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Walid Phares

Walid Phares

Lebanese-American scholar

Oct 2, 2026

50:29
Is the end in sight, or is this going to escalate?
50:33
The end could be in sight if the President makes couple strong decisions.
50:37
I wish I was in the Oval Office to give him at least [laughs] some of my suggestions.
50:41
Number one, it is late if you want to avoid the backlash of midterm elections.
50:46
Actually, those who are gonna vote with the other side have decided, same for the President's sides, which is the Republicans.
50:52
But what the President can do, and his basic instincts already told him, you can read it on his, on his face, he doesn't trust the Islamic regime anymore.
51:02
Of course, you have the pressures by the business people, by the investors.
52:17
Why does this continue, and why does the Nigerian government still insist it isn't religious or religiously motivated?
16:59
So I'll stop there and let Waleed continue about other practicalities.
17:04
Absolutely.
17:05
If you allow me, I'll segue a little bit and then we address more details if you want.
17:10
First, who is this super coalition representing? It's not really an organization.
17:15
We are a mothership, little mothership, few cadres in the center.
17:19
But the troops exist before us, with us, after us, so on and so forth.
17:23
Let me take you through the geography.

46 MINS LATER

63:30
And you mentioned that briefly.
34:27
Who are we talking about that's still doing business with Iran that we've told months ago, "Stop doing business"?
34:33
The, the, the, the sheer power of the Treasury Department in America is global, global reach.
34:40
First of all, they know everything.
34:42
They have the support of their own intelligence service.
34:44
There is one for the Treasury Department, and all other intelligence services and our allies, should they be in Europe, in Israel and in Arab-friend, friendly, uh, forces.
34:56
So we have the capability.
34:58
That's why the secretary called it D-Day.
37:34
Yeah.
33:41
If they're out of cash, they're
33:42
screwed.
33:43
Yes, no? They are partially screwed.
33:47
But let me make one comment in the beginning to understand the map we are dealing with.
33:51
There's a difference between the economy of Iran, meaning the Iranian people.
33:56
They're getting poorer and poorer and desperate.
34:00
And they tried one time to free themselves.
36:20
if this
speaker_1UNKNOWN
42:22
Okay
42:22
... first about the president.
42:23
The president now is going a little bit more in the right direction on all fronts, confronting the Islamic regime in Iran, we'll talk about it, bringing in the Saudis, good Lord, from, from years of absence from the battlefield, uh, sending missiles with us against the, the regime in Iran.
42:41
But the more important matter is that now President Trump realized that without his own intervention between Ukraine and Russia, it's not gonna be resolved.
42:51
And the problem has been that the Kremlin should have taken advantage of having a president like President Trump in the White House to help them.
42:59
They need to stop that war.
43:01
They are exhausted.
speaker_1UNKNOWN
44:48
Mm-hmm
29:52
doc let's start this time because it's always about iran iran with russia ukraine because man has ukraine been stepping it up i thought they were decimated if you listen to russia and they didn't have much to fight back with but they have been striking near moscow inside moscow inside russia they're hitting energy oil all this stuff i got to imagine that putin at some point is going to have to want to come to the bargaining table am i wrong
30:20
No, you're not wrong.
30:21
Actually, on the ground, historically, it looks like the Korean War.
30:25
You know, the North Koreans and the Chinese have pushed all the way down to the peninsula.
30:29
And we pushed them down, up with the Southern Koreans, all the way to a certain limit, which became the border.
30:36
So now at this point in time, the Kremlin, that's President Putin's advisors, they initially wanted to take all of Ukraine and the capital.
30:45
We witnessed this, but then they had to retreat to a certain point.
33:21
What are you hearing right now as far as negotiations? Are they just sunk or what?
Eric Levine
Eric LevinePANELIST
11:37
Do you share the same view that some of the people that are giving the president advice just don't know or understand who the Iranians are?
11:46
Well, absolutely.
11:47
It cannot be otherwise.
11:48
I mean, this is our president.
11:50
We need to protect him first.
11:51
And we need to be absolutely loyal to facts that we are presenting to the president.
11:58
I mean, he's our president.

