I thought you had a good riff on X about the I am Jane Doe histrionics that have now descended upon Ithaca.

Yeah.

So look, we've seen these text messages where a day or two later and longer than that, she's palling around with these guys.

She's saying, you know, our body, our choices, nothing wrong with this.

It was great.

Maybe fewer guys should have been in the room, but I love you, Matt and Jonathan.

You know, we had a great time in our threesome, et cetera.

Ilhan Omar, you think based on what we know about her, her father, the process by which she declared her citizenship, I'll use that phraseology, are we going to see her denaturalized and deported, do you think?

Go ahead.

Yeah, so a lot of people have focused on the marriage to the alleged brother, but it's important to realize that didn't have anything to do with her immigration status.

If she did do that, it was getting him over here, and he ended up going back to the UK, and the statute of limitations would have run on that.

Anyway, a long time ago.

I think it's five years.

But the murkiness around her father and her age is potentially what they're looking at in terms of the immigration element of this.

Very weird, Brian.

Why do people not understand that they're the good guys? Why do people not understand that they're actually winning this war and taking down our enemy in the process?

I don't think-

think-Yeah, I don't think the immigration stuff is gonna be criminal e- even if she's guilty of it.

I, I, I think it, it'd be more of a bid to denaturalize her, and if you denat- even if you denaturalize her, and, you know, there's a process, hearings, et cetera, I'm not sure she's going anywhere, 'cause she's married to a US citizen and has US citizen children.

But if there's something else, you know, involving money, well, that would make it much more serious and perhaps criminal in nature.

It's just, it's just hard to know.

You know, uh, as, as has been pointed out, this is presumably a Democratic judge approved this warrant, so that suggests at least there's enough evidence for the warrant.

But people need to understand the immigration thing.

... and what could happen in about three weeks.

You tell me, Rich Lowry, is Ilhan Omar in any serious trouble?

She might be.

It's, it's hard to know.

If Brian's right, she, she would be.

I don't think, you know, I don't think the immigration stuff is gonna be criminal e- even if she's guilty of it.

I, I, I think it, it'd be more of a bid to denaturalize her, and if you denat...

Even if you denaturalize her and, you know, there's a process, hearings, et cetera, I'm not sure she's going anywhere, 'cause she's married to a US citizen and has US citizen children.

... and what could happen in about three weeks.

But what does Rich Lowry think?

I, I totally agree with that.

The problem is h- he, he is charming, and he has something going on.

You know, he had this, uh, exchange with Jesse Waters, I think it was about a month ago, where I thought Jesse scored some points against him.

But he c- held his own, and Jesse Waters said the next night, "You know, I kinda like that guy." So that's the quality you want as a politician, obviously.

It's a, it's a blue state and a blue year.

I think he's probably gonna win, but Mike Rogers is a really good candidate and th- th- the best candidate Republicans possibly could have running against this guy.

How do you think that's playing? And again, the, the polls, I just don't believe them very much, Rich.

But people, I mean, what does that say about the electorate, that people like her who say things that are totally stupid like that can become a sitting U.S. congressperson? Yeah,

this is another reason this Michigan race is so important, because I hate to say it.

That's kind of you kind of expect that in New York City, right? If you're a city council person or a member of Congress or the mayor.

But it's jumped the fence out of New York into like a big swing state like Michigan.

So this race, I think, David, is the most ideologically important race in the country and also arguably the most important turn to the Senate map.

Right.

Because this is the most radical Senate candidate of our lifetimes.

There was plenty of room for that.

But, but if you would've told me the Yankees were going to get swept by Tampa Bay, I would've been surprised.

Yeah, maybe.

Uh, maybe I would, would've said we'd, we'd go to a game four.

But look, they're, they're a better team.

I didn't pay much attention to them in the regular season, but they're, they're a really good team.

And I think the, the tenor of the whole series was set by Trent Grisham dogging it on a boop single that the, the Rays hitter hustled into a double.

I was like, "Okay, uh, this is what it's gonna be." [laughs] And you know, the Rays had a couple misplays last night, but we didn't make them pay.

[laughs] Why don't you think he would run? I'm just curious.

But, but if you would've told me the Yankees were going to get swept by Tampa Bay, I would've been surprised.

