
Simon Skinner
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Aug 6, 2026
37. New tools, old habits: Investing in the age of AI
25:19
Where are you currently seeing the greatest disconnect between market attention and underlying value?
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25:33Simon SkinnerGUEST
But what we try to do is to calibrate to what we can see is actually happening in the world, and then thinking through the second and third order consequences.
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25:41Simon SkinnerGUEST
And so some of the things that we've been successful in spotting was that memory pricing would be positively impacted because of the demand that's driven from AI chips.
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25:51Simon SkinnerGUEST
And so while now it feels, you know, very obvious that the likes of Samsung and SK Hynix would be massive winners from AI, we were researching this 18 months ago when it was very far from the case that it would be obvious.
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26:04Simon SkinnerGUEST
But we looked through what was happening, the technology, the supply chains, and thought that these companies would have, you know, earnings inflect very sharply positively for a sustained period, and so we've been invested there.
13 MINS LATER
39:12
What was the reaction of you and your team when you started to see this massive sell-off in software stocks?
World Cup Cupidity
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27:59Simon SkinnerGUEST
Yeah, it's, uh, I think, yeah, I think the s- the skepticism is, is merited.
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28:03Simon SkinnerGUEST
Uh, I've taught, I mean, in Oxford, I've taught race and immigration as a topic for 30-odd years.
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28:12Simon SkinnerGUEST
And in the course of that, I've gone from kind of, yeah, from opt- well, perhaps inevitably, from optimism to pessimism.
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28:18Simon SkinnerGUEST
You know, you, you, you do a, a scholarly topic like, um, you know, does, does the history of immigration into Britain sustain the, uh, notion that the British are a tolerant people or something like that.
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28:30Simon SkinnerGUEST
And you get lots of, uh, sort of hand-wringing, um, liberal middle-class students saying, "No, it's absolutely..." You know, you, you, you see, you can imagine how you could construct, um, via obvious anecdotes, you know, Powell, et cetera, uh, an argument that, um, the British are routinely intolerant, um, and that racism is endemic and anthropological.
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28:51Simon SkinnerGUEST
And I've always tried to strike a kind of optimistic counter-narrative as, as the product of, of multiracial West London myself.
11 MINS LATER
The Big Sell-Off Explained: How to Protect Your Money
35:38
41:16
Danni HewsonHOST
Is, is it just about the amount of cash being spent, or is there something more fundamental here?
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35:45Simon SkinnerGUEST
So it's a, it's an interesting question, but I also think it's a, it's an impossible one to answer.
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35:50Simon SkinnerGUEST
Um, what we, what we know is that, as you say, AI has been the hottest topic in investment markets for several years, and no, no one in the world doesn't know that this is happening.
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36:02Simon SkinnerGUEST
Um, and you have a couple of, you know, flagship, very large companies that have done extraordinarily well based on this AI narrative.
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36:10Simon SkinnerGUEST
Um, and I like to i- in moments like this, step back and try and be a student of history.
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36:15Simon SkinnerGUEST
And so, you know, when we have a big technological shift, and you have a few companies which are apparently at the forefront of that shift, people tend to get very excited, and they extrapolate incredible performance for an awful long time, and they use that narrative to justify extraordinary valuationsAnd so if we look at the absolute size that these companies have got to in terms of their market capitalization, it's, it's far larger than anything you might have expected several years ago or that we've seen in history.
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36:42Simon SkinnerGUEST
And so embedded within those, those huge valuations are incredibly optimistic expectations.
Danni HewsonHOST
Um, how do you view those opportunities, and there are other, other sectors where you're looking and thinking, "That's interesting"?
