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Steve Mitchell

Basketball player

Oct 31, 2026

27:29
Steve, you've got everything you can fish for, don't you?
27:33
Yeah, pretty much.
27:34
You know, I mean, if you don't want to go out there on the ocean, we definitely got sturgeon and striped bass here inside the delta slash bay.
27:44
But then if you still want to get out there on that saltwater, we definitely got rock high fishing and crab combos jumping off.
27:51
And either way it go, we're going to accommodate you however you want to get out there and make it happen.
27:56
We're going to make that happen for you.
27:57
If it's fishable, we're going.
28:20
Steve, give them all the hookup info they need so they can get a hold of you, find out more about the Perseverance, and make that reservation.
43:13
What is change, do you think, in this U.S. Senate race that is seeing Abdul El-Sayed's lead expand?
43:20
He's really doing much better with independent voters.
43:23
He's been getting hammered by the Republican Party, by Mike Rogers, as well as a number of independent groups.
43:29
And it does not seem to be sticking Um, and his, uh, his numbers have actually gotten up and it's, uh, it's, uh, the, the difference between why he is doing better than the Benson right now, according to our polling is because he is doing so well with independent voters and the young voters have really become the strongest supporters of the democratic ticket in the 2026.
43:54
Uh, uh, else I add is leading by, uh, 33 points, uh, with 18 to 29-year-old voters.
44:03
He's leading by 52 points with the voters who are 30 to 44.
44:09
So he's just got a huge lead with these younger voters.
47:11
So how do you juxtapose what maybe you found in the primary to what you're seeing now?
0:36
What is change, do you think, in this U.S. Senate race that is seeing Abdul El-Sayed's lead expand?
0:43
He's really doing much better with independent voters.
0:46
He's been getting hammered by the Republican Party, by Mike Rogers, as well as a number of independent groups.
0:52
And it does not seem to be sticking Um, and his, uh, his numbers have actually gotten up and it's, uh, it's, uh, the, the difference between why he is doing better than the Benson right now, according to our polling is because he is doing so well with independent voters and the young voters have really become the strongest supporters of the democratic ticket in the 2026.
1:17
Uh, uh, else I add is leading by, uh, 33 points, uh, With 18 to 29-year-old voters, he's leading by 52 points with the voters who are 30 to 44.
1:32
So he's just got a huge lead with these younger voters.
1:35
And that's really what's fueling the increase in lead to 7%, 51% to 44% right now.
4:33
So how do you juxtapose what maybe you found in the primary to what you're seeing now?
9:59
So what does this show you? What does this tell us? How is this different from the last poll you did?
10:05
I was actually surprised that we had pulled out to 7% by LCI Edwards.
10:12
There's been so much in terms of where the margin was only 1% or 2% by a number of very good pollsters.
10:20
I think that we're beginning to see the undecideds breaking, and they seem to be breaking towards the Democrats.
10:26
And El Sayed is just doing tremendously with young voters.
10:31
He leads by 43% with 18- to 29-year-olds.
10:33
He's got a 51% lead with 30- to 44-year-olds.

5 MINS LATER

15:42
How often do you see a candidate swing back from a seven-point deficit with less than seven days to go?
1:26
So what does this show you? What does this tell us? How is this different from the last poll you did?
1:31
I was actually surprised that we had pulled out to 7% by El Sayed before.
1:39
There's been so much in terms of where the margin was only 1% or 2% by a number of very good pollsters.
1:47
I think that we're beginning to see the undecideds breaking, and they seem to be breaking towards the Democrats.
1:53
And El Sayed is just doing tremendously with young voters.
1:58
He leads by 43% with 18- to 29-year-olds.
2:00
He's got a 51% lead with 30- to 44-year-olds.

