Skip to main content
Rob Pizzola

Rob Pizzola

Oct 16, 2026

11:30
So what about that game and then Philly moving forward in the NFC East?
11:34
So the game itself is super interesting 'cause you just never see the Eagles at these prices ever, and it's, it's really unusual.
11:41
Now, Carolina gets the benefit of the bye week.
11:43
Taylor Moton probably back at right tackle for them this week.
11:46
Jalen Coker potentially back as well.
11:48
Turk Wharton on defense.
11:49
Like, Carolina's getting reinforcements.
16:08
Any thoughts on those games, again, with one-point road favorites, Chicago in Atlanta, New Orleans at my Giants?
103:53
Chiefs are seven and a half point favorites over the Chargers on Sunday.
103:58
If I was going to do something with this game, it would be to bet the under.
104:01
At this point, the Chargers don't have a functional offense, and it's not going to change because they don't have any offensive linemen that are worth anything.
104:10
I mean, they're just missing their entire starting O-line from what they thought they were going to have in training camp, and teams just don't recover from that.
104:17
And then you add in the wide receiver injuries on top of it.
104:20
They played without McConkie and Quentin Johnston last week.
104:23
Trey Harris got hurt in the game.
105:21
do you blame their offensive woes at all on Mike McDaniel or you blame it specifically on the offensive line?
27:01
Chiefs are seven and a half point favorites over the Chargers on Sunday.
27:06
If I was going to do something with this game, it would be to bet the under.
27:09
At this point, the Chargers don't have a functional offense, and it's not going to change because they don't have any offensive linemen that are worth anything.
27:18
I mean, they're just missing their entire starting O-line from what they thought they were going to have in training camp, and teams just don't recover from that.
27:25
And then you add in the wide receiver injuries on top of it.
27:28
They played without McConkie and Quentin Johnston last week.
27:31
Trey Harris got hurt in the game.
28:29
Do you blame their offensive woes at all on Mike McDaniel or you blame it specifically on the offensive line?
6:13
[laughs]
6:14
Uh, I'd very uncomfortably bet some Denver, uh, tonight.
6:17
Not at this price.
6:18
So Denver plus three minus 115 is roughly what I'd bet in this game.
6:22
Three being, like, obviously a key number in football.
6:25
And, uh, I, I watch what everyone else watches with the Broncos offense, and it looks broken.
6:30
Uh, I will say they've played a really hard schedule to start the year.
10:46
Chiefs are seven and a half point favorites over the Chargers on Sunday.
100:03
Yeah.
100:05
I, uh, I don't have much going on for this game tonight, so I'll just be really clear about that.
100:10
Part of the problem is that I don't know what Jalen Daniels is as an NFL quarterback.
100:16
I watched very little of Packers-Bucs.
100:18
I looked at the, the box score afterwards.
100:21
Uh, his ADOT was very low.
100:22
His average depth of target was just over three yards, so lots of check downs, everything underneath.

8 MINS LATER

108:04
Uh, do you have a, uh, a side on that game?
24:39
Vikings-Dolphins, where I got killed taking
24:44
11.
24:45
I don't have much going on for this game tonight, so I'll just be really clear about that.
24:48
Part of the problem is that I don't know what Jalen Daniels is as an NFL quarterback.
24:55
I watched very little of Packers, Bucs.
24:57
I looked at the box score afterwards.
25:00
His ADOT was very low.

8 MINS LATER

32:43
Do you have a side on that game?
24:52
Potential NFC championship game preview, Rob, in the Pacific Northwest with the reigning defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks, a three-point home favorite against the San Francisco 49ers, total of 46.
25:02
Okay, so I have bet both side and total in this game.
25:06
I've bet the Seahawks and I've bet the under in this game.
25:09
Uh, under was at 47, Seahawks minus 3 plus 100-ish, in, in that, around that range.
25:16
I love the 49ers generally.
25:18
I'm a big Kyle Shanahan guy.
25:20
You look at what he- they're working with offensively this year with the injuries at skill-position players.
27:15
Tyson Bagent starting for Chicago.
11:34
Mm-hmm.
11:35
I, uh, I was...
11:36
This would've been one of my minerals.
11:37
I'll pivot to something else.
11:38
I do like Detroit as well.
11:40
I bet Detroit.
11:41
Uh, I think, uh, Arizona's been feisty.

