P
Paul Maoate
TAB NZ broadcaster and analyst providing sports odds updates and betting coverage across New Zealand radio and podcasts.
284
APPEARANCES
5
PODCASTS
0510
DEC 30
JAN 6
JAN 13
JAN 20
JAN 27
FEB 3
FEB 10
FEB 17
FEB 24
MAR 3
MAR 10
MAR 17
MAR 24
MAR 31
APR 7
APR 14
APR 21
APR 28
MAY 5
MAY 12
MAY 19
MAY 26
JUN 2
JUN 9
JUN 16
JUN 23
JUN 30
JUL 7
JUL 14
JUL 21
JUL 28
AUG 4
AUG 11
AUG 18
AUG 25
SEP 1
SEP 8
SEP 15
SEP 22
SEP 29
OCT 6
OCT 13
OCT 20
OCT 27
NOV 3
NOV 10
NOV 17
NOV 24
DEC 1
DEC 8
DEC 15
DEC 22
DEC 29
JAN 5
JAN 12
JAN 19
JAN 26
FEB 2
FEB 9
FEB 16
FEB 23
MAR 2
MAR 9
MAR 16
MAR 23
MAR 30
APR 6
APR 13
APR 20
APR 27
MAY 4
MAY 11
MAY 18
MAY 25
JUN 1
JUN 8
JUN 15
JUN 22
JUN 29
JUL 6
JUL 13
JUL 20
JUL 27
AUG 3
AUG 10
AUG 17
AUG 24
AUG 31
SEP 7
SEP 14
SEP 21
SEP 28
OCT 5
OCT 12
Oct 14, 2026
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (15/10/26)
P
115:14Paul MaoateGUEST
And I've seen a few of their social media, uh, clips, and they seem to be a very, very happy and united team.
P
115:27Paul MaoateGUEST
They are getting backed by, uh, punters, and the bookies have also got out a String of power plays for that big match between the Kangaroos and the Kiwis.
P
115:39Paul MaoateGUEST
I can tell you one that is very, very popular, uh, any two of James Fisher-Harris, Jeremy Marshall-King, Moses Leota, and Joseph Tapine to score a try.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (13/10/26)
P
97:13Paul MaoateGUEST
Uh, don't forget, there's a promo on, uh, that game as well, a three or more leg, same game multi.
P
97:26Paul MaoateGUEST
There's only one game today, so that game is the one, uh, that we're all looking at.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (12/10/26)
P
117:11Paul MaoateGUEST
Of course, those two finished one-two in the Group One Holden Insurance Mile, uh, a few weeks ago.
P
117:29Paul MaoateGUEST
Boy, he was good, um, but, uh, Tuxedo also very, very good in that runner-up position.
The Leg Up | Livamol Classic Preview
S
43:53Stephen HuntHOST
I think he's gonna be awfully hard to catch on an improving track at Ashburton.
P
43:57Paul MaoateGUEST
I- I- I'll go with the up-and-running form with what we've seen from Sweetest Thing.
P
44:02Paul MaoateGUEST
Uh, it would be LEO Award, uh, winning po- positioning maybe, uh, for, for Haley if she can get this one up from a, from a, from a wide gate because, uh, it, it's, it's going to be, have to be bang on.
P
44:13Paul MaoateGUEST
But, um, we know that Haley's, you know, had a great season, and that opportunity of picking up a black type win is, is here, uh, for her with Sweetest Thing.
FULL SHOW | Scotty and Sammy (9/10/26)
120:53
P
118:48Paul MaoateGUEST
Hastings tomorrow, Group 1 day, the Livermore Classic Race 9, due to start at 4.44.
P
118:55Paul MaoateGUEST
The favourite annual defending champion who is coming off a win in the Howden Insurance Mile, number one, Y-TAC, has seen a bit of action.
P
119:14Paul MaoateGUEST
$2.90 into $2.60, which means we've seen a slight drift on Tuxedo, $2.90 out to $3.00. Outside of those, and of course those two, Quinellid, they held an insurance mile.

