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Mehran Gul

Mehran Gul

Geneva-based innovation geographer and author of "The New Geography of Innovation," winner of the FT/McKinsey Bracken Bower Prize.

Sep 16, 2026

17:19
Wow
17:19
... important startup that operates there.
17:21
And it's really an effort by the Singaporean government to build much of the technical talent in-house rather than having a model of subcontracting these things out as you see in the US.
17:32
In the US, even national security topics are subcontracted out, even in the defense industry.
17:37
And in, in Singapore, on the other hand, there is an emphasis on building these capabilities in-house because the idea is that it's the government policymakers that are the closest to the problem, and the more you separate the people developing the solution and the people understanding the problem, the worse the solutions are going to be.
17:57
And so GovTech has come up with some very interesting products, such as Singpass, which is an app through which you can do everything from paying your bills to applying for passports to applying for, uh, loans.
18:11
A-around 98% of all transactions that you would want to make with the government can be made on Singpass, you know, paying taxes.
20:39
Mm.
52:14
I mean, A, A, would you agree with that? And does that in your mind create a really high level of systemic risk here? Like what-- I, I guess to ask a follow-on question to that, assuming you agree with it, like how high is the risk that a lot of this valuation could, you know, just disappear overnight and, and upend this entire structure that we've been talking about so far?
52:39
Um, so on, on the point about sort of the oligarchy that you mentioned, I think it's an interesting question to at least ask whether America is a technological oligarchy, right? And, um, I asked-- I, I interviewed Margret, Margaret O'Mara, who wrote the history of Silicon Valley called "The Code," and I asked her exactly that question, you know: "Do you think America is an oligarchy?" And, you know, a few years ago she kind of like brushed off that question because like, you know, it, it seemed like an absurd question to ask.
53:03
But in a time when there's one individual who is worth as much as the Indian economy, right? Uh, Elon Musk, you know, would-- uh, is it really that absurd a question to ask? And even this question of like, you know, uh, you know, what if he gets hit by a bus? That might sound like, you know, maybe an exaggeration, but if I were to reframe it and say, what if, what if he overdoses on ketamine, right? And you know, which w- it's a real risk.
53:27
It ought to be in their S1 filings.
53:29
And, um, like I agree with you and, you know, in terms of valuations and whether they can switch quickly, I think there's an interesting parallel between what you're seeing in the US today and what you saw in Japan back in 1989.
53:41
If you look at the US today, there's something like the eight or nine most valuable companies in the world are all American.
53:47
It was exactly this back in 1989 where the top, uh, nine, um, companies in the world were all Japanese, as hard as it might be to imagine today.

12 MINS LATER

65:58
I'm curious if you have any other, you know, geopolitical, technological, economical predictions in the next handful of years that we haven't covered as a result of, of what you've unearthed.
29:15
So what's going on in Europe? Why is it seem to be such an underperformer when it comes to this?
29:21
So I think the reasons are multifactorial.
29:23
I mean, it's not just one thing, but maybe I'll talk about things that I maybe talk about less often.
29:28
So people always talk about the fact that there's less risk appetite in Europe.
29:33
You know, people are more conservative.
29:34
They prefer stable jobs over risky ventures and all of that.
29:38
And all of that is true.

26 MINS LATER

55:28
And so I guess the question I've popped into my head then is, OK, if everyone's running the same playbook, does that mean that geography matters less? And also, is there even anyone out there that's trying something fundamentally different in a way that matters now or might possibly matter in the near term future?
15:06
So Mehran, what does this tell us about startup entrepreneurs? Are you suggesting that Europe in particular, Burnham or Macron or, or the Germans should be loosening federal controls? Of course, there's more and more suspicion of technology and innovation and in, in some ways even wealth creation in Europe.
15:31
I think in...
15:34
The, the, the sort of European attitudes towards wealth have, I think, always been there, the contrast that you see between Europe and the US.
15:40
But in, in Europe, you know, almost talking about money is almost a dirty thing, and, uh, you know, I think startup incubators like StationF are trying to get over that cultural hangup that people have.
15:50
But you know, I, I tend to push back also against just explaining all of this entirely through, um, cultural lenses as well, you know, not, not willingness, willingness not to talk about money, not taking risks.
16:01
I think there are lots of institutional factors that are play at, at play as well.
16:05
Um, you know, just to give you a couple of examples, if you look at an average American company at the Series A stage, you know, usually about 20% of an average American startup is owned by its own employee base.

8 MINS LATER

23:54
We don't need all this innovation." How would you re- respond to that, Merijn?
Lynne ThomannHOST
5:02
Can you talk a bit more about that difference and what it implies?
5:08
When we talk about electric vehicles, for instance, I think in the US, even today, people have an association between electric vehicles and Elon Musk and Tesla, because that was the first major company that came up in the US that moved the economy away from gasoline to electric-powered engines.
5:24
But globally, today, seven out of 10 EVs sold in the world are manufactured in China.
5:31
So Tesla is, at this point, a minority player.
5:33
If you look at the top 10 EV manufacturers in the world, seven of those companies are Chinese, and these would be companies that an American wouldn't even recognize these companies.
5:44
Companies like Zeekr, for instance, or NIO, or Li Autos.
5:47
You know, companies that you would've never heard about are now manufacturing more EVs than Ford, for instance, or GM, for example.
Lynne ThomannHOST
9:06
What did you hear in China that complicates that view?

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