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Oliver Harvey

Sep 23, 2026

3:02
What's top of mind at the moment?
3:04
Yeah.
3:05
So I think the US real rates is a very important component of the story.
3:08
It's worth bearing in mind that up until now, emerging markets have been very resilient in the face of what has been a pretty significant sell off in core rates.
3:16
So, you know, as we're speaking now, the US 10 year is above 5%.
3:21
What could change that and could EM become a little bit more vulnerable? I think there are two schools of thought.
3:28
Are we seeing this big sell-off in rates because the world is worried about inflation? Are we worried about dollar debasement? Is that feeding itself into a weaker dollar? The dollar cycle, when we get a weaker dollar cycle, is usually very supportive of emerging markets.
5:50
How does that play into the bigger pattern of supply shocks we've seen in recent years?

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