Thomas Greminger
Director of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy
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Jul 31, 2026
A Case for Dialogue: Thomas Greminger
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28:24

Alicia IvanovaHOST
Do you think now there is a shared interest of major actors on the international arena in adding this dialogue to deterrence? And if there is such a point of convergence in their interest, is it strong enough to be acted upon?
Thomas GremingerGUEST
I would say, uh, we clearly have not yet reached, uh, um, this point of convergence.
Thomas GremingerGUEST
Um, this said, I, I think there is an emerging sense that we need, uh, to manage deterrence, that we need to manage distrust, that we need to manage a 5,000-kilometer-long, uh, uh, line of contact between, uh, Russia and the West.
Thomas GremingerGUEST
And for this pur- purpose, we need to, uh, reinvigorate a dialogue, you know, starting with, uh, reestablishing, uh, mil-to-mil dialogue with, you know, uh, again, agreeing, uh, to some guidelines on preventing and managing incidents and accidents in the air, um, um, on the sea, uh, on land.
Thomas GremingerGUEST
Um, short, we need, uh, again, you know, uh, discussions and eventually agreements on, on military risk reduction.
Thomas GremingerGUEST
Uh, I think there is, uh, an emerging sense, you know, that the time has come, uh, to return to that.
Thomas GremingerGUEST
Um, again, as long as the war in Ukraine continues, it will be very difficult, you know, to find a, a, a political environment that is enabling enough to, uh, conduct these kinds of discussions, uh, and to agree on these kinds of measures, even though, you know, they would be, uh, very much needed.
8 MINS LATER

Alicia IvanovaHOST
Do you think the geopolitical challenges of the present day made the organization irrelevant to a point of no return, or can it still be revived and maybe repurposed to play a productive role even in the worst of times? To put my question simply, do you think the OSCE still can initiate and lead processes of reestablishing security cooperation, whether it's, uh, the military to military dimension that you've mentioned, or broader political dialogue?