So how much do you trust all of that? They have Vegas Sunday.

Well, they just allowed the Miami Dolphins to have their first win of the year.

Ollie Gordon went nuts.

So I think, you know, maybe you're a little bit apprehensive of the Brees Hall usage in the first game back, but I think you're playing Brees Hall.

If you're really in trouble at running back, I think, you know, cramming Braylon Allen in there, some fantasy managers are going to have to do it again.

And Allen's just been awesome.

But I think that when you're looking at the Jets' defense, it's sort of trending south.

I mean, I think I'm with you on Cooper, but what do you want to do with the Eagles?

jameson

williams yeah i mean it's it's one of those it's one of those situations and also the the opposite side of the coin do you lower expectations for the minnesota vikings defense this week which is sort of the there's like two set it and forget it defenses in fantasy football right now seattle and minnesota And if we're applying start your studs to the offensive side of the ball, should we just always roll with those defenses? I think some fantasy managers benched Seattle last week in that matchup against Kenneth Walker and wish they could have had that one back.

So Brian Flores has had a historically good production defense-wise against Jared Goff.

But at the same time, you can't sit Amon Roth, St.

Brown.

He's still a wide receiver one.

You can't sit Jamison Williams because he's coming off two touchdowns in back-to-back weeks.

I mean, I think I'm with you on Cooper, but what do you want to do with the Eagles?

So how much do you trust all of that? They have Vegas Sunday.

Well, they just allowed the Miami Dolphins to have their first win of the year.

Ollie Gordon went nuts.

So I think, you know, maybe you're a little bit apprehensive of the Brees Hall usage in the first game back, but I think you're playing Brees Hall.

If you're really in trouble at running back, I think, you know, cramming Braylon Allen in there, some fantasy managers are going to have to do it again.

And Allen's just been awesome.

But I think that when you're looking at the Jets' defense, it's sort of trending south.

I mean, I think I'm with you on Cooper, but what do you want to do with the Eagles?

What do you think Trey Tucker can do for us rest of season in fantasy?

Yeah, it's usually a profile that I'd sort of want to dismiss as a one-off, but we have this past week Trey Tucker having a career high in targets and a career high in target share.

He's averaging 14.3 points per game now on the season, which is wide receiver 20, and he's wide receiver 13 in total fantasy points at the wide receiver position, averaging 24 points per game over his last two games played.

The game flow has trended in his direction.

Obviously, those are high-scoring games, and they're trying to keep up with offenses like the Bills, like the Rams.

But the Raiders cannot run the ball, and I think that the lack of run game is coinciding with ramping up Trey Tucker.

I think he's pretty good, and I think the metrics are kind of dictating that we're going to see more spike weeks on the horizon.

You want to update the people with the hot take rest of the season?

What are you seeing here, Theo?

No, I just really wanted to give you props on this one because you were all over it.

I think I had him as my number one waiver wire ad last week and very highly ranked on the waiver wire the week before.

I think a lot of people are going to do catch up.

But in most leagues, he's going to be rostered.

You had a strong Jeremy Bernard take last week and you were spot on with it.

The usage was awesome.

Where are you? Where's your head out with the Giants after week six?

What are you seeing here, Theo?

No, I just really wanted to give you props on this one because you were all over it.

I think I had him as my number one waiver wire ad last week and very highly ranked on the waiver wire the week before.

I think a lot of people are going to do catch up.

But in most leagues, he's going to be rostered.

You had a strong Jeremy Bernard take last week, and you were spot on with it.

The usage was awesome.

Where's your head at with the Giants after week six?

But, um, you know, what about McKee or even Tyler Huntley, although it might just be for one more week, as, as options for people?

I mean, I'd have a lot more confidence in, in Tyler Huntley, uh, than McKee.

I think McKee, the, it, the game is a very, very low total game.

It's like 39.

Uh, Carolina, I think is gonna just, uh, have their way with Philadelphia.

Uh, Philadelphia also just a back-breaking end to the game against Jacksonville.

