Paul Mitchell
Businessman and former United States Representative
7
APPEARANCES
6
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012
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Oct 26, 2026
Early Ballot Returns | Congressional Candidate Rep. John Garamendi | Women’s Health Summit
9:09
P
5:00Paul MitchellGUEST
So what's interesting is if you went back 20 or 30 years, the vote by mail was largely Republican.
P
5:12Paul MitchellGUEST
If you missed an election, they would take you off of off of the permanent vote by mail lists.
P
5:17Paul MitchellGUEST
So it used to be something that was really the domain of older homeowner Republicans.

Vicki GonzalezHOST
Are there parallels or any kind of like interesting differences you're seeing between California and national trends?
The Mayor's Race Tightens
15:34

Michael MonksHOST
Um, what is it you think election officials should be doing, then, in order to try to cons- control this, uh, this spin around the conspiracy theories? Is there anything that they can do?
P
15:44Paul MitchellGUEST
Well, I mean, I think it is tough, and I think just to, to, to think about it this way, that a lot of the people who are pushing these conspiracies, I believe they're doing it disingenuously and, um, you know, oftentimes I'll talk to somebody and once you get past the hurdle of saying, okay...
P
16:03Paul MitchellGUEST
I understand it's probably not a conspiracy, but you should change the law anyway because you're inviting conspiracies." And it's kinda like, well, at what point are we trying to make changes to our election system to appease people who aren't being, you know, that are, that are being disingenuous? So there are things that they could do, but it's all really marginal.
P
16:21Paul MitchellGUEST
If- unless we want to start throwing away legitimate ballots, we're gonna, we're gonna keep a system that allows people, if their signature's bad, to fix it.
P
16:30Paul MitchellGUEST
We're gonna allow people to drop off ballots on Election Day or mail them on Election Day and have the signature verification go on for several days.
P
16:39Paul MitchellGUEST
I mean, it's, it's almost like a what, where do you want to disenfranchise voters in the name of stopping people who have conspiracies from tweeting things on, online that aren't true?
Meet the Man Who Drew the California Prop50 Maps | Paul Mitchell
15:24
P
0:58Paul MitchellGUEST
In this instance, I think it was important to kind of put the foot down and push back on what was happening in Texas.
P
1:03Paul MitchellGUEST
But I do share with you some of the consternation over this ever happening period and what's happened since as a result of it.
P
1:13Paul MitchellGUEST
It's been talked about in the media a little bit in some of my conversations I've had with reporters that before this thing actually happened, I was opposed to even doing any of this.
P
1:21Paul MitchellGUEST
I was telling members of Congress, I was telling members of the governor's staff, that they couldn't do this, that I have been a huge advocate for the Independent Redistricting Commission.
P
1:33Paul MitchellGUEST
I have literally never done a partisan redistricting in my life, but I've done over a hundred nonpartisan redistrictings, including where you live and where most people in California who are listening to this, where they live.
14 MINS LATER

Jon SlavetHOST
I wanna ask you first, Paul, do you have friends who've left California in the recent years? Is this touch your friend group? De-camp somewhere else to Texas, Florida, you know, gosh, Coeur d'Alene, all these other places.
Voter Trends in CA's Governor Race, Newsom Signs Order to Protect Workers Displaced by AI
9:47
15:08

Mina KimHOST
What do you mean by trying to figure out the right way to vote in this governor's race, Paul?
P
9:54Paul MitchellGUEST
Folks who have been listening to Forum and watching the news have seen a lot of discussion about this fear among Democrats that the top two in the governor's race would be Republicans, essentially boxing out Democrats from the general election.
P
10:08Paul MitchellGUEST
That risk has, I think, been abated a lot recently, and we can talk about why, but voters still are very keyed into it.
P
10:14Paul MitchellGUEST
I did a poll, and it showed that 75% of Democratic voters are afraid that two Republicans might make the runoff.
P
10:21Paul MitchellGUEST
And the people who have voted cite things like, I voted for the candidate who was highest in the polls, or I voted for the candidate who I thought could make sure that two Republicans don't make the runoff.

Mina KimHOST
Tell us why you initially or others initially thought that this was a strong possibility and where things seem to stand right now.
Still Undecided in California Governor's Primary? Here's Where the Race Stands
24:54
38:19

Mina KimHOST
Because [laughs] we've certainly seen a lot of them, especially for Becerra recently, but there were a lot for Tom Steyer as well against his past investments in private prisons and so on that were definitely on the airwaves.
P
25:05Paul MitchellGUEST
Yeah, so, uh, first off, just to pivot off of what was said about this Becerra surge, it really was, in my view, super organic.
P
25:14Paul MitchellGUEST
Uh, he had good favorables, uh, better favorables than anybody else, uh, but he was sitting there, like, 3 to 7% or something like that, really low in the polls.
P
25:23Paul MitchellGUEST
Uh, when Swalwell left, I was one of the people saying, "Well, you know, Porter and Steyer are gonna benefit." Didn't expect him to come up through the middle, but when he did, it was, I think, a combination of lucky spending they were doing right at that time and his favorables.
P
25:38Paul MitchellGUEST
The Sacramento folks that I talked to had said, like, "Well, we were gonna support him, but he was nowhere in the polls, so that's why we didn't support him.
P
25:45Paul MitchellGUEST
So now that he's doing well, I guess we're gonna go all in for him." And so that kind of was the second piece to drop.
12 MINS LATER

Mina KimHOST
And I think you asked some questions about, you know, how they feel about the top two system now.
Gerrymandering Arms Race, Culture War Over Wolves, & Freakier Friday Nostalgia
P
6:41Paul MitchellGUEST
Well, I think the California's maps are intended to create partisan gain for Democrats.
P
6:53Paul MitchellGUEST
Well, then if you're going to do that, we'll draw a map that'll pick up five Democratic seats.
P
6:57Paul MitchellGUEST
I think a lot of what people are thinking they're going to see is, you know, some crazy lines going down freeways and like, you know, creating districts like they're doing in Texas.
P
7:06Paul MitchellGUEST
They want districts that are built on what the commission already did, that protect the Voting Rights Act, that protect communities of interest.
Gerrymandering Arms Race, Culture War Over Wolves, & Freakier Friday Nostalgia
9:21
P
6:41Paul MitchellGUEST
Well, I think, you know, the California's maps are intended to create partisan gain for Democrats.
P
6:53Paul MitchellGUEST
Well, then if you're going to do that, we'll draw a map that'll pick up five Democratic seats.
P
6:57Paul MitchellGUEST
I think a lot of what people are thinking they're going to see is, you know, some crazy lines going down freeways and like, you know, creating districts like they're doing in Texas.
P
7:06Paul MitchellGUEST
They want districts that are built on what the commission already did, that protect the Voting Rights Act, that protect communities of interest.
Mabel KabaniHOST
So how rare is it you've been working in this field for a while for the president to encourage and get involved with this redistricting effort?