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Tim Mahedy
Chief Economist at the Equipment Leasing & Finance Association and CEO/Chief Economist of Access/Macro, previously at the San Francisco Fed, IMF, and KPMG.
2
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Oct 14, 2026
The Quarterly Economic Outlook for Equipment Finance
3:36

Kelli NienaberHOST
So with inflation elevated, as you mentioned, um, why are rate expectations still climbing? Is it just about that persistent inflation? Talk a little bit about that, and then I wanna bring James into the conversation too.
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3:50Tim MahedyGUEST
If we think back, we maybe even mentioned this on the last podcast, if you think back to the fall of '24 and '25, the Fed cut 175 basis points over two falls.
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4:05Tim MahedyGUEST
Now, for all you listeners out there, does any-- you know, extra credit, do you know what the 10-year did over those two years? It actually went up, not down.
15 MINS LATER
The Economic Outlook for Equipment Finance in Q3 2026
18:55
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3:52Tim MahedyGUEST
If you think back to the fall of 24 and 25, the Fed cut 175 basis points over two falls, right? A lot of it had to do with concerns over the labor market.
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4:09Tim MahedyGUEST
Do you know what the 10-year did over those two years? It actually went up, not down.
15 MINS LATER

Kelli NienaberHOST
What is the biggest long term, like think over the next decade issue that our economy faces? You can go out on a limb here.