Scotty StevensonHOST
Paulie, what about the All Blacks and Wallabies? How has the book been and how has volumes been?
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (5/10/26)
P
114:22Paul MaoateGUEST
We had a $10,000 bet at $1.44, a $10,000 bet at $1.46, a $10,000 bet at $1.40, $6,900 at $1.44.
P
114:29Paul MaoateGUEST
Yeah, if you had $10,000 on that, that last five minutes would have felt like eternity.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (1/10/26)
113:42
115:30

Scotty StevensonHOST
I'm sure Waikato with home advantage has been played into the odds, but I'd suggest Tasman's still the favourites here, Paul?
P
113:51Paul MaoateGUEST
They're $1.20, Tasman, even though they are playing up in the Waikato, who are $4.40, says Waikato.
P
114:00Paul MaoateGUEST
As you say, a big, big bearing on where teams finish inside that top eight, of course.
P
114:06Paul MaoateGUEST
Manawa too will be cheering for Waikato and hoping they upset Tasman because then that will give them the opportunity to jump over the top of Tasman and into the top eight.

Scotty StevensonHOST
Has there been any shift at all? Has sentiment played a part here when it comes to the Newcastle Knights or are the Sydney Siders still the runaway faves?
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (30/9/26)
P
76:53Paul MaoateGUEST
As we know, the fortress that is Eden Park plays a significant factor in just how short the All Blacks are.
P
77:01Paul MaoateGUEST
Plus, they've had that four test match series in South Africa, well, three of them in South Africa, against the Springboks.
P
77:12Paul MaoateGUEST
And even though the Wallabies did beat the spring box in perth on the weekend um once again razzy was doing razzy stuff and he was you know he brings on a basically a new forward pack in the second half and he didn't start with his top team so it's very very difficult to get a read on just how good this wallaby's team is So they are out, as you say, at $4.40 and they have 13.5 point underdogs.
P
77:40Paul MaoateGUEST
I'm sure Les Kiss would have been happy with quite a few things that happened in that test match against the Springboks, but the bookies not really paying the Wallabies too much respect at all.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (29/9/26)
P
119:36Paul MaoateGUEST
The Newcastle Knights, $2.80. We've had two $10,000 bets on the Roosters at $1.44 and a $5,000 bet on the Chooks at $1.44.
P
119:49Paul MaoateGUEST
support for the roosters not so much for the Knights out at $2.80 I would suggest if that continues then the Knights might just drift the notch or two before we get the kickoff cause a lot of punters hoping for the fairy tale finish going from wooden spooners to premiership winners maybe if they can get the job done over the roosters this weekend but the money at the moment the early money is all about the sydney roosters at a dollar 44.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (28/9/26)
111:18
P
106:59Paul MaoateGUEST
They were quite happy that the Newcastle Knights were able to upset the Penrith Panthers.
P
107:05Paul MaoateGUEST
The Panthers were quite warm favourites in that preliminary final, and they were well backed by punters, to be fair.
P
107:12Paul MaoateGUEST
So the Knights getting up, of course, that terrible, terrible injury to Nathan Cleary, hopefully stops.

Scotty StevensonHOST
What have you got for us today, Paulie? Anything we can sink our teeth into?
The Leg Up | Hastings Preview
12:38
5 MINS LATER

Thad TaylorHOST
I'll say it right for, uh, connections, but what can we expect from him? I mean, first up here after a decent break.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (25/9/26)
P
120:14Paul MaoateGUEST
Well, seeing as Sammy's here, we'd better go to the NRL and the preliminary finals, of course.
P
120:28Paul MaoateGUEST
The Roosters have just tightened in slightly since they opened up towards the beginning of the week.
P
120:38Paul MaoateGUEST
Look, these two teams met twice during the regular season, and the Dolphins won both of them.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (22/9/26)
98:09
P
96:27Paul MaoateGUEST
They're a $1.33 favourite to beat the New York Giants, who, of course, were victorious in week one against their divisional rival, the Dallas Cowboys.
P
96:45Paul MaoateGUEST
The game total is set at 47.5. Money on the Rams and there are a number of multis that are finishing on the Rams, not just to win the game at around $1.33, but also to cover the spread minus six and a half.

Scotty StevensonHOST
In terms of favourites, have the bookies been able to make this pretty clear cut or is it a little fraught here for our bookmakers?
FULL SHOW | Scotty and Sammy (18/9/26)
98:24

Scotty StevensonHOST
Warriors' night's a Sunday, Paul, and I'm sure there hasn't been too much of a shift in the book at this stage.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (15/9/26)
118:57
120:14

Scotty StevensonHOST
Well, we started the show talking like that, Paulie, and it's only fitting we finish it as well.
P
119:12Paul MaoateGUEST
They should be because they've got a big pickup, Kenneth Walker, who will be rushing the ball for the Kansas City Chiefs.

