
Paul Moate
Paul "Money" Moate is a TAB New Zealand bookmaker and media personality, delivering odds updates and betting insights on New Zealand radio and rugby podcasts.
269
APPEARANCES
2
PODCASTS
0510
DEC 30
JAN 6
JAN 13
JAN 20
JAN 27
FEB 3
FEB 10
FEB 17
FEB 24
MAR 3
MAR 10
MAR 17
MAR 24
MAR 31
APR 7
APR 14
APR 21
APR 28
MAY 5
MAY 12
MAY 19
MAY 26
JUN 2
JUN 9
JUN 16
JUN 23
JUN 30
JUL 7
JUL 14
JUL 21
JUL 28
AUG 4
AUG 11
AUG 18
AUG 25
SEP 1
SEP 8
SEP 15
SEP 22
SEP 29
OCT 6
OCT 13
OCT 20
OCT 27
NOV 3
NOV 10
NOV 17
NOV 24
DEC 1
DEC 8
DEC 15
DEC 22
DEC 29
JAN 5
JAN 12
JAN 19
JAN 26
FEB 2
FEB 9
FEB 16
FEB 23
MAR 2
MAR 9
MAR 16
MAR 23
MAR 30
APR 6
APR 13
APR 20
APR 27
MAY 4
MAY 11
MAY 18
MAY 25
JUN 1
JUN 8
JUN 15
JUN 22
JUN 29
JUL 6
JUL 13
JUL 20
JUL 27
AUG 3
AUG 10
AUG 17
AUG 24
AUG 31
SEP 7
SEP 14
SEP 21
Sep 21, 2026
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (22/9/26)
96:27
96:45
98:09

Paul MoateGUEST
They're a $1.33 favourite to beat the New York Giants, who, of course, were victorious in week one against their divisional rival, the Dallas Cowboys.

Paul MoateGUEST
The game total is set at 47.5. Money on the Rams and there are a number of multis that are finishing on the Rams, not just to win the game at around $1.33, but also to cover the spread minus six and a half.

Scotty StevensonHOST
In terms of favourites, have the bookies been able to make this pretty clear cut or is it a little fraught here for our bookmakers?
FULL SHOW | Scotty and Sammy (18/9/26)
98:24

Scotty StevensonHOST
Warriors' night's a Sunday, Paul, and I'm sure there hasn't been too much of a shift in the book at this stage.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (15/9/26)
118:57
119:12
120:14

Scotty StevensonHOST
Well, we started the show talking like that, Paulie, and it's only fitting we finish it as well.

Paul MoateGUEST
They should be because they've got a big pickup, Kenneth Walker, who will be rushing the ball for the Kansas City Chiefs.

Scotty StevensonHOST
very nice um we better start throwing it forward to the knights and the warriors this weekend on sunday can get an early book going here where are we at are the warriors favorites for this at eden park
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (14/9/26)
108:01
108:08
108:18
108:25

Scotty StevensonHOST
When we look through the competition now, what are the betting patterns that you are noticing?

Paul MoateGUEST
Well, Hawke's Bay are very, very popular, so that was a very surprising result for them against North Harbour, especially at home.

Paul MoateGUEST
Maybe Hawke's Bay were looking ahead to this week for the big battle of the bay against Bay of Plenty.

Paul MoateGUEST
Even so, with the lead that they had, and they were very, very short live, I can tell you, the Magpies, With the lead they had, you wouldn't have expected them to give that up.
PAUL MAOATE | TAB odds update (14/9/26)
0:37
0:50
0:55
2:38

Paul MoateGUEST
There were plenty of punters who decided to back over 57.5 points in that Baltimore test.

Paul MoateGUEST
In terms of the head-to-head, look, the South Africans weren't without their fans.

Paul MoateGUEST
There were quite a few punters who decided that what they saw in the first three tests was enough to get them to, I guess, put their money on the South Africans.

Scotty StevensonHOST
When we look through the competition now, what are the betting patterns that you are noticing?
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (11/9/26)
99:59
100:05
102:59

Paul MoateGUEST
South Africa have drifted from $1.55 out to $1.57. As you say, both teams have been named.

Paul MoateGUEST
Dave Rennie going with a very experienced line-up in the fourth and final test against South Africa.