38 MINS LATER

49:24
Yeah.
25:52
Regardless, Browns are two and a half point home dogs tonight to the Steelers.
25:58
I don't have a strong opinion here.
26:00
I would lean with Crowder's opinion towards the Steelers.
26:03
The, the one challenge for Pittsburgh tonight is they basically are gonna have no corners, right? They traded Joey Porter, who wasn't expected to play, but he's officially gone now.
26:12
Can't play.
26:13
Brandon Echols got hurt last week.
26:16
Uh, I don't think he's cleared concussion protocol to play the game.

8 MINS LATER

34:48
So Dolphins are 11-point dogs in Minnesota.
WoodyHOST
30:46
Regardless, Browns are two and a half point home dogs tonight to the Steelers.
30:52
I don't have a strong opinion here.
30:53
I would lean with Crowder's opinion towards the Steelers.
30:57
The, the one challenge for Pittsburgh tonight is they basically are gonna have no corners, right? They traded Joey Porter, who wasn't expected to play, but he's officially gone now, can't play.
31:07
Brandon Echols got hurt last week.
31:09
Uh, I don't think he's cleared concussion protocol to play the game.
31:12
I mean, that can still happen.

8 MINS LATER

WoodyHOST
39:41
So Dolphins are 11-point dogs in Minnesota.
29:53
Regardless, Browns are two and a half point home dogs tonight to the Steelers.
29:59
I don't have a strong opinion here.
30:00
I would lean with Crowder's opinion towards the Steelers.
30:04
The one challenge for Pittsburgh tonight is they basically are going to have no corners, right? They traded Joey Porter.
30:10
It wasn't expected to play, but he's officially gone now.
30:13
Can't play.
30:14
Brandon Echols got hurt last week.

9 MINS LATER

38:48
So dolphins are 11-point dogs in Minnesota.
16:42
Uh, what are your thoughts on this game in general?
16:44
Yeah, I think the Jets have, uh, are kind of entering overrated territory.
16:48
That doesn't mean they can't cover this week, but the skill positions on offense are quite bad.
16:53
And you look defensively, Kingsley Enigbari didn't practice today with a knee injury as well.
16:58
They already don't have like the best edge rush in the league.
17:01
It is just basically David Baily and him at this point.
17:04
So I think low-key the Jets have one of the worst injury reports going right now, uh, impacted on both sides of the ball.

31 MINS LATER

47:59
Yes.
103:03
Regardless, Browns are two and a half point home dogs tonight to the Steelers.
103:09
I don't have a strong opinion here.
103:10
I would lean with Crowder's opinion towards the Steelers.
103:14
The one challenge for Pittsburgh tonight is they basically are going to have no corners, right? They traded Joey Porter.
103:20
It wasn't expected to play, but he's officially gone now.
103:23
Can't play.
103:24
Brandon Echols got hurt last week.

9 MINS LATER

111:58
So dolphins are 11-point dogs in Minnesota.
16:23
Regardless, Browns are two and a half point home dogs tonight to the Steelers.
16:29
I don't have a strong opinion here.
16:30
I would lean with Crowder's opinion towards the Steelers.
16:34
The, the one challenge for Pittsburgh tonight is they basically are gonna have no corners, right? They traded Joey Porter.
16:40
He wasn't expected to play, but he's officially gone now, can't play.
16:44
Brandon Echols got hurt last week.
16:46
Uh, I don't think he's cleared concussion protocol to play the game.