Now you lose your quarterback.

We can show you how we're gonna get him off."

We can show you how we're gonna get him off."

Yeah, I mean, he's a touchdown or bust guy this weekend, and I think he'll get some shots down field.

Uh, but this is setting up to be a, a big Nico Collins week.

I think Harrison Jr. helps Nico Collins a lot.

Uh, it's a player on the outside the defenses are gonna have to account for.

Um, he's certainly gonna be motivated in, in a new spot to sort of prove it.

Reunites with his college quarterback.

B, with the Rams on the schedule and Tyler Allgeier, how high would you rank him?

But, um, you know, what about McKee or even Tyler Huntley, although it might just be for one more week, as, as options for people?

I mean, I'd have a lot more confidence in, in Tyler Huntley, uh, than McKee.

I think McKee, the, it, the game is a very, very low total game.

It's like 39.

Uh, Carolina I think is gonna just a, have their way with Philadelphia.

Uh, Philadelphia also just a back-breaking end to the game against Jacksonville.

Now you lose your quarterback.

I can't imagine that's must start territory, but we are really scrambling.

How you feel about the Green Bay Packers?

I'm feeling tremendous, and yesterday felt like, I think some people are pointing at it as Chicago's, uh, secondary got exposed, and Green Bay just took advantage of it.

But it felt like a signal that Green Bay's really becoming this three-man receiving corps, and Jordan Love is just being allowed to take these big downfield shots, and he's completely thriving.

So I'm gonna double down on my week one, uh, bold take.

I said Christian Watson would be top three in touchdown catches.

I'm gonna say he finishes first or second in touchdown catches.

I think the really, the only reason I don't wanna lock down number one overall is because of how elite Jaxon Smith-Njigba's usage is.

Like, what are you seeing for him rest of season? Do you think he's a trade target?

Where are you at on Carolina as we look forward to the rest of the season?

Yeah, I'm getting, like, dangerously high on Bryce Young, and I'm ready for, like, the floor to fall out at any point but, you know, people are sort of dismissing the production he had against Detroit because it's Detroit, but I think you nailed it.

It's missing Jalen Coker.

I think that was huge for us to see him put up a big number without Coker.

You also have Xavier Legette on the IR, so he's down to using guys like Bry- like Br-- who, who was talking about Bryson Tremaine, uh, in the preseason, and he's out there, like, in a full snap share.

Um, obviously, it's also great to see a smash week from Tedarrell McMillan.

You talked about it on-- with-- on Rotowire with me end of the week last week.

So where's your head at on Nico now that we've seen him healthy, um, in week four and putting, putting numbers on the board again?

So what do you see in rest of season here for Pittsburgh's running back?

Yeah, I mean, I think this Jaylen Warren thing, he's-- I think it's the real deal.

Um, and Jaylen Warren last year had 958 rushing yards.

Um, and the season would've been more special if it wasn't for sort of the, the Kenneth Gainwell experience down the stretch and, and w- Pittsburgh really leaning into all those dump-offs to Gainwell.

I think that the Dowdle injury has opened up this window for Warren, and I think it's something that will continue.

He's not gonna put up these sort of numbers week in, week out, but I do think he can be a top 15 running back, be like a borderline RB1 rest of season.

This game felt very, very real.

What are you seeing from Scatabo that has you excited?

Good question.

Yeah, I think a-ana- analytically, the one that you'd, you'd sort of wanna chase here if you wanna play a Houston, uh, wide receiver, which is sort of a, a tough bet, but it's Xavier Hutchinson who had nine targets last week.

Didn't do much of anything with them.

Uh, but he's on the field a ton.

He's getting targets in the passing game.

Uh, and like you said, he's got a good matchup.

It would still be, it would still be one where I would really struggle to try to put him in lineups.

Yeah.

So I'm wondering how much value you would have gotten because Kincaid, being where he is now, I don't know who was forecasting him playing that much more than he had in the past.

Yeah, I mean, there were people sort of flag-planting him as a value, but there weren't people really brave enough to rank him alongside guys like Tyler Warren.

