View him as a first-round pick.

Imagine that we go back in time to tw- this 2024 season, okay? And I want you to imagine that the Kyler Murray injury, the Kobe Brunett takeover happens in 2024 while Sam Darnold is on the Vikings.

All right? Stick with me here.

Sam Darnold still goes to Seattle, but instead of J.J. McCarthy, J.J. McCarthy doesn't exist in this scenario.

Instead of that, in 2025 off-season, Kyler joins the Vikings.

Let's say this happened a year ago.

Justin Jefferson is not going at the back end of the first round.

You know what does impact me? If PTJ were to go down, if Jakobi Meyers were to go down-

Sammy, who is your must-draft player?

You know, I think in, uh, in home leagues, we've seen this a lot with the drafts on Stream, whether it's the Domain guys or with, uh, with, with Zach on Fantasy Land.

I think that Trevor Lawrence is deserving of being pushed up the board quite a bit here, and I think that him being a quarterback that you're able to get in the double digit rounds is absolutely asinine.

Obviously goes on an insane run towards the end of 2025.

We've been talking all off-season, who is the wide receivers that you need in this offense? Is it Parker Washington? Is it Brian Thomas? Is it Jakobi Meyers? We all love Travis Hunter, of course.

The running back room, we want this running back in this Liam Coen offense.

We love this Jaguars offense so much, and I think that the main guy who you're not concerned about whether he will benefit from it or not is going to be Trevor Lawrence.

Yeah

So they didn't have to pay him.

Yeah, so Mixon doesn't play, of course, that it's Nick Chubb, cooked Nick Chubb, right? And Woody's kind of forced into this like early down, you know, thumper role, which is just not what he was good at.

Wasn't his best skill set coming out of college, right? He's a pass catcher.

So they were not able to use him that way in college.

And then now you have a situation where with Dave Montgomery there, if he's able to excel more, be more efficient in this limited role, which is more of a pass catching role, I do think he could have some standalone value.

Plus, there's all the contingent upside.

Joe Burrow, Bryce Young, and

Tua.

fair enough yeah um all right man well we're gonna be picking we're gonna be picking at the 1.8 while we uh while we wait for for nate how many how many best ball drafts have you done

zero Zero.

Yeah, dude, I have not become a best ball bro.

I feel like I want to be a best ball bro, but I've just got too much shit going on to really dive into this and actually not be a fish about it.

So I'm excited to do this on your dime, fuck this draft up.

But I am excited that finally you're zero RB.

You've taken the coward's way out, and now you'll do anchor RB with me.

Like it's, it's classic.

He's not a

projection-based bet, though.

right? Like, I don't know.

No, he's definitely, you know what I mean? Like, like that doesn't surprise me at all.

I think that, dude, I've been like, as soon as the season ended, I'm in all the, I'm into all the dynasty stuff, right? People were really steaming him up, like really excited.

And I was completely out on it.

Like, him being like a top eight dynasty tight end, all this kind of stuff.

where, where are you comfortable taking neighbors right now? I'm going to take JT.

Where, uh, where, where are you comfortable taking neighbors right now? I'm gonna take JT.

Yeah, go for it.

Um, I think, you know, back in the second round, like I, I still, I think I moved him to 24 in my, in my redraft rankings.

Um, it's sort of just like, like if I'm...

I, and I don't think he ends up there.

There's a chance, but, but I think that we'll continue to get bullish news.

Um, I just don't wanna go so over...

But it was fade, it was fade JSN based on the insane, uh, downfield efficiency.

Yeah

...

he finally has a good quarterback, right? He's dealing with Sam Howell and whoever else at quarterback before that.

Now, but if we look at this offense in 2026, what is the target competition here? You have a fifth-year tight end, who I do like and we'll get to Chig, but he's never topped 600 yards in a season.

You have a third-round rookie wide receiver in Antonio Williams, a perfectly fine prospect profile, but we shouldn't expect a big breakout from him in year one.