9 MINS LATER

Richard DeitschADVERTISER
25:48
[gentle music]
2:32
Regardless, Browns are two and a half point home dogs tonight to the Steelers.
2:38
I don't have a strong opinion here.
2:40
I would lean with Crowder's opinion towards the Steelers.
2:43
The, the one challenge for Pittsburgh tonight is they basically are gonna have no corners, right? They traded Joey Porter.
2:50
He wasn't expected to play, but he's officially gone now, can't play.
2:53
Brandon Echols got hurt last week.
2:56
Uh, I don't think he's cleared concussion protocol to play the game.

8 MINS LATER

11:28
So Dolphins are 11-point dogs in Minnesota.
20:22
That I think the market's still kinda undervaluing Jacksonville a little bit for how dominant they've been outside of 22 minutes of football through three weeks.
20:30
They're awesome.
20:30
You know, I, I kind of agree with you.
20:32
Th- th- some of, there is some luck involved with Jacksonville.
20:35
Even dating back to last year, they've been on the right side of, like, a l- a lot of late down stuff, turnovers, and whatever it may be.
20:42
But I've al- Since I've actually been a winning bettor, 'cause I was a losing bettor for a long time, but since I've actually been a winning bettor, the focus for me is who is playing in the games? Like, a lot of people are always looking at, like, this trend, this da- uh, this team's off a blowout or whatever.
20:56
I ignore all that stuff.

25 MINS LATER

45:33
Why Indy minus three and a half in this, uh, early game, Rob?
119:53
So you tell me.
119:56
Hard to argue in favor of betting on the Dolphins.
120:00
I mean, we went down this path last week before the San Fran game, and then I watched the San Fran game.
120:07
Brock Purdy had one EPA per dropback in that game.
120:11
For those that don't follow advanced metrics, that would be roughly four times better than what the best quarterback in the league will put up at the end of the year.
120:19
He was absurdly good at carving up that defense because they don't have a defense.
120:26
their past defense is horrendous.
123:01
Do you have a lean? What is it, five and a half,
23:39
But why hasn't it moved, and why is the line what it is?
23:44
Okay, so there's two reasons why it hasn't moved.
23:47
It could be either of these two, but one, basically, Sharps haven't jumped in on Ole Miss at this point.
23:54
So either they are opposed and backing Florida, or they just haven't made their opinion known in the betting market yet.
24:03
This definitely is going to be like...
24:05
I don't like to use the word pros versus Joes type of game because you have a lot of those, and that doesn't mean that the average person can't win on the game, but it is shaping up to be one of those where you talk to people, they're like, this doesn't make any sense, right? So as a numbers guy who doesn't bet a lot of college football, I start to dig into it a little bit more, and here's what I see when I look at it.
24:27
Florida playing Auburn last week looks like a five-point win for them.

7 MINS LATER

31:38
So you tell me.
44:08
yes yes that was kind of my uh uh whole thing it's like it just feels like seattle uh or nothing in this side but you have anything in this game
44:17
no i i was doing the same i was looking at the separation numbers for the commander's receivers against dallas last week excuse the corners and it's like they have no hope of of covering jsa we also buried the lead here i think sam darnold's gonna start too it seems like they're prepping him to start in that game I don't know that this is high enough, this price.
44:40
It's one of those spots where I'm always like, Seattle looked about as good as they could last week.
44:47
The commanders look defeated.
44:50
get blown out by dallas backup quarterback but then i just take a step back and i'm like i'm putting these teams on paper the washington o-line is terrible you got a backup quarterback behind them like nobody can move the ball on seattle in two weeks you've had better off like arizona with brissette is at least comparable to what washington's rolling out here new england with may like They can't move it.
45:14
So where's Washington's points going to come from in the game? How do they cover the spread? Does Darnold throw a pick six? I mean, he has a penchant to do that every now and then, but it's pretty lopsided.
45:26
And Mike McDonald, to me, is not the kind of guy where you're going to have like the letdown game.

