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Riley Acton

Riley Acton

Economist

Jul 17, 2026

1:41
I mean, uh, when I read the paper I was sort of shocked that that's the number.
1:46
Yeah.
1:46
So to get to that number, we gotta go back a, a, a few steps.
1:50
Um, so what we're looking at in this paper is county-level outcomes.
1:54
So we're not just thinking about colleges and, and their students or their employees, but we're thinking about the communities that colleges are, are located within.
2:02
And what we're doing is we're tracking how county-level COVID-19 outcomes, including cases and deaths, we look at hospitalizations a bit as well, how those outcomes changed before and after the start of the fall 2021 semester, and how that change varied based on whether colleges in that county had a vaccine mandate on their campus or not.
2:24
So we come up with the total number of 5% by looking at how total deaths over essentially the fall semester, about a 13-week period, varied on average in counties with COVID-19 mandates, um, throughout that time period, and then we essentially add that up across all of the different counties that had the vaccine mandates to come up with a total number, and we estimate that that total number is about 5% of total, uh, COVID-19 deaths that we saw during last fall.

13 MINS LATER

15:39
Mm-hmm.

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