slippers on, suck on a nice cigar and just wait six months until payday.
This is just easy, easy, free money.
Well, Tony, let's just do a little bit of a history lesson here and look at the 2025 Oscars.
So this time last year, Well into December and January, we had Timothee Chalamet.
He was the frontrunner for Mardi Supreme, and it was a late change in the season, and Michael Jordan prevailed, and he won Best Actor.
This time last year, we had Stellan Skarsgård, who for a long while was the frontrunner to win Best Supporting Actor.
She was quietly there in the background, and she also prevailed as the betting winner.
This is just a little bit of a lesson about the front runner optical illusion that can sometimes take hold of us.
And this takes me into the best bet and single bet that I have.
High likability factor.
He's got the career narrative, quietly sitting there.
And he has, he's starring in the front runner.
and the boat that will be lifted in a rising tide, which is the strongest film for Best Picture at the moment, which is The Odyssey.
We've seen it happen many times over in recent years, where the strongest film just carries many of the other performers and actors to an acting win.
And then for Best Actress, you know, how would you like to get a 50% return on your money for something that's like an 80% probability? This is just blow it up, put your slippers on, suck on a nice cigar and just wait six months until payday.
This is just easy, easy, free money.
The rest of this transcript — segmented and speaker-labeled, so you land on the exact moment something was said
Search every transcript — by keyword, by phrase, or by meaning, across every show Radar indexes
Trends — what is surging across podcasts, measured against its own baseline
Alerts — when a name you follow appears in a newly indexed episode
No account is needed to search Radar.
