Ben PowellHost
Rising Japanese government bond yields and a weak yen put pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates faster.

So what's changed in Japan? A 10-year Japanese government bond now yields around 3%, the most in three decades.

That's more than what a Japanese investor would get on a 10-year US Treasury after hedging it back to the yen.

but raising rates also makes Japan's large government debts more expensive to manage.

For years, extremely low bond yields encouraged Japanese investors to look overseas for income.

As domestic yields become more attractive, fresh demand for foreign bonds could soften.

That matters when governments and companies are already fighting hard to attract capital, including for projects related to the AI build-out.

We think that underlines how closely Japan's markets are linked to global financial conditions.

We stay cautious on Japanese government bonds because we think yields could keep rising.

We're neutral on Japanese stocks overall, seeing opportunities in areas like financials, physical AI, and companies benefiting from greater capital spending and corporate reforms.

Rising Japanese government bond yields and a weak yen put pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates faster.

So what's changed in Japan? A 10-year Japanese government bond now yields around 3%, the most in three decades.

That's more than what a Japanese investor would get on a 10-year US Treasury after hedging it back to the yen.

but raising rates also makes Japan's large government debts more expensive to manage.

For years, extremely low bond yields encouraged Japanese investors to look overseas for income.

As domestic yields become more attractive, fresh demand for foreign bonds could soften.

That matters when governments and companies are already fighting hard to attract capital, including for projects related to the AI build-out.

We think that underlines how closely Japan's markets are linked to global financial conditions.

We stay cautious on Japanese government bonds because we think yields could keep rising.

We're neutral on Japanese stocks overall, seeing opportunities in areas like financials, physical AI, and companies benefiting from greater capital spending and corporate reforms.
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