And I think he's leapfrogged most of those guys.

It's been...

Only a two-week sample size, but like you said, the problem with Kincaid, other than being banged up, was the lack of snaps.

So jumps off the page in terms of a bunch of these analytical takes from fantasy football, targets per route run and all that kind of good stuff.

But we haven't been able to see him being supported with this high level of snaps that we're seeing.

I wonder, is there someone there that's a pivot for Houston to maybe catch some passes and put up numbers against the Colts? Good question.

Um, I'm really intrigued what's caught your eye, um, what you're focused on here, and what you expect to happen the rest of season.

I mean, I think that the one that everybody's sort of on this morning is the Trayveon Henderson takes over the New England backfield.

And I don't think it's gonna be a true takeover in the sense that it's gonna be like a, a Bel- a Belichow role and Rhamondre Stevenson gets nuked.

But I do think you're looking at a Trayveon Henderson is gonna outscore him for the rest of the season.

I think that New England's an offense that really needs big explosive plays, especially without A.J. Brown.

A lot left to be desired from, from them offensively, even with the win over Pittsburgh.

And I think the Henderson role, it looked very strong for, for a-- for his first week back, and I think it can continue to grow.

Take it away.

Um, how are you feeling after week one? Do you have a New York Giants bold take for us?

Yeah, this feels like the mispriced offense.

Every year we look back and we say, "This offense produced multiple fantasy winners at ADP." And for me, it feels like the New York Giants.

And when you look at what they were able to accomplish last night against the Cowboys, first of all, the Cowboys have owned the Giants over, like, the last eight, eight years or so.

Uh, this is the second time that they've beat, uh, beat the Cowboys in, in just a short period of time.

Jackson Dart has that it factor.

But you look at it's game one for this system.

All right, Theo, what's your third bold prediction here? You got a Buffalo Bills one for us.

What are you seeing for Detroit in the early stages of this season?

Yeah, so this past off-season, I said that I think that the Lions are gonna average more points per game than at any period during the Ben Johnson era.

And I think this is a big narrative shift early on, where i- it was funny, when, when Drew Petzing was hired, it was sort of like a, "What? They hired him as OC for this unbelievable situation?" Where there was sort of rumors linking, like, Mike McDaniel early on, some, like, red-hot names, like the usual suspects.

But they go with Drew Petzing coming over from Arizona, and I think people have sort of come to terms with this guy gets it.

Uh, the vibes are really good with him right now.

And I think analytically, a lot of sort of ball knowers looked at sort of the, the run game success in Arizona, some of the things he was able to accomplish there.

And he's certainly in a much better talent situation, night and day quarterback bet- uh, situation improvement with Jared Goff, and then of course Jameer Gibbs at running back, Amon-Ra St.

Um, go ahead and take this one away with your third bold take.

Yeah

...

Brock Bowers, AJ Brown, George Pickens.

This is like, if you get to the sprint and these guys are healthy, this could be s- like there's a week where these three could combine for 90 points.

That's that kinda, kinda upside with this.

So, um, we don't have any running backs, but we're in great shape at wide receiver.

We're in tremendous shape at tight end.

Yeah, that's-

I know you threw out some of your initial reactions over on X earlier this morning, but what do we need to know? What do we need to plan for now in Houston fantasy-wise?

I mean, it doesn't really do much to Nico Collins.

Nico Collins is sort of locked in around that 2-3 turn.

I have him at 26 overall in my PPR rankings, uh, which feels a- about right for him.

I guess you could make an argument that he could be a little higher, maybe a little lower, but I think right in that 2-3 turn area, it's sort of baked in.

Uh, his role is very strong.

Nico Collins just needs to stay healthy, and if he stays healthy, he could be a dark horse top five wide receiver.

Brown or CeeDee Lamb?

I'm curious, do you think, like, he can be the legitimate locked in, trustworthy number one option on this team to produce, like, a top end receiver?