5 MINS LATER

7:09
How often do you see a candidate swing back from a seven-point deficit with less than seven days to go?
2:51
To what? I mean, I know you said you're surprised, but to what do you attribute that?
2:57
This is tremendous support he's getting from younger voters, and he's also got the independents supporting him.
3:04
He's winning by 43% among voters 18 to 29, and by 51% among voters 30 to 44.
3:13
So he's really consolidated the youth vote.
3:15
They're really strongly behind him, and that's really the prime reason why he's as strong as he is.
3:21
He's also winning independents by about a dozen points, as opposed to in the governor's race, which is tied between John James and Jocelyn Benson in terms of who the independents are supporting.
5:44
Does that tell us anything?
5:48
It shows that Republicans are just angry.
41:50
To what? I mean, I know you said you're surprised, but to what do you attribute that?
41:57
just this tremendous support he's getting from younger voters, and he's also got the independents supporting him.
42:04
He's winning by 43% among voters 18 to 29, and by 51% among voters 30 to 44.
42:12
So he's really consolidated the youth vote.
42:15
They're really strongly behind him, and that's really the prime reason why he's as strong as he is.
42:21
He's also winning independents by about a dozen points, as opposed to in the governor's race, which is tied between John James and Jocelyn Benson in terms of who the independents are supporting.
44:44
Does that tell us anything?
44:48
It shows that Republicans are just angry.
23:56
Tell our listeners all the remodeling and everything that's been going on.
24:00
Well, we put in, I guess you could call it the mega galley of boats.
24:06
As far as what we're concerned, what we got going on is something way different than all the other boats.
24:13
It's a little bit extra, I guess you could call it.
24:16
But when you look at a boat, you just look at all the details and everything.
24:22
I mean, everything is precise on this boat.
24:26
I mean, it's accommodating for everything.
24:44
This is a perfect opportunity for you to load that boat up, not only with customers, but for crab and everything else going on out there.
35:31
How have you adapted to the technology? How is polling different today than when we first started working together? Well, when we first started,
35:41
when we first started, you had a phone bank and you called up people between five o'clock and nine o'clock at night and they were all home and they took the survey.
35:50
And then it came that darn invention called the cell phone.
35:54
And that has changed everything.
35:55
Uh, it made polling much more expensive.
35:58
Uh, you pulled, uh, instead of five to nine, basically any time because people would respond.
36:05
Uh, then we went into what's called interactive voice response polling.
38:32
Steve, three tips for people to determine whether they're looking at a legit poll or one that's been skewed for the benefit of a candidate.
35:31
How have you adapted to the technology? How is polling different today than when we first started working together? Well, when we first started,
35:41
when we first started, you had a phone bank and you called up people between five o'clock and nine o'clock at night and they were all home and they took the survey.
35:50
And then it came that darn invention called the cell phone.
35:54
And that has changed everything.
35:55
Uh, it made polling much more expensive.
35:58
Uh, you pulled, uh, instead of five to nine, basically any time because people would respond.
36:05
Uh, then we went into what's called interactive voice response polling.
38:32
Steve, three tips for people to determine whether they're looking at a legit poll or one that's been skewed for the benefit of a candidate.
3:06
Uh, so to that point, uh, what about the motivation of people to vote in the first place? I know you poll for that, don't you?
3:16
Yeah, we do.
3:16
And, uh, normally in a, in an off year, and I think we're seeing this, the party that's outside the White House, in this case the Democrats, are usually far more enthused than the Republicans, because they wanna get back into power, uh, especially when you've got a president as controversial and as, as disliked, uh, uh, I think you'd have to even say hated, as President Trump is by the Democrats.