Yeah, maybe.

Uh, maybe I would've, would've said we'd, we'd go to a game four.

But look, they're, they're a better team.

I didn't pay much attention to them in the regular season, but they're, they're a really good team.

And I think the, the tenor of the whole series was set by Trent Grisham dogging it on a bloop single that the, the Rays hitter hustled into a double.

I was like, "Okay, uh, this is what it's gonna be." [laughs] And you know, the Rays had a couple misplays last night, but we didn't make them pay.

[laughs] Why don't you think he would run? I'm just curious.

What do you make of the exchange?

So Cruz clearly running for president.

[clears throat] It's not that he's prematurely eyeing presidency now.

[laughs] He's been eyeing the presidency for decades and decades.

These two guys, they don't like each other.

They have disdain for each other.

There's also deep substantive differences between them.

Yes.

In what way?

Well, this woman, she has this encounter.

In the immediate aftermath, she's kind of laughing it off.

A terrible night.

This shouldn't have happened.

But then a month later, she decides this is really bad.

This is a terrible experience, and I was assaulted.

Yeah, and there was another phone call a little bit later when he came back and said, why are you asking me these questions? So obviously, I don't know if you can tape somebody without them knowing it, but that's the tape that's out.

So how do you balance that messaging then?

Yeah, so I'm like Byron.

I'm a little bit of a fatalist about this, not just merely because of the timing, but it's really hard to talk people into feeling better about an economy they don't feel good about.

And look, there are a lot of great indicators, as Larry pointed out in that clip setting up this segment.

Stock market's great.

Labor market's great.

Poverty rate, the lowest it's ever been.

We're going to see more stories like this?

No more airline use.

Yeah, so the straight is huge.

I mean, just getting it.

It's still off pre-war levels, but it estimates 80%, 85%.

And it's not going to collapse fuel prices, but it really removes Iran's chief point of leverage.

And it's why they can come back to us and say, please, sir, can we have another MOU or whatever it is? And Trump can say no and wait out for something better.

So I'm more optimistic about Iran than I have been for months now.

What does Rich Lowry want?

Redistricting held them in the House, Rachel?

Yeah, it does.

So I think it can afford to lose three seats in the House, and maybe it's more like nine when you get the redistricting in there.

But I'm with Miranda.

On election night, Republicans take everything.

And if someone would say, Larry, is it going to be a good midterm two years from now? No, it's probably not.

That's the history.

It's not a bad

So what else, Rich? I mean as we sit here 35 days out, is there something that the Republicans should be running on as like here's what we've done? Or is that unfortunately just too much of an uphill battle with people saying, well, look at my gas and diesel prices right now?

Yeah.

Yeah, I mean they should try to make that case, but it's hard.

Obviously prices are driving it.

It's partly a hangover from the Biden years, right? Because if inflation is at 8% and then it goes down to 3%, prices don't fall.

They just increase at a slightly slower clip, but everyone still notices everything is more expensive than it was four years ago or whatever it was.

And then you have tariffs on top of that at the margins increasing prices, and then you've just had this – a politically cataclysmic increase in gas prices, and especially, as you know, in the Midwest, diesel prices.

The big mistake on Iran the last seven, eight months was what?

Where do you fall?

Well, look, these outlets of coverage of Trump is terrible.

It's unfair.

It's unremittingly hostile.

But I just see this as a blind alley.

It doesn't get him anything.

It's not as though they're going to become more favorable to him or stop writing about him.

Do you think there's anything to that or is this just Trump being Trump and kind of, you know, just jumping on this fight?

Will A- will AI destroy humanity? Rich, are you convinced that this hysteria is real, or do you feel like it's manufactured?

I, I think these, these guys at the top of these companies kinda all in unison saying, "Uh, we, we gotta be careful, or we might be going too fast," I think that's, that's probably sincere.

I think some of the solutions being offered are self-interested.

Um, you know, m- basically, give us p- uh, liability protection and have the government, uh, take over the pacing so we remain ahead.

You know, I, I don't like that.

Uh, and that's clearly kinda what Anthropic is after.

But look, it's y- it's your responsibility as a company to make sure, make sure your product is safe, and it cau- if it causes some harm, you're gonna get sued, and your company might get destroyed, and you might go to jail, you know? [laughs] So, I, I think what we're talking about more in terms of the risks is what Lonsdale is talking about there.

