All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Sep 17, 2026 · 18 min · 8 segments
(0:00) Welcome Brad Gerstner! (1:01) Trump Accounts, Every Child a Capitalist & The CAC Scan (5:07) Can AI revenue pay for the CapEx? (8:53) The Build Out Issue: Gigawatts, TAM, Token Growth, and…
Today is kind of a throwback to what I used to do on the pod with these guys, which is a market check, a tech check, state of the market.
Where are we? Where are we going? What do we have to believe to be true in order for the market to continue to work? We're gonna do a bit of a speed round here, so bear with me.
So market's up fifteen percent this year, up thirty-nine percent since January of last year, despite all the concerns about tariffs, despite all the concerns about geopolitics, despite all the concerns about AI regulation.
We have a lot of people in the bestie group who said gold was gonna be off the charts this year.
Look at NVIDIA trading at fourteen times next year's fully taxed GAAP earnings.
Okay? Mag-seven basically in line with its average multiple, but not everybody is winning.
Okay, at the bottom here, consumer discretionary, software financials, huge sections of the market have barely moved, right? This is a market that is being driven by the largest CapEx build-out, the largest super cycle in the history of technology.
So who's making the money? The makers of the tokens are making the money, and the buyers of the tokens are basically going along for the ride.
Today is kind of a throwback to what I used to do on the pod with these guys, which is a market check, a tech check, state of the market.
Where are we? Where are we going? What do we have to believe to be true in order for the market to continue to work? We're gonna do a bit of a speed round here, so bear with me.
So market's up fifteen percent this year, up thirty-nine percent since January of last year, despite all the concerns about tariffs, despite all the concerns about geopolitics, despite all the concerns about AI regulation.
We have a lot of people in the bestie group who said gold was gonna be off the charts this year.
Look at NVIDIA trading at fourteen times next year's fully taxed GAAP earnings.
Okay? Mag-seven basically in line with its average multiple, but not everybody is winning.
Okay, at the bottom here, consumer discretionary, software financials, huge sections of the market have barely moved, right? This is a market that is being driven by the largest CapEx build-out, the largest super cycle in the history of technology.
So who's making the money? The makers of the tokens are making the money, and the buyers of the tokens are basically going along for the ride.
The rest of this transcript — segmented and speaker-labeled, so you land on the exact moment something was said
Search every transcript — by keyword, by phrase, or by meaning, across every show Radar indexes
Trends — what is surging across podcasts, measured against its own baseline
Alerts — when a name you follow appears in a newly indexed episode
No account is needed to search Radar.