27 MINS LATER

72:22
Rob, when's Rob going to lock something in?
35:57
Yes.
35:58
Jacksonville, I don't really know what happened to them in the second half last week.
36:01
That's kind of been the Denver, uh, it's going back to last year.
36:06
They find a way in the fourth quarter to pull out a win in a game where they're, they're getting outplayed.
36:11
Uh, could be the altitude.
36:12
I don't really know.
36:13
All I know is that I still like Jacksonville.

7 MINS LATER

43:45
Yeah
45:41
Rob, I'll let you lead off here because you've got something in this game.
45:44
Yeah, I'm glad you let me do it, George.
45:46
I'm going to the total.
45:47
We talked about it on Tuesday, and we're going to lock it in.
45:52
goal um i've played a great some aggressive unders this week across the board i think scoring was really high last week because the red zone touchdown percentage was absurdly high across the league but i i quite like the over here i'm buying into the fact that denver's defense is is overrated without jonathan cooper they couldn't stop anything on the ground And they might be better in pass defense, but they still have Riley Moss on the outside who can be picked on.
46:19
Jacksonville went into Denver last year, and they put up some pretty gaudy offensive numbers, winning that game 34-20.
46:27
As much as I'm a Bo Nix hater, I will say that was probably the worst offensive performance we're going to see out of the Broncos.

29 MINS LATER

75:12
It was ridiculous.
110:39
Last I saw, Bills were five-point favorites.
110:41
favorites.Yeah, up to five and a half pretty much everywhere.
110:45
The over's taking money tonight.
110:47
This is a tough one for me to come on at this...
110:49
I, I have a lot of money on Buffalo tonight, much better prices.
110:53
I hate to be the guy of like, "Oh, I have this price in my pocket and don't bet it," or wh- whatever, but I think maybe there's some ways to get creative here if you do wanna bet Buffalo in some capacity, which is alternate lines at this point.
111:04
The, the thing is, I mean, the Lions are playing on a short week without three starting offensive linemen, going to a, what's gonna be a very, very rowdy environment tonight.
114:00
Thank you, Robert.
20:24
Last I saw, Bills were five-point favorites.
20:28
Yeah, up to five and a half pretty much everywhere.
20:30
The over's taking money tonight.
20:33
This is a tough one for me to come on at this...
20:35
I, I have a lot of money on Buffalo tonight, much better prices.
20:38
I hate to be the guy of like, "Oh, I have this price in my pocket and don't bet it," or w- whatever.
20:43
But I think maybe there's some ways to get creative here if you do wanna bet Buffalo in some capacity, which is alternate lines at this point.
23:46
Thank you, Rob.
speaker_2ADVERTISER
13:50
Additional taxes, fees, and terms apply.
13:52
Yeah, up to five and a half pretty much everywhere.
13:54
The over has taken money tonight.
13:56
This is a tough one for me to come on at this...
13:58
I, I have a lot of money on Buffalo tonight, much better prices.
14:02
I hate to be the guy of like, "Oh, I have this price in my pocket and don't bet it," or w- whatever.
14:07
But I think maybe there's some ways to get creative here if you do wanna bet Buffalo in some capacity, which is alternate lines at this point.
17:10
Thank you, Robert.
26:28
Well, hey, Rob can go first.
26:30
I, I, I'll go first.
26:31
You know what? Week two, I, I often like to, like, you know [coughs] Cam said it.
26:37
It is one game.
26:39
Sometimes there's a lot of overreactions in the league, right? But there's one that I'm, I'm not, I don't think we've gone far enough yet.
26:48
And we talked about it with the Packers being a terrible O-line.
26:52
I'm in on the Jets, I'm out on the Packers.

24 MINS LATER

50:41
Mm-hmm.

Scroll for more appearances

We value your privacy

We use cookies to understand how you use our platform and to improve your experience. Click “Accept All” to consent, or “Decline non-essential” to opt out of non-essential cookies. Read our Privacy Policy.