3:42
But surprisingly, when we asked the question, "Are you, uh, very enthused, somewhat enthused, not very enthused, or not at all enthused?" Uh, there's a tie.
3:51
61% of the Democrats, uh, said that they're very enthused, and 61% of the Republicans said that they're very enthused.
3:59
Now, by about 7%, Democrats are a little more likely to say somewhat, but we always look at the very number as determining which is gonna be more important.
4:08
So, um, so yeah, I think that we see equal enthusiasm, at least among the people that we polled.
4:38
Who seems to like Jocelyn Benson to the point that she has a seven-point lead?
42:05
So to that point, uh, what about the motivation of people to vote in the first place? I know you poll for that, don't you?
42:14
Yeah, we do.
42:15
And, uh, normally in a, in an off year, and I think we're seeing this, the party that's outside the White House, in this case the Democrats- Are usually far more enthused than the Republicans because they want to get back into power, uh, especially when you've got a president as controversial and as, as disliked, uh, uh, I think you'd have to even say hated, as President Trump is by the Democrats.
42:40
But surprisingly, when we ask the question, "Are you, uh, very enthused, somewhat enthused, not very enthused, or not at all enthused?" Uh, there's a tie.
42:49
61% of the Democrats, uh, said that they're very enthused, and 61% of the Republicans said that they're very enthused.
42:57
Now, by about 7%, Democrats are a little more likely to say somewhat, but we always look at the very number as determining which is gonna be more important.
43:06
So, um, so yeah, I think that we see e- equal enthusiasm, at least among the people that we polled.
43:36
Who seems to like Jocelyn Benson to the point that she has a seven-point lead?
2:22
Any interesting things crop up, Steve, that wouldn't show up maybe on the headlines?
2:29
You know, this is a very interesting year.
2:31
We'll be going in the field in the next week or so.
2:34
But when you look at the polling that's out there right now, you've got really a couple of different races in Michigan.
2:40
In the race for Attorney General and the race for the U.S. Senate, you've got very close races between the Republicans and the Democrats.
2:47
The margin a little greater in the race for Governor and Secretary of State.
2:53
I think that the voters in Michigan are having...
5:17
Wasn't Mike Duggan, as you're discussing right now, the kind of person that could be above all of that?
74:50
Any interesting things crop up, Steve, that wouldn't show up maybe on the headlines?
74:59
You know, this is a very interesting year.
75:00
We'll be going in the field in the next week or so.
75:03
But when you look at the polling that's out there right now, you've got really a couple of different races in Michigan.
75:09
In the race for Attorney General and the race for the U.S. Senate, you've got very close races between the Republicans and the Democrats, the margin a little greater in the race for Governor and Secretary of State.
75:23
I think that the voters in Michigan are having...
75:26
I'm troubled wrestling with the idea of candidates as liberal as Abdul El-Sayed or as Elie Savet, the Attorney General candidate on the Democratic Party.
77:46
Wasn't Mike Duggan, as you're discussing right now, the kind of person that could be above all of that?
49:36
It's, it looks, it looks unreal.
49:38
Yeah, yeah.
49:38
We've been really fortunate.
49:39
Our, our Dynasty, our, our apparel supplier, has done a great job with it.
49:42
We had the-- obviously when we got the very sad news about Jai and, um, what we wanted to do with him was, uh, you know, get an image of Jai in the front and center on our jersey, and they've done a wonderful job with it.
49:52
Um, the response from the public's been really, really strong.
49:55
Uh, and everything, but to their credit, the Dynasty guys are donating all proceeds from the sale of the jersey itself.