7 MINS LATER

Eric Levine
Eric LevinePANELIST
18:43
happened to be living at the borders of Iran.
16:20
What do you hear?
16:22
You know, you said it in your intro.
16:24
Basically, the regime is saying things in public.
16:28
and then saying probably other things in private when they actually meet.
16:33
They want to reassure their base, the regime's base, not the Iranian people.
16:37
These are two different things that they have the control of the process, that they are going to be forcing the United States to send them the money they want.
16:47
It's all about money, or mostly it's about money.
18:41
So what do you think should be done, Doc? Then if
speaker_6ADVERTISER
21:26
Start your show today at Spreaker.com. Spreaker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it.
21:35
The American side, President Trump, his vice president, and their team find this deal as good, sustainable, and they will have a lot of eyes to observe it.
21:44
I agree.
21:45
But the Iranian or the Islamic regime side interpretation of the deal It's still untrusted by me.
21:53
And they have to answer a lot of questions and behave differently.
21:57
You know what? The answer to this deal from the Islamic regime side is, are they still at war with the United States? They have to bring down those slogans of you know, death to America, death to Israel.
22:08
So there's a lot of work to be done on their side for that to happen, for me to be able to trust it.
22:48
Are they thinking it's good, bad, and who's for it and who's against it?
5:28
What are you hearing?
5:30
It did happen.
5:31
But I mean, before I engage in the details, remind your public, your audience.
5:36
that a similar conversation took place at the end of the 12-day war last year, and we tend to forget it.
5:43
He said bigger words against Bibi Netanyahu and against the Iranians.
5:48
And he used the F-term because they were not abiding by the ceasefire.
5:53
He has his own thing.
8:07
But where are we in the actual peace negotiations? This ceasefire was only for, what, 60 days? And it barely lasted a few days.
6:49
I'm worried about stopping Iran and finishing this.
6:52
That's the right statement.
6:54
You and I have been discussing this for a while now, and that is the right statement.
6:59
He has to unlink the campaign against that regime from the campaign to maintain a majority and maybe increase it in Congress.
7:08
Let me say one thing.
7:10
The regime has as leadership commanders of the IRGC, but they have the bankers now.
7:15
That's what we are learning.
10:20
we've had
22:16
Uh, do you buy that, or is there a, um, or do you see something else behind it?
22:21
There are certainly differences between, uh, Israeli explanation and US explanation, and even within the US, uh, between various poles of the, uh, administration.
22:32
But the general strategy is that all negotiations, serious negotiations with the Islamic regime in Iran have failed, and that the story did not, uh, start a few weeks ago when the military operation, uh, started.
22:47
It, it really started at the end of the twelve-day war, uh, back in, uh, in the summer last year.
22:53
And the issue was that the Israelis were ready at the end of the twelve-day war to continue and strike exactly as the coalition now is striking, meaning targeting mostly the IRGC and of course the larger popular militia, uh, which is the Basij.
23:11
That's what they wanted to do.
23:12
But somehow, probably Qatar intervened and others intervened and promised that the regime at the time, Khamenei was in charge, uh, will make considerable, uh, concessions.
26:37
Um, so do you see a credible on-the-ground, uh, alternative to the current Islamic Republic?
72:06
Yeah
72:06
... chapter of a regional war.
72:07
It all depends on what would our partners, Arab partners, uh, what would Turkey do? What would many countries do? And also, what would China and Russia do? We know that Russia is now very busy in Ukraine.
72:19
China could be busy sending equipment to the regime, the Islamic regime of Iran.
72:24
The problem is, would, after two or three days, they still have airports and airfields to land this equipment? So it's going very, uh, fast.
72:32
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth described this morning in a, in a stunning way what we are actually doing on the ground, and it could be summarized very quickly.
72:41
They have no more navy, or let's say 90% of the navy is already gone, which means something very important.
74:32
