Apr 30, 2026 · 56 min · 19 segments
Bitcoin is pressing against a critical threshold, but the real story lies beneath the surface where institutional forces, market structure, and crypto-native coordination are reshaping the next phase…
Um, and then some- something else I saw from this, um, little-known company called Bitwise, this really nice chart, um, showing that the institutional demand, and its institutional demand here is measured by the, um, flows of ETFs and digital, digital asset treasuries.
We are approaching, um, net positive again, and we haven't been at these levels since prior to the 10/10, um, October crash.
Look, I think if you think about Bitcoin for the last nine months, you had some arms rowing in one direction and other arms rowing in the other direction.
So you had sort of institutional pulling for a while, and then there were outflows.
I think what this is pointing out is the combination of strong ETF inflows, strong corporate treasury purchases from strategy via the stretch instrument, and then reasonably strong purchases from long-term holders of Bitcoin, sort of OG crypto.
When all of those are rowing in the same direction, the price goes up, and I think that's what we've seen over the last, you know, six weeks.
I feel very confident that strategy will continue to issue stretch and buy Bitcoin.
And then I think the sentiment on the retail side has shifted from fear of the four-year cycle to, like, very cautious long-term optimism.
So I don't think that that's gonna be fighting against us as much as it was for the last seven months.
So you add those together and I'm, I'm reasonably, not straight up to the moon, but I'm reasonably positive.
Um, and then some- something else I saw from this, um, little-known company called Bitwise, this really nice chart, um, showing that the institutional demand, and its institutional demand here is measured by the, um, flows of ETFs and digital, digital asset treasuries.
We are approaching, um, net positive again, and we haven't been at these levels since prior to the 10/10, um, October crash.
Look, I think if you think about Bitcoin for the last nine months, you had some arms rowing in one direction and other arms rowing in the other direction.
So you had sort of institutional pulling for a while, and then there were outflows.
I think what this is pointing out is the combination of strong ETF inflows, strong corporate treasury purchases from strategy via the stretch instrument, and then reasonably strong purchases from long-term holders of Bitcoin, sort of OG crypto.
When all of those are rowing in the same direction, the price goes up, and I think that's what we've seen over the last, you know, six weeks.
I feel very confident that strategy will continue to issue stretch and buy Bitcoin.
And then I think the sentiment on the retail side has shifted from fear of the four-year cycle to, like, very cautious long-term optimism.
So I don't think that that's gonna be fighting against us as much as it was for the last seven months.
So you add those together and I'm, I'm reasonably, not straight up to the moon, but I'm reasonably positive.
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