16 MINS LATER

66:04
What can we expect?
1:14
It is-- It looks, it looks unreal.
1:16
Yeah, yeah.
1:17
We've been really fortunate.
1:18
Our, our dynasty, our, our apparel supplier's done a great job with it.
1:21
We had the...
1:22
Obviously, when we got the very sad news about Jai and, um, what we wanted to do with him was, you know, get an image of Jai in the front and center on our jersey, and they've done a wonderful job with it.
1:30
Um, the response from the public's been really, really strong.

16 MINS LATER

17:43
What can we expect?
0:30
It looks, it looks unreal.
0:31
Yeah, yeah.
0:31
We've been really fortunate.
0:33
Our, our Dynasty, our, our apparel supplier, has done a great job with it.
0:36
We had the...
0:37
Obviously, when we got the very sad news about Jai, and, um, what we wanted to do with him was, you know, get an image of Jai in the front and center on our jersey, and they've done a wonderful job with it.
0:45
Um, the response from the public's been really, really strong.

16 MINS LATER

16:57
What can we expect?
18:44
How do things change post-primary?
18:47
Things get much easier for pollsters.
18:51
Primaries are very difficult to determine who's going to win because in order to determine in a poll, uh, what's going to happen, you have to build a model of what the likely voter turnout is going to look like.
19:05
What are the percentage of men versus women? What are the age groups? Um, all of those things.
19:10
What, what's the racial component gonna be of the race? In a primary, that you can't, uh, you can't do that because turnout varies so much.
19:20
In the Democratic Party primary this time, there were 40% more voters than we ever had before in a Democratic primary.
19:28
And so therefore, it's hard to build a model, where in a general election, you roughly know that the percentage of how many 18 to 29-year-olds are gonna vote, how many 30 to 30, uh, to 44-year-olds are going to vote, et cetera.
23:06
I- I- Are those numbers still relevant now?
3:52
And, you know, after these nominees, Steve, are decided, you know, do the undecided voters begin, you know, paying more attention, closer attention? Or do most just still remain disengaged until what, like Labor Day or something?
4:07
I think, yeah, I think you're right.
4:09
It's Labor Day where things begin to change.
4:12
People begin to think, OK, well, I'm a Democrat and maybe I did want to support Haley Stevens.
4:18
But, gee, I hate Donald Trump.
4:20
And as much as I wanted Haley to win, my only chance to take control of the Senate is to vote for Abdul El-Sayed, and so they do.
4:31
And so you have to wait to get a consolidation behind the candidates to get a better sense of exactly what's going to happen.
5:30
Are those numbers still relevant now? They're still
1:56
Um, what are they likely to show?
1:59
Well, on the Republican side, uh, John James is going to be a big winner.
2:04
He received the endorsement from Donald Trump, and that's just platinum with Republican voters in Michigan.
2:10
We're projecting he's gonna win by, uh, 30 points.
2:13
He's got, uh, about 50% of the vote, 22% of the vote going to, uh, Perry Johnson.
2:19
Uh, Johnson's run a very good campaign, but, um, did, I thought, very well in the debates, but, uh, John James has been, uh, ahead, uh, in this race all the way through.
2:29
Um, uh, very popular.
4:26
How did Abdul El-Sayed, should he win, defeat $70 million spent on Haley Stevens, as I understand it?
40:29
When those numbers do come in, let's take the race for governor on each side, what are they likely to show?
40:39
Well, on the Republican side, John James is going to be a big winner.
40:44
He received the endorsement from Donald Trump, and that's just platinum with Republican voters in Michigan.
40:50
We're projecting he's going to win by 30 points.
40:52
He's got about 50% of the vote, 22% of the vote going to Perry Johnson.
40:59
Johnson's run a very good campaign, but did, I thought, very well in the debates.
41:03
But John James has been the head...
43:06
How did Abdullah Syed, should he win, defeat $70 million spent on Haley Stevens, as I understand it?
2:29
How are things at the Titans? Because a slow start under the new regime of Josh Hannay, but in the last couple of weeks especially and over the last six to seven weeks, much improved and it looks like a good vibe off and on field.
2:40
Yeah, it's been exceptional.
2:41
Josh, if you look at him in regard to the first thing he did across the business was he's very connection focused.
2:46
He's very people centric.
2:47
So he spent a lot of time actually getting to know everyone in the business.
2:50
He'd walk across through admin, he'd get the play group, he'd go through admin.
2:53
And he reconnected and enriched those relationships in everyone.
5:54
Tell us what you guys have got planned.
70:59
They didn't show?
71:01
Yeah, you know, it was kind of iffy anyway because I talked with these guys on Thursday and they were looking at the weather real tough like and for some reason or another, I think they made a judgment call on their own.
71:15
And we should have known that when they wasn't there about 4.30 this morning while we're sitting there waiting on them.
71:21
So I made a call, and then I got the stiff move there.
71:26
That's when they don't answer the phone at all.
71:29
And so I knew then, like, they made their own judgment call.
71:33
They were worried about the weather as it was.
72:17
And all I really want to know is when are you going to drop that perseverance in and get the first groups going out on your big new boat?
3:40
How does that race, i- i- in your water, because you know these kinds of things, how do you think they would poll if Lisa- if they had been the only two in the poll that you'd done?
3:51
You know, it's hard to say.
3:51
It's hard to say where the support for Mallory McMorrow is going to go.
3:56
A lot of people presume it's gonna go to Haley Stevens.
3:59
I'm not so sure.
4:00
I think that, that the people who supported McMorrow, um, are going to go to both Stevens and to El-Sayed.
4:07
Remember, she was sort of in between both of them.
6:49
Wha- what do you make of that, uh, what do you make of you've got a, a super establishment candidate in Jocelyn Benson versus one of those three?
30:30
How does that race, in your water, because you know these kinds of things, how do you think they would poll if they had been the only two in the poll that you'd done?
30:41
You know, it's hard to say.
30:42
It's hard to say where the support for Mallory McMorrow is going to go.
30:47
A lot of people presume it's going to go to Haley Stevens.
30:49
I'm not so sure.
30:50
I think that the people who supported McMorrow are going to go to both Stevens and to Al Sayed.
30:58
Remember, she was sort of in between both of them.
33:34
I guess if you had a race, what do you make of that? You've got a super establishment candidate in Jocelyn Benson versus one of those three.

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