
Gerald Knaus
Austrian social scientist
8
APPEARANCES
6
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Aug 13, 2026
What's behind 70,000 migrants flooding a Spanish town?
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11:50Caryn CeolinHOST
Like, did that play any role? If you could just set the record straight for us, do we know what influenced this latest surge?

Gerald KnausGUEST
I mean, as I said, there, there really ought to be, and I hope there w-will still be a, a very serious investigation because what we have until now Are different investigations, uh, reports by different newspapers.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Spanish newspapers have looked into the dissemination of rumors in, in, in social networks.

Gerald KnausGUEST
There have also been analyses by Moroccan analysts that have shown how rumors were spreading, rumors that said in various, uh, social networks that Ceuta was open.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Well, I mean, it obviously wasn't open, a- and the fact that so many people died trying to enter it should have made that, in hindsight, very clear.

Gerald KnausGUEST
But the fact that these rumors spread and that many people, uh, hundreds of thousands of messages responded, still doesn't explain why it was possible for so many people to get so close.

Gerald KnausGUEST
A- a- and then this was building up not just in 24 hours, over a week already.
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16:26Caryn CeolinHOST
What will be the implications of that, especially on legal migrants who are attempting to reach Europe hoping for better lives?
559. Who Really Benefits from the Ceuta Migration Crisis?
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Rory StewartHOST
Now, on that, I'm gonna hand over to Gerald to try to give us a little bit of the recent history of what happened in the last week and what's happened in Ceuta over the last few years.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Well, what we all saw in the last week, I, I think it's worth underlining, it was completely extraordinary in terms of the numbers involved.

Gerald KnausGUEST
50,000 people crossing in one day a European Union border, in this case, uh, to this ex- Spanish exclave.

Gerald KnausGUEST
That is five times more than, uh, uh, during the refugee crisis in the Greek islands when on average 10,000 people crossed from Turkey to Greece, and we remember the dramatic pictures.

Gerald KnausGUEST
And what makes this even more striking is, as you said, Ceuta is a small place, 85,000 people.

Gerald KnausGUEST
So if 50 or even 60,000 people, as the mayor of the town said, come in suddenly, I mean, it is an invasion.
30 MINS LATER
Moroccan Migrant incident: Why the right say UK could be invaded
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Gerald KnausGUEST
You are completely right, and, and, uh, what we are seeing is images beat statistics.

Gerald KnausGUEST
But images also need a story that people have already bought into to make, to, so they can make sense of what the image means, and the big story that has been established over the last 10 years with astonishing success by, uh, Viktor Orbán and others who think like him, is that all the migration story of the last 15 years in Europe is about the failure of liberal elites.

Gerald KnausGUEST
They don't want to control migration because of some nefarious interests to exploit migrants for business or to exchange the population, all these theories.

Gerald KnausGUEST
And because this is increasingly believed by part of the population that there is this inability of elites, and perhaps, uh, no, a lack of interest to control migration, every single instance with dramatic images that you see confirms this.
24 MINS LATER
Breakfast Wrap: Calls for federal management of remote Aboriginal communities
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Gerald KnausGUEST
Well, what we know is that this was an extraordinary development that we haven't seen anything like this in, in decades.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Uh, the town is 85,000 people, and the estimates are that in 24 hours 60,000 people entered the town, mainly Moroccans, also, uh, smaller numbers of, of other Sub-Saharan Africans, but mainly Moroccans from around the area, and many of them were swimming.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Uh, it's a very dangerous, uh, bit of sea there, and we are now getting reports that many people died.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Um, but for 24 hours, 60,000 Moroccans entered the city, which is otherwise surrounded by high fences.
EU political fallout following Ceuta migrant crisis
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1:46speaker_0HOST
Wh- what are the facts? What do we know?

Gerald KnausGUEST
Well, what we know is that this was an extraordinary development, that we haven't seen anything like this in, in decades.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Uh, the town is 85,000 people, and the estimates are that in 24 hours 60,000 people entered the town, mainly Moroccans, also, uh, smaller numbers of, of other Sub-Saharan Africans, but mainly Moroccans from around the area, and many of them were swimming.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Uh, it's a very dangerous, uh, bit of sea there, and we are now getting reports that many people died.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Um, but for 24 hours, 60,000 Moroccans entered the city, which is otherwise surrounded by high fences.
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4:48speaker_0HOST
What have the diplomatic r- ramifications been from other European nations?
Migranten stürmen EU-Grenze: Ist die Krise wieder da? Mit Gerald Knaus
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Gerald KnausGUEST
Also d-das große Bild ist, dass man in der Europäischen Union, auch wenn man in Griechenland ankommt, auch wenn man in Lampedusa ankommt, äh, es gibt kein Recht zu bleiben, aber es gibt ein Recht auf ein Verfahren.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Jetzt gibt es das Gerücht aufgrund eines Gerichtsverfahrens, ein Gerichtsurteil, das festgestellt hat, Menschen, die über das Meer kommen, darf Spanien nicht einfach zurückschicken.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Da gibt's zum Beispiel auch ein Urteil des Europäischen Gerichtshofs für Menschenrechte von vor ein paar Jahren, das gesagt hat, wenn es 'ne Alternative gegeben hätte, sich zum Beispiel für Asyl irgendwo zu bewerben an der Grenze von Ceuta oder Melilla, dann ist es legitim, Menschen an dem Zaun abzuhalten.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Aber was nicht geht, ist eine Person, die auf irgendeine Art das Territorium, die Städte erreicht, einfach ohne Verfahren abzuschieben.

Paul RonzheimerHOST
Ich glaube, das ist auch der Grund, warum viele jetzt auch völlig abseits des populistischen Spektrums da sehr sensibel sind, ähm, wenn sie solche Bilder sehen, weil sie sich fragen, ähm, na ja, wie viele von denen werden jetzt wirklich kontrolliert? Was bedeutet das? Ähm, und, und, und was sendet das auch für eine Message, eine, eine, ja, eine Nachricht nach, nach Deutschland, nach Europa? Ja, wie, wie, wie bewerten Sie diese Sorgen, diese Ängste, die es ja gibt?
60,000 migrants arrive in Spanish territory in 24 hours
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Johnny DymondCORRESPONDENT
Some clearly believe, rightly or wrongly, that Spain is a, a soft touch when it comes to migration.

Gerald KnausGUEST
In the first six months of this year, fourteen thousand people arrived at all borders in Spain irregularly.

Gerald KnausGUEST
And the regularization of migrants concerns people who've been in Spain, ninety percent of whom are from Latin America, who arrived legally, visa-free, and then stayed on to work.

Johnny DymondCORRESPONDENT
You acknowledge the political side of this, though, presumably the fact that, um, largely on, on the right in politics, parties have been able to exploit and highlight extreme concern amongst parts of European populations about recent migration, and that the parties of the center and the left feel very sensitive to that pressure.
Trump’s Far Right Allies in Germany: Is History Repeating Itself?
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Gerald KnausGUEST
Let me just say that the, his own party tried twice to expel him when there was still this battle over what direction the party should go.

Gerald KnausGUEST
Recently, the party leader, Alice Weidel, said that in a AfD government, she would make him a minister.

Gerald KnausGUEST
I don't think it's useful to talk about the AfD anymore in abstract because it's, it's now Höcke's AfD that's there, an Identitarian party.
9 MINS LATER
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How realistic would you take that from your sort of studying of the way the far right operates and the way that our democracies are weakening?