Scotty StevensonHOST
very nice um we better start throwing it forward to the knights and the warriors this weekend on sunday can get an early book going here where are we at are the warriors favorites for this at eden park
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (14/9/26)
108:01

Scotty StevensonHOST
When we look through the competition now, what are the betting patterns that you are noticing?
P
108:08Paul MaoateGUEST
Well, Hawke's Bay are very, very popular, so that was a very surprising result for them against North Harbour, especially at home.
P
108:18Paul MaoateGUEST
Maybe Hawke's Bay were looking ahead to this week for the big battle of the bay against Bay of Plenty.
P
108:25Paul MaoateGUEST
Even so, with the lead that they had, and they were very, very short live, I can tell you, the Magpies, With the lead they had, you wouldn't have expected them to give that up.
PAUL MAOATE | TAB odds update (14/9/26)
2:38
P
0:37Paul MaoateGUEST
There were plenty of punters who decided to back over 57.5 points in that Baltimore test.
P
0:50Paul MaoateGUEST
In terms of the head-to-head, look, the South Africans weren't without their fans.
P
0:55Paul MaoateGUEST
There were quite a few punters who decided that what they saw in the first three tests was enough to get them to, I guess, put their money on the South Africans.

Scotty StevensonHOST
When we look through the competition now, what are the betting patterns that you are noticing?
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (11/9/26)
102:59
P
99:59Paul MaoateGUEST
South Africa have drifted from $1.55 out to $1.57. As you say, both teams have been named.
P
100:05Paul MaoateGUEST
Dave Rennie going with a very experienced line-up in the fourth and final test against South Africa.

Scotty StevensonHOST
And look, this is going to be a hugely popular part of the site, I'm sure, and keeping the bookies pretty busy with a close eye on how those markets might shift.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (9/9/26)
118:12
P
116:41Paul MaoateGUEST
I think they've already shown so far this season that they are a force to be reckoned with at Seminole Stadium up there in Northland.

Scotty StevensonHOST
Seahawks still $1.55, the Pats $2.45. Are we seeing good interest in the NFL, mate?
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (8/9/26)
118:22

Scotty StevensonHOST
wowee okay there you go that's coming out of the blocks on that one for sure what about the rest of the nfl action all kicks off this weekend mate i know it's a hugely popular sport with you guys
Why the All Blacks Have a Springbok Problem
P
44:43Paul MoateGUEST
I thought we'd have a look at, uh, an NPC game from next week, and I'll ask you guys to price it up.
P
44:52Paul MoateGUEST
And then when the bookies actually do price it up, uh, on Monday, uh, we'll, uh, we'll come back next week and just see how close or how far away you were from actually pricing this game correctly.
P
45:16Paul MoateGUEST
That might be a good one to go for, 'cause we know that both teams will definitely have their best teams on the field.
R
48:31Ross KarlHOST
... doing some interesting things, and giving players game time against a good South African, against a good New Zealand team could be one of the kinds of things he would like to do before the next World Cup You know? Um, so when you guys are looking at these odds and, you know, let's say Rassie's naming his team on a Monday, that probably gives you a bit of a favor, doesn't it, in comparison to [laughs] a Thursday naming, where you guys can make some adjustments maybe relatively early.
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Izzy (7/9/26)
105:40
P
104:25Paul MaoateGUEST
The bookies are fairly happy, to be fair, and it all revolved around that result in South Africa where the spring box were just a wee bit too good for the All Blacks.

Scotty StevensonHOST
The Warriors fans would have been pretty happy, but gee, that had to go the distance.
"The ACC SportsBook - September 4th"
P
3:29Paul MaoateGUEST
And this punter put a five-leg same-game multi together, put $5 down and got a return of just over $4,000.
8 MINS LATER
FULL SHOW | Scotty & Sam (4/9/26)
108:37
P
106:30Paul MaoateGUEST
Although the Seagulls could have done us a wee bit of a favour by bringing over a weekend, you know, rest a few players.

Scotty StevensonHOST
And given a field like that, given the nature of racing, gosh, it's a value race perhaps for some punters, isn't
Scroll for more appearances
