Oct 17, 2026 · 17 min · 9 segments
Addison Snell and Kevin Jackson discuss a new quantum computing survey and forecast, and highlights from events in the U.S., Latin America, and Europe.
Addison SnellHostKevin JacksonHost
But first, that's related to some of the work that you and I have been doing on a long-term outlook for quantum computing based on our state-of-the-market survey of our HBC AI leadership organization, or HALO, combining that with a long-term forecast of to talk about where is quantum computing going and actually do a long-term forecast of what we think for the 2030s.
Yeah, it's an exciting moment for quantum, and that's reflected in our forecast.
We still have a few years until we see the hockey stick line shoot up, but the technology is really maturing, and we're starting to see that in people actually deploying these systems.
It's something that we've been talking about quantum computing for a long time.
And I sometimes joke that we're now celebrating the 20th year of quantum computing being 15 years away.
We are seeing quantum computers getting deployed that are capable at least of parlor trick types of even if they're not full-on applications, they do some sorts of demonstrations of capability.
And we're starting to see the future of potential adoption of quantum computing.
And I don't think this is gonna be any kind of mature market by the end of this decade, but our long-term forecast picks it up in the end of the decade and carries it through into the early 2040s and really look at where do we think quantum computing is going to get adopted.
We're normally five-year forecast people, but it's not too early, I think, to do a long-term outlook like that.
And we think that the middle of the next decade, the 2030s, growth could really pick up into a high growth rate type of compound annual growth.
One of the things that we discussed that's really important when it comes to quantum computing is the fact that we're starting to see this as an addition to classical computing rather than a standalone.
I believe there was a little bit of maybe marketing discussing that quantum was going to replace HPC or replace AI.
We don't want to go too much into our survey, but About two thirds of buyers expect Quantum to arrive as an accelerator inside an HBC AI system, not a standalone machine.
And that's actually what we're seeing or where we're seeing so much of the success.
But first, that's related to some of the work that you and I have been doing on a long-term outlook for quantum computing based on our state-of-the-market survey of our HBC AI leadership organization, or HALO, combining that with a long-term forecast of to talk about where is quantum computing going and actually do a long-term forecast of what we think for the 2030s.
Yeah, it's an exciting moment for quantum, and that's reflected in our forecast.
We still have a few years until we see the hockey stick line shoot up, but the technology is really maturing, and we're starting to see that in people actually deploying these systems.
It's something that we've been talking about quantum computing for a long time.
And I sometimes joke that we're now celebrating the 20th year of quantum computing being 15 years away.
We are seeing quantum computers getting deployed that are capable at least of parlor trick types of even if they're not full-on applications, they do some sorts of demonstrations of capability.
And we're starting to see the future of potential adoption of quantum computing.
And I don't think this is gonna be any kind of mature market by the end of this decade, but our long-term forecast picks it up in the end of the decade and carries it through into the early 2040s and really look at where do we think quantum computing is going to get adopted.
We're normally five-year forecast people, but it's not too early, I think, to do a long-term outlook like that.
And we think that the middle of the next decade, the 2030s, growth could really pick up into a high growth rate type of compound annual growth.
One of the things that we discussed that's really important when it comes to quantum computing is the fact that we're starting to see this as an addition to classical computing rather than a standalone.
I believe there was a little bit of maybe marketing discussing that quantum was going to replace HPC or replace AI.
We don't want to go too much into our survey, but About two thirds of buyers expect Quantum to arrive as an accelerator inside an HBC AI system, not a standalone machine.
And that's actually what we're seeing or where we're seeing so much of the success.
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