Scotty StevensonHOST
And look, this is going to be a hugely popular part of the site, I'm sure, and keeping the bookies pretty busy with a close eye on how those markets might shift.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (9/9/26)
116:41
118:12

Paul MoateGUEST
I think they've already shown so far this season that they are a force to be reckoned with at Seminole Stadium up there in Northland.

Scotty StevensonHOST
Seahawks still $1.55, the Pats $2.45. Are we seeing good interest in the NFL, mate?
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (8/9/26)
118:22

Scotty StevensonHOST
wowee okay there you go that's coming out of the blocks on that one for sure what about the rest of the nfl action all kicks off this weekend mate i know it's a hugely popular sport with you guys
Why the All Blacks Have a Springbok Problem
44:43
44:52
45:16

Paul MoateGUEST
I thought we'd have a look at, uh, an NPC game from next week, and I'll ask you guys to price it up.

Paul MoateGUEST
And then when the bookies actually do price it up, uh, on Monday, uh, we'll, uh, we'll come back next week and just see how close or how far away you were from actually pricing this game correctly.

Paul MoateGUEST
That might be a good one to go for, 'cause we know that both teams will definitely have their best teams on the field.
R
48:31Ross KarlHOST
... doing some interesting things, and giving players game time against a good South African, against a good New Zealand team could be one of the kinds of things he would like to do before the next World Cup You know? Um, so when you guys are looking at these odds and, you know, let's say Rassie's naming his team on a Monday, that probably gives you a bit of a favor, doesn't it, in comparison to [laughs] a Thursday naming, where you guys can make some adjustments maybe relatively early.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (7/9/26)
104:25
105:40

Paul MoateGUEST
The bookies are fairly happy, to be fair, and it all revolved around that result in South Africa where the spring box were just a wee bit too good for the All Blacks.

Scotty StevensonHOST
The Warriors fans would have been pretty happy, but gee, that had to go the distance.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (4/9/26)
106:30
108:37

Paul MoateGUEST
Although the Seagulls could have done us a wee bit of a favour by bringing over a weekend, you know, rest a few players.

Scotty StevensonHOST
And given a field like that, given the nature of racing, gosh, it's a value race perhaps for some punters, isn't
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (3/9/26)
96:47
96:59
97:15
97:20
98:23

Scotty StevensonHOST
She's a hard punt on the US Open at the moment, isn't it? The rain is the winner on the day.

Paul MoateGUEST
And it looks like we've got, what, a couple that are still going in the men's and the women's single.

Paul MoateGUEST
But in terms of the futures, I'm just having a look at the woman's outright winner.

Paul MoateGUEST
And Sabalenka still the favorite there at $4.33. Coco Gauff just in behind on the second line of bidding at $4.50. And then we're out to $8 for Jessica Pegula and Alina Rybakina at $13.

Scotty StevensonHOST
And look, first and foremost, how has punting been on the NPC? Have you guys been pretty encouraged by the betting volume so far this season?
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (2/9/26)
97:04
97:08
97:13

Paul MoateGUEST
Should we start with the NRL first? Because there's been a whole heap of movement.

Paul MoateGUEST
We've had Teamless Tuesday and some teams are resting players, other teams are going for it.

Paul MoateGUEST
So why don't we start there? And the game that most Kiwis will be focused on is the game between the One New Zealand Warriors and the Manly Sea Eagles.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (1/9/26)
120:58
121:32

Paul MoateGUEST
Yeah out in the first round a five setter but yes he's gone and are we starting to witness the beginning of Djokovic's long and illustrious career sort of starting to dissipate slightly as we see others enter the fray but Yeah, yeah, he was well in the market, so he's gone now in terms of the outright winner.

Paul MoateGUEST
Then we've got a couple of Americans, Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, both paying $9 to win the title.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (28/8/26)
98:11
98:17
98:31

Paul MoateGUEST
If you're a Manchester United fan, you might just wanna turn the volume down right now.

Paul MoateGUEST
Of course, they got off to a losing start, losing to Hull in the first week, and there's a few punters out there who think they might just go down to the Tractor Boys, Ipswich, $6.40 Ipswich to beat Manchester United.

Paul MoateGUEST
But they, [laughs] they've been more popular than United, who are $1.42 at home, the draw at $4.80.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (26/8/26)
97:23
97:37

Paul MoateGUEST
Unfortunately for most punters, they were taking the All Blacks to win by 13 or more, which was pay- I think that was paying about a dollar five, a dollar six, something like that.

