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Simon Welsh
2
APPEARANCES
2
PODCASTS
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Jul 4, 2026
One Nation came second in the Hunter electorate last election. What do voters there think now?
6:36
6:56
7:01
7:23

Keren ThomasCORRESPONDENT
He says it's being driven by a deep sense of disenchantment with the political system and the two major parties, as well as a decline in living standards and rising cost of living.

Simon WelshGUEST
Like we see in our polling, a lot of One Nation supporters think immigration is a good thing for Australia.

Simon WelshGUEST
It is really just about this fundamental sort of disconnect between what's happened in their lives, the loss of material stand and a political sort of major party system that they see as not serving those needs.

Keren ThomasCORRESPONDENT
He says in Hunter, the demographics are favourable for One Nation, at least on paper.
Pollster Simon Welsh on One Nation's rise and Victoria's 'very messy' election
5:22
5:40
5:49
6:02
6:12
6:19
14:50
Michelle GrattanHOST
At the election, they got, what, something over 6% of the vote, and you might have expected them to increase gradually, but why did they increase with this sort of massive jump?

Simon WelshGUEST
And there is, you know, there, there's that sort of, um, you know, that old joke about, you know, collapses happen really slowly and then all at once, and that's kind of what we're seeing here.

Simon WelshGUEST
So there's a few bits to it, and I'll sort of try and work my way through this, is you had this prevailing economic stress in the community, particularly in regional and outer suburban areas.

Simon WelshGUEST
And it wasn't just about sort of the immediate cost of living crisis which really dominated that news sort of cycle for, you know, it was almost like a year leading into the election and then post the election.

Simon WelshGUEST
But even a deeper kind of erosion of public services and erosion of economic opportunity.

Simon WelshGUEST
So if you lived in outer suburban regional areas, you know, your access to basic healthcare is diminished compared to the inner metro areas.
8 MINS LATER
Michelle GrattanHOST
What are people thinking now about the budget? Have those issues calmed down? Have people just moved on, or are they still hot issues?