
Tim Koller
Consultant
3
APPEARANCES
2
PODCASTS
012
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Oct 2, 2026
324. How strategy creates value: The four foundations that drive long-term performance
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22:49Sean BrownHOST
Tim, maybe you could start us out with the first one, growth and return on invested capital.

Tim KollerGUEST
Ultimately, the value of any investment is driven by its cash flows discounted at its cost of capital.

Tim KollerGUEST
And the nice thing is, is that we can decompose a company's cash flows into two strategically debatable concepts, which revenue growth and return on capital.

Tim KollerGUEST
So if you're just gonna talk about cash flows, you can't really have a debate, right? But if you translate that into revenue growth, are we growing as fast as our markets, as fast as our peers? Is our return on capital above our cost of capital? Is it increasing, decreasing? How does it compare to our peers? Then you can have a real strategic conversation, uh, by, uh, with, you know, that, that, that links these things together, right? It's not that we ignore earnings.

Tim KollerGUEST
We do look at earnings, right? But if you do a good job with growth and return on capital, you will also do a good job with earnings.

Tim KollerGUEST
But you can have attractive earnings, particularly accounting earnings, uh, if you're not earning a attractive return on capital or if you're doing things to earnings just based on accounting things.
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26:05Sean BrownHOST
Tim, what are the executives that you've worked with thinking and doing in this regard? And maybe you could share some examples.
290. Tim Koller reflects on three decades of Valuation at McKinsey
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Andy WestHOST
What's in that first binder that is core to the counsel that you give to people today? What maybe haven't we learned? over 30 years, despite it

Tim KollerGUEST
being out there and available? Well, first let me say, despite the fact that it is now actually close to 900 pages, there's no fluff in this book.

Tim KollerGUEST
But on the other hand, I tell people that it's more like a cookbook than a novel.

Tim KollerGUEST
You do not need to start at page one and go to page 900, right? What I typically recommend to people is you read the first four or five chapters.
TIP725: First Principles of Valuation w/ Tim Koller
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32:48Clay FinckHOST
How about we talk about the cost of capital side? How do you go about determining the cost of capital for a company? And how does that potentially differ between companies?

Tim KollerGUEST
Yeah, well, the first thing we do is we tell companies that you can't really do much about your cost of capital, right? Your cost of capital is for the most part determined by the industry that you're in.

Tim KollerGUEST
And for most companies, large companies, you know, your cost of capital is somewhere between seven and a half and nine and a half percent.

Tim KollerGUEST
So don't get hung up on getting it to the nearest decimal point or changing it a lot.
13 MINS LATER