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Paul Craig
Aviation safety researcher and author of "The Killing Zone," adjunct professor at Embry-Riddle and longtime Middle Tennessee State University aerospace professor; FAA Gold Seal flight instructor.
4
APPEARANCES
4
PODCASTS
012
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Apr 30, 2026
The Killing Zone
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3:48Paul CraigGUEST
Well, and this is the third edition, as you mentioned, and I started the, the analysis of general aviation aircraft accidents and trends way back in 1983, 'cause that's the first year I became a flight instructor.
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4:03Paul CraigGUEST
And w- when the r- initial research turned up that pilots that have lower time had a higher rate, not just a count number, but a rate number of accidents, and, uh, originally called the Danger Zone, uh, but it got turned into the Killing Zone, and, and that zone, that range, is from about 50 to 350 flight hours.
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4:25Paul CraigGUEST
And, uh, over the years, the total number of accidents have declined from all the work you've done and, and w- what I've tried to do, and all of our colleagues who are in aviation, aviation safety, have done a terrific job at reducing the total number.
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4:41Paul CraigGUEST
So when I went into this third edition possibility, I didn't know for sure if there was a killing zone.
The killing zone for pilots, with Paul Craig
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7:45Paul CraigGUEST
If we just counted the numbers themselves, you know, just as a weird example, I looked this up.
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7:52Paul CraigGUEST
that how many Cessna 172s have been in accidents? Well, the number is not exactly correct.
18 MINS LATER
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25:57John ZimmermanHOST
So in your opinion, what does scenario-based training look like and why is it better than the maybe traditional model of flight training?
E187 - Paul Craig, Killing Zone 3rd Edition & Story Time
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19:05Paul CraigGUEST
So, [laughs] so, so the publisher decided we didn't want to flirt with the possible, uh, issues dealing with copyright infringement or whatever.
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19:18Paul CraigGUEST
And so I, of course, I had the chance over the years, since we're in the third edition, to change it, but, but the i- the idea is not to scare anybody, but to just wake them up.
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19:28Paul CraigGUEST
I, I think I say, you know, it's if, if you read that title and if I'm shaking you by the shoulder and saying, "You know, this can be...
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19:37Paul CraigGUEST
This, this is something that you, we all have to pay attention to." Um, and if, if that jarring title does that, then, and we get, uh, their attention, then I guess that was successful.
10 MINS LATER
EP165 - The Killing Zone Returns: Why 50-350 Hours Are Still the Most Dangerous
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21:27Paul CraigGUEST
And so I used the National Transportation Safety Board, their data, also some of the, what we'd call the NASA forms information as well, Aviation Safety Reporting System.
1 HR 7 MINS LATER