You think we're on the right track?

How do you feel?

Yeah, I think if they're hitting, that's true.

Even when Judge has been back here, there have been some games that have been a lot like the post-All-Star games break games where you're scoring one or two runs and four or five hits.

It's extremely frustrating, and whoever you're hitting against, you're making them look like a Cy Young winner.

That was what happened two nights ago in Minnesota until the eighth inning.

Now they've scored eight runs in a row.

If they can just be almost league-average offense with their pitching, they're a force.

But what are you basing that on?

Give us your quick memory and reflections on that horrific day.

Yeah, I was living in downtown Manhattan on 14th Street between Union Square and 5th, and the first plane came screaming down 5th Avenue.

I heard it in my apartment.

Loudest plane I ever heard in Manhattan.

I kind of thought that's the – Sound people describe before they say they witnessed a plane crash.

Didn't hear anything because it was too far downtown.

But a colleague texted me or a direct messaged me at the time on AOL, turn on the TV.

Is this guy a conservative? Why do so many Republicans still support him?

... and tax more.

So, yeah.

So if it's a referendum, Republicans are gonna be in a bad, bad shape.

If it's a choice, they can, they can do much better, as that polling indicates.

But it's really prices that are really weighing the president down.

Some of that, you know, not his fault, baked in the cake.

Because the way inflation works, inflation goes up, and then you diminish the inflation rate, and it went down after Biden left.

Don't you think that's almost SNL-like?

screaming down.

Came screaming down Fifth Avenue.

I heard it.

And I thought to myself in the back of my head, you know, that's the sound that...

That's a really loud plane.

That's the sound people describe before they hear plane crashes.

I didn't hear anything because it was too far downtown.

What happened to split some of those people from the Voting to Kill party? to the America's the Problem Party.

you're right about

that.

But you're right about that.

The innovation when he came in, the innovation when he went out.

Right.

We have a special connection with Israel, said Jews and Christians both believe we're made in the image of God, said that anti-Semitism is corrosive.

And then I think this is a key thing that people that are really parsing the speech really carefully are missing.

So when J.D. Vance says, not Israel's our closest ally, which they are, when J.D. Vance goes on this whole rant where he compares the relationship with the United States between Israel and the United Kingdom, that was helpful?

So if that is in fact the case, how do you play that? Do you bring up what Democrats would do, or do you talk about the big picture of what Iran has done? I

think that the biggest play for Republicans this election cycle is just... painting the other side as radical, which they are, painting the other side's candidates as unacceptable, which in many cases they are, and hope you can kind of do a 2022 midterm where you mitigate the damage.

But it's not going to be a great year for Republicans.

The gas price is above $4.

It hasn't helped.

President Trump's approval rating isn't great.

So it's going to be It's going to be a tough year.

Does it resonate with the general public?

But what are your thoughts on what we may see in 2028?

So continue to expect.

And you're right, this is going to start immediately, right? It's like three months away.

Right after midterms, this will really begin in earnest.

I think there's no way J.D. Vance doesn't run.

and I think it's very likely he gets the nomination.

But even coronations are competitive.

What are you feeling today about the House and the Senate?

Hey, Rich, I'm giving Hakeem Jeffries credit for coming out, but he's still big tent guy.

Yeah.

So that, that comment was terrible.

You can s- say, squint a certain way and say, "Oh, it's just analysis," but it sounds like a threat.

And, and the idea is directed against all American Jews.

I mean, if it, if it was up to American Jews, like, Donald Trump never would've been elected.

You know, Bibi Netanyahu probably wouldn't be prime minister of Israel.

What is going on? Why do people are beginning to push back on this and governors caving acro- across, on both parties across the country?

And Julie Mennon thinks he should be there?

Yeah, a racist story.

Now, look, I mean, there were some Sikhs who were uncomfortable, right, because they had big turbines.

The cab drivers would have little fines on Sikhs.

But there was shockingly little, amazingly little, thankfully little animus directed to the average Muslims after that horrific attack.

Yeah, none!

But you're saying that because you think that losing the House is a fait accompli.

Pretty much, yeah.