S
Stephen Roach
7
APPEARANCES
6
PODCASTS
012
DEC 30
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Oct 29, 2026
S2E94: Is Hong Kong really over? Warning China about a deal with Trump
7:06
7:27
Stephen RoachGUEST
Certainly from the standpoint of President Trump likes to declare that the relationship has been significantly improved because of his deep and lasting friendship with Xi Jinping.
Stephen RoachGUEST
The trade truce that was struck in South Korea nearly a year ago was extended by only two months at the latest meeting in Washington.
S2E94: Is Hong Kong really over? Warning China about a deal with Trump
7:06
7:27
Stephen RoachGUEST
Certainly from the standpoint of President Trump likes to declare that the relationship has been significantly improved because of his deep and lasting friendship with Xi Jinping.
Stephen RoachGUEST
The trade truce that was struck in South Korea nearly a year ago was extended by only two months at the latest meeting in Washington.
SOTS 2nd Hour: Another Hot Inflation Print, Healthcare's FDA Question, & U.S.-China Summit Latest 5/13/26
23:57
24:12
24:21
27:49
Stephen RoachGUEST
Um, I, I hate to throw cold water on what Eamon just said, but, uh, you know, I would say don't hold your breathFor a spectacular result.
Stephen RoachGUEST
Uh, and, um, you know, this idea of a board of trade I think is interesting, but highly, uh, premature.
Stephen RoachGUEST
I think, um, you know, they certainly wanna defer any, uh, subsequent actions on tariffs.
Sara EisenHOST
We've talked a lot about what the US wants from China, but what do you think, Stephen, that China wants from the US right now?
SOTS 2nd Hour: Stocks Reverse Steep Losses on Iran Headlines. Does China Have an Edge over U.S.? Private Credit Fears Persist 4/2/26
25:51
26:08
26:30
26:44
26:53

Carl QuintanillaHOST
A lot of ink spilled this week about how the rest of the world views U.S. security guarantees from here on out and whether that is a net benefit to Xi Jinping.
Stephen RoachGUEST
Today, the morning after Trump's nothing burger of a speech that really didn't describe anything you could call strategic and is completely inconsistent with his effort to develop a national strategic strategy published a few months ago.
Stephen RoachGUEST
Compare that today with a year ago when he rolled out the Great Liberation Day tariffs against the entire world that were recently just declared illegal.
Stephen RoachGUEST
You know, you've got a disruptive president enacting personalized, whimsical policies that make no sense legally or strategically.
Stephen RoachGUEST
And, you know, Xi Jinping represents a China who attempts to think strategically.
A Slowdown in Stocks and Bond Market Warning
27:37
27:44
28:00
28:12
29:07
29:34

Tom KeeneHOST
Do we understand that in our negotiations with China, the unique character of this regime in Beijing?
Stephen RoachGUEST
First of all, Tom, uh, thank you for, uh, talking to me, making, your intro makes me sound a little bit like Thomas Edison.
Stephen RoachGUEST
China's been on a trajectory that has been pointing in this direction really since, um, the late '70s and, uh, uh, post-Mao, Deng Xiaoping China.
Stephen RoachGUEST
Uh, under Xi Jinping, things have certainly crystallized much more around, uh, an authoritarian, uh, single leader-dominated system, but the trend of, um, economic policy, state-directed industrial policy, repressed, uh, consumption, uh, an, uh, unbalanced Chinese economy increasingly at odds with, um, the rest of the world, that has been evident for a, a long time prior to the ascendancy of Xi Jinping.
P
28:57Paul SweeneyHOST
Are the people of China, are they comfortable with where they are now and, and, and where President Xi is taking this economy?
Stephen RoachGUEST
Look, I've, I've written books about, uh, US-China codependency, the relationship, uh, that was initially constructive, uh, uh, from perspective of both coun- uh, countries relying on each other, and I think, uh, the people of China that I speak to, and I still go there on a regular basis, uh, would love nothing better than to go back to that comfortable codependency.
Stephen RoachGUEST
But the leaders, the political leaders of both nations, and in the case of the US, I wouldn't just ha- uh, single out the president, but most importantly, I'd emphasize the US Congress, don't see it that, uh, way anymore, and the Chinese people don't fully understand, uh, what has changed, uh, to alter that balance.
Stocks Surge on Another Tariff Pause 5/12/25
26:16
29:48
Stephen RoachGUEST
And what I heard from Scott Besant when I woke up early this morning is he's pretty much rolling out the old script that was used in the first Trump administration.
Kelly EvansHOST
It's going to be status quo, right? It just feels very status quo going forward now, which for markets that might be a very good thing.
Markets Rip Higher On Tariff Pause… And Why China Isn’t Getting Any Relief 04/09/25
33:40
33:49
34:55
Stephen RoachGUEST
the markets were clearly in a death spiral and Trump flinched today and gave us all some breathing room.
Stephen RoachGUEST
But as you heard from Secretary Letnick, Trump is still clinging to this harebrained scheme to remake the world with tariffs, and that's not something that's going to end well.
Melissa LeeHOST
So we've always said here that there are many other ways China could retaliate, particularly against countries who do business over there, like an Apple or Starbucks or any other company that has executives over there who could easily be detained for a myriad of reasons.