How do we determine when we're finished, when this mission is complete? Uh, do you have any idea? Or, or from your perspective, what would a metric of completion of this war be?
17:01
What is your assessment of where things stand at, what is this, 4 o'clock on Monday, about 48 hours after this thing started, maybe a little longer?
17:09
yeah eric we this is great we are at the third day we have done only 10 to 15 but the most important of the whole conflict is to start with doing the the ultimate objective now is to make sure that the iranian navy or the regime's navy is destroyed or disabled why because that way we can protect the hormones passage which is so important economically for the rest of the world and for us And second is to attack the ICBMs as the secretary of war, Pete Hexett has said, making sure that they won't have delivery systems.
17:43
Thirdly, of course, destroying the Iranian air force or the regime's air force.
17:47
And that could be done very easily in every encounter.
17:51
As we can see now on the screen, these wonderful, you know, air force planes and fighters can defeat the other side.
17:59
But when it gets complicated is what to do with the regime.
18:03
You and I have discussed before the war that the two goals are to bring down or to dismantle the IRGC.
22:51
Are those countries not going to step up and say, enough Iran, we're going to get involved in this? I mean, it would seem like that would be the thing it would take to bring the regime down fully and completely.
16:24
Waleed, weigh in on that, will you?
16:27
Eric, this is the usual narrative by Islamist regimes, in this case, humanists in Iran regime.
16:34
They are the ones who have the tanks.
16:35
They are the ones who have the troops.
16:37
They are the ones who have been shooting, machine gunning, mowing down people.
16:42
And I remember when, in the beginning, there were about 2,500 people killed.
16:48
The regime said 500.
20:32
Where is that? Where are we? What inning of the ballgame are we, so to speak?
23:08
Doctor, is it a regime change or is removing Ali Khomeini, the Ayatollah, simply akin to removing Maduro in Venezuela and the infrastructure that's already there just replaces him? How does this work?
23:25
It's not going to work, Eric.
23:26
I mean, if we take the Venezuelan model and try to apply it to Iran, they are about, they say, at least 12,000 people killed by the regime.
23:36
No regime can survive this.
23:38
Either they're going to continue to kill and get them to 100,000 or they're going to go.
23:41
There is no middle way.
23:43
I don't imagine that there's going to be a national cabinet of unity between the Islamic regime and these masses.
24:58
So the religious fanaticism, will there ever be a case where they've been removed from power? They can still exist, but at least from the day-to-day running of the country? Let me
23:24
But what about Delcy Rodriguez and the rest of the Maduro regime? I mean, they can't be trusted, can they? How does this all proceed from here? Good morning to you.
23:33
Good morning to you.
23:34
Thank you for having me and happy new year to you and your team.
23:37
President Trump made something unclear a little bit clearer when he said, we're going to run.
23:43
Now, there are legal, even international law legal ground to this.
23:47
It's a mandate.
23:48
It's a mandate for the United States to rearrange the relationship with Venezuela, making sure that the threat that was previously against the United States is over.
26:45
Where is this heading exactly? Do you think this regime ultimately falls or is this a false alarm?
49:25
Tell us how this headline may change the outlook for foreign policy here in the U.S.
49:30
Well, Eric, for many, many decades now, since 1979, the Islamic regime in Iran is in a state of war with the United States.
49:39
At times, they do deals, like under Obama, for example.
49:42
They said, well, if you give us $150 billion, we can calm down and then we'll see what we do.
49:47
They used some of the money.
49:50
to lobby here in the United States and in Europe, but a lot of that money to support the militias, Hezbollah, Hashd, Houthis, Assad regime at the time.
50:00
So really, they have the comfortable position of willing to do deals anytime they want, but their position, their legitimate position is that they are in confrontation.
54:43
Should we expect some terrorist activity coming up this week, later this week?

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