Yeah, I mean, I think, I think there's a scenario where we continue to sort of make bets between Roma Dunse and Luther Burden, and they end up sort of cannibalizing one another and capping one another's ceilings, and Loveland ends up being the number one target there.

We also have, like, a sample size of, of Loveland.

You, you talked about it analytically.

Sort of some raw stats for Loveland that I like pointing out.

Uh, he dominated the usage down the stretch, especially when it mattered the most for Chicago.

He had 10 plus targets and 20 plus PPR points scored in three straight games, including the incredible playoff win over the Packers, where he had eight catches for 137 yards and a touchdown.

What you got for us?

with a hamstring strain and it sounds like the only carolina running back that we're going to care about at least at the top of the draft for uh the remainder of training camp and the preseason is going to be one jonathan brooks i know you were high on him before um how high do you get on this guy now knowing that we're not going to see hubbard maybe until september this is this is huge for brooks and how we handle this in high stakes drafts is going to be crucial on how people are winning you know these million dollar grand prizes in the ffpc

So over at rotowire.com, I did my FFPC main event and big gorilla targets list where we listed guys I liked in each round, either as a priority target or a target and a little bit of a write up.

And Jonathan Brooks was there for like a sixth, seventh round value.

I'm going to have to rewrite the article because that that's gone.

I was in a draft earlier today and he went 502.

He went ahead of Travis Etienne.

He went ahead of Travion Henderson, ahead of Basial Tootin.

I think by and large, if we're talking about Samson versus Sanders, these are all good things for one Quinn Sean Judkins at the moment.

Uh, give me the guy that you are, you are aiming to get in every draft.

Well, I think just based on the, the price and based on where we're at, a lot- you're seeing a lot of these running backs going in every single first and second round.

It's really hard to find values.

So for me, I think it's Breece Hall.

'Cause Breece Hall's sort of falling into that sweet spot where you're able to get him in the tail end of the third round.

We've seen a couple of one-off drafts where he's starting to fall into the fourth.

He's, I think, in sh- in great shape to give us a really big payoff at this price tag.

Yes.

I know you like Quinshon Judkins as well, but how do you weigh that against what could be the most disastrous quarterback situation in the NFL?

I think that the discounts are sort of baked in for players that we would view as, like, upper level NFL skill position talents, but sort of weighed down by very, very questionable quarterback play.

The, the bar is sort of low for these guys to, to produce though.

Um, Quinshon Judkins in a lot of formats is falling to, like, the sixth round.

Casey Concepcion, we're seeing him in, like, round 10, round 11.

Denzel Boston, round 16.

If we can just get maybe the 25th best quarterback, uh, play, uh, out of these guys, and then I think we could see all these guys sort of deliver at ADP.

Mm

When Tyson's coming in here in the scenario he is, what's all the upside for him this year? And do you think he can reach some of these projections that we just looked at?

Yeah, I mean, a lot of respect for our projections team over at Rotowire, but I think he's going to smash those numbers.

I think Jordan Tyson is the real deal, and you're able to get him in the seventh round.

And Joe, like, finding value, finding ADP values is getting harder and harder.

It's like the information age.

Even, like, the guy in your league who is unprepared can prepare quickly with some of the great resources like yourself out here in the space.

Guys can end up showing up to the draft, you know, Look on look at some stats and some articles from some trustworthy sources and they're going to end up doing OK.

So how is the new offensive coordinator now three different ones in three years going to affect Sam Laporta? You obviously think there's enough here to go around where Laporta can still be a huge return in round eight.

And then in round two, there's, you're almost always getting, what, Davon Achane or Kenneth Walker or Chase Brown.

Two-0- five you're gonna have a running back.

I, but we talked about this earlier.

Um, Scott and I had a maybe 30-minute, uh, talk on, like, how these scenarios could play out.

I think we're very open-minded to different builds.

But that the 205, it's, there's gonna be a number of appealing running backs, but there's also a chance that Trey McBride falls to the 205.

It's happening more and more.

Can I run to the bathroom and let you go solo?