Paul MoateGUEST
I think they opened it up at a 35 and a half, so the All Blacks minus 35 and a half against the Lions, and they had to move it to 37 and a half just on the weight of money that they took on the All Blacks minus 35 and a half.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (25/8/26)
118:23
119:29
119:44
119:52

Paul MoateGUEST
Well, let's start with that... game to close out the first week of english premier league and chelsea currently up what is it three two with um what two or three minutes left before a wee bit of added time i can tell you that the same game maltese as all falling into place certainly for chelsea supporters with all front three of the palmer pedro and rogers finding the back of the net so there'll be plenty of same game multi-punters out there who'll be waiting for the finish of this game we've also had a four and a half thousand dollar bet on chelsea at a dollar 33 that was in play and we had a two thousand three hundred dollar bid on chelsea prior to kick off at a dollar 85 so a lot of support for chelsea a lot of support for chelsea's goal scorers so it looks like it's going to be a nice little start to a Tuesday morning for plenty of Chelsea fans out there.

Scotty StevensonHOST
I don't have my screen up, but I doubt there's been too much shift in that market.

Paul MoateGUEST
It's moved to $37.50. And that's because of the money that we've taken on the All Blacks.

Paul MoateGUEST
Almost, in fact, over 90% of the money At 35 and a half was on the All Blacks minus 35 and a half.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (24/8/26)
104:41
104:54

Paul MoateGUEST
When you put the All Blacks out at, I think they were $3, just north of $3 earlier this week, late last week.

Paul MoateGUEST
Yeah, when you've got them out at around $3, and they got into, the last price I saw them before kickoff was around $2.50. Yeah.
TAB ODDS UPDATE | Paul Maoate (24/8/26)
1:02
1:15

Paul MoateGUEST
When you put the All Blacks out at, I think they were $3, just north of $3 earlier this week, late last week.

Paul MoateGUEST
Yeah, when you've got them out at around $3 and they got into, the last price I saw them before kickoff was around $2.50.
JOSH BEVERIDGE | Buller halfback on their upset win over North Otago
1:33
1:54
3:31

Josh BeveridgeGUEST
So I think this week we were just focusing on having a bit of a turnaround, believing in ourselves as a group, and I think on Saturday we just showed what we're capable of doing.

Paul MoateGUEST
How tight was it? Obviously the scoreline shows it was really tight, but what worked for you and the group throughout that performance?

Paul MoateGUEST
Hey, Joshy, what about you, mate? Give us an understanding of your journey, your background.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (21/8/26)
115:37
116:11

Scotty StevensonHOST
I know a couple of boys collected, but how did the TAB fare? Did the Taniwha show enough love late to make sure it was a bad night for the tab or did you set the odds accordingly well?

Paul MoateGUEST
So they not only helped balance the book, they made it a winning result for us with the Tunny Far winning the Ramphilly Shield, taking it up north.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (20/8/26)
114:29
114:35
114:44
115:07
116:40

Scotty StevensonHOST
Um, now tell us what else has, uh, caught your attention as we head into the weekend.

Paul MoateGUEST
Why don't we have a, uh, look at the first test match between the Springboks and the All Blacks, and the money continues to come for the All Blacks.

Paul MoateGUEST
The... uh, it's not often punters get the opportunity to back the All Blacks as underdogs, or they've been given the opportunity in the first test against the Springboks, and they have grabbed that with both hands, and they are running to the bank with it.

Paul MoateGUEST
So yeah, there has been a whole heap of action on the All Blacks, forcing the bookmakers to move them into $2.60.

Scotty StevensonHOST
NRL, mates, uh, it's coming at us quickly again, so, uh, there'll be lots of wagering on the Warriors this weekend taking on Souths, as there always is, and I'm sure the bookmakers are taking plenty of, uh, water on board if the Warriors get over the line.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (19/8/26)
96:27
96:35

Paul MoateGUEST
And well, Nottingham Forest, they're $2.30 to start their season off with a win against Leeds United, who are $3.00.

Paul MoateGUEST
The draw's at $3.40. And of course, a whole heap of Kiwi fans will be keen to see how Forest go this year.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (18/8/26)
96:28
96:33

Paul MoateGUEST
Well, I thought we'd have a look at the EPL because the season kicks off this weekend.

Paul MoateGUEST
Of course, they had the charity shield on the weekend just gone by, and Arsenal just showed everyone how tough they're going to be to beat this season with that.
Scroll for more appearances
