
Peter C. Earle
Economist and Senior Director of Research at the American Institute for Economic Research (AIER), former Wall Street trader and West Point graduate.
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Oct 22, 2026
The midterms, the wealth tax, and what's in a name: a roundtable discussion
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Peter C. EarleGUEST
But an expanding GDP, or my personal area, a strong stock market, doesn't by itself vindicate policies of any given administration.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
So what I always look at first is, is do we have an environment now where DC is making it easier to invest or produce or hire? And on that score, it's a very mixed record.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
There's certainly been constructive efforts in deregulation, energy development and tax certainty, but the enthusiasm for tariffs runs directly against all of that.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
And if there's one area that I was hoping for considerably more progress, spending and fiscal discipline.
8 MINS LATER
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And I want to go back to you actually, Pete, because kind of I was thinking like, I mean, isn't he kind of like calling to like, chaff his own shareholders with these policy proposals?
Why everyone feels broke in an age of abundance.
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6:59Paul MuellerHOST
So why don't you jump in here and what you'd add about what do we mean by affordability and maybe some of the challenges or the ways that we try to track affordability you know, rising prices or affordability or lack of affordability over time?

Peter C. EarleGUEST
So, first, I think that we face some of the classic measurement problems in economics that we face when we come into this area.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
There's an economist named Zvi Grelitsch, who spent a lot of time trying to track difficult areas of measurement.
18 MINS LATER
America First Stories Ep. 13: Dr. Peter C. Earle
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Jon HeroldHOST
okay i guess well what economic indicators do you typically look at then and and why why like why are they important to to people like me because i don't pay attention to sure economic indicators like you probably do

Peter C. EarleGUEST
I would say the ones that I follow most regularly and the ones that are most important right now are, of course, the inflation rate, right? Because we've been fighting a war against inflation really since 2021.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
But that's, you know, that's a very important one that affects all Americans.

Jon HeroldHOST
what what happens then to our dollar and and why does that make gold such a such an important investment i've been saying for so long like people should diversify and this is my advice and financial advisor yeah but you know why Why is gold and silver such an important potential savings to hedge against the potential long-term scenarios where we don't pay off the debt and the debt continues to rise? Why is it a good investment for your retirement strategy?
Above The Rabbit Hole EP: 078 - Should Precious Metals Be In Your Plan? - With Dr. Peter Earle, Ph.D
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6:37Mickey CoachellaHOST
Tell us some signals or trends you're seeing that support those questions, if you can.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
Yeah, there are definitely some signs of strain in the economy, in our financial system.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
So first of all, I'm sure you guys know government debt is as high as it's ever been, approaching $40 trillion.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
And what that does is basically that limits how easily policymakers can respond to disasters or downturns that might crop up in the future.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
um and at the same time you know interest rates have moved up they were held at zero levels for years by the fed now they're adjusting we now have just yesterday we have 30-day yields at five percent which is uh you know that i mean that's traditionally that's not a high level but in the context last 20 years it's actually quite high and you know we've seen periodic stress in banks and funding markets we saw the collapse of silicon valley bank just two years ago and you know that that doesn't none of that means that the economy is about to break But what it does mean is that it's more sensitive to shocks.

Peter C. EarleGUEST
And so when you combine all of that, higher debt, changing policy, new head of the Fed, all that stuff, what it means is that the markets are reacting more quickly and sharply than they did in prior periods.
10 MINS LATER
Matt DavisHOST
I was just actually going to say, Mick, to add to that, I was going to say, what would them mining in outer space do for all this? Because you've got people talking about mining the meteors and different planets with the space programs.