It's looking more and more every day with every social media post that Brandon Aiyuk to Washington is probably not something that's gonna happen, and then you got, like, Luke McCaffrey and Traylon Burks.

So I think that with Terry, now that he's, like, a round, round and a half cheaper than he was last year, Jayden Daniels hopefully playing a full season healthy, I think there's a clear opportunity here.

Realistically, it is a pick your flavor type of team, 'cause I think all three of them represent a ton of upside given their cost.

Anytime I do one of these relatively weird constructions, it maxes me out at like 14%.

When you have such an insanely high sample size of 2 million teams, and you do something that a very small portion of those teams have done, Like, obviously, you know, like, especially when like historically BBM wide receiver has been so, so valuable and there's been the avalanche and all this kind of stuff.

I think it, but, but I'm specifically with like, if, if we look at how we expect the off season to go 17th or 16th, 17th, 18th round running backs, um, getting some more value, knowing a little more as we get to August about RB2s and all this kind of stuff.

I think that trying these sort of builds where maybe we take a fourth at the turn here and then we stop at running back and we end up with nine wide receivers, I think even like 10 maybe we could do on this team.

I think that works a little more now.

And then...

Maybe building more 3-5-7-3, building more normal once we know more.

Every time, like sack has gotten me on sacrilegious has gotten me on so many of these that I'm like, I'm sure there's something I'm not seeing, but man, do I not see it? They're calling him the

... like, think about how bad some of your 10th place best ball teams were last year.

Well, exactly, and then you, what are the odds that you, like, get a shitty team through and then you bank a, you know, a, a 33% outcome? ...

in week 15.

Like, I, you could, or so no, it's one of five, one of three.

So yeah, there will be a lot of bad teams, but then those bad teams won't make it to the final.

And if the final is all that matters.

Yeah, I don't know.

Yeah

But here's what I'm

thinking.

Here's what I'm thinking, though.

McBride is going to be in, what, 98% of...

Probably not that high.

Whatever, 11, you know, 90, 92, whatever it is, percent of Week 15 teams.

Yeah.

That's

like no one no one ever learns anything because he's a jet

Yeah.

Yeah, man.

I mean, like, even if like, I'm thinking of like, what if David Njoku wasn't on the Browns to begin last year? Harold Fannin, it's not a first round pick, but he's, he's probably not like, I mean, he was getting drafted last year, but he probably doesn't jump that much.

Third round pick tight end to the Browns.

That's terrible.

And then, you know, it's just opportunity and talent kind of went out here.

And I guess it is just that he's one of the cheapest running back twos who will probably catch – 35 passes with some

Yeah

... it's just opportunity and talent kind of win out here.

I do, yeah, I'm like, I'm so back and forth on the Jets, man, because I want to be in, but at the same time it's like, it's still Geno Smith and Frank Reich.

Like I, I can't, I can't get all the way there just because it should make sense.

Garrett Wilson for me is like a little...

Like, what if he's just like, I know you've been, I've heard you a few times, what if A- Adonai Mitchell's just better? And, and I don't, I'm not g- I don't think that far, but Garrett Wilson consistently has not been able to rise above his situation.

And how long are we gonna go, oh, you know, it's, it's, it's the situation, it's not him? How long are we gonna do that for?

Yeah

I mean, he could head back down to, like, 18, 19, 20, I think.

Uh, yeah, I think he definitely could.

It's the fact that when you see him in a certain range of production for so long, I think it's sometimes difficult for the redraft circles to then, you know, get that point where he's like, okay, now he's worth a, a 1-2 turn pick.

Uh, I don't know, man.

Like, e- look, even if Rice is...

Even if the rehab in prison hurts a little, like, like, hurts him a little bit in the first few weeks where he's, like, a little slower to get back, they know what they're doing here.

Like, this isn't gonna be some, like, huge ramp up